Vasco Relegation Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Vasco remain in realistic contention for relegation at 34.2%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.1% |
| Libertadores | 2.3% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 4.1% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 27.2% |
| Relegation | 34.2% |
Vasco are currently 17th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 18 matches played (5W 5D 8L, 20 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 34.2%, Vasco are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Vasco's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Vasco achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.1% |
| Fluminense | 0.7% |
| Athletico-PR | 1.1% |
| Bragantino | 1.7% |
| Coritiba | 6.4% |
| Bahia | 4.3% |
| São Paulo | 8.5% |
| Atlético-MG | 11.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.