La Liga 26/27 — Jornada 8 de 38
Actualizado el
Probabilidad de ganar el campeonato
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43.4% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | |
| 4 | 12.1% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | |
| 6 | 2.8% | |
| 7 | 1.6% | |
| 8 | 1.5% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% |
Probabilidad de clasificación a la Champions League
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 83.4% | |
| 2 | 57.4% | |
| 3 | 56.8% | |
| 4 | 52.0% | |
| 5 | 26.9% | |
| 6 | 21.1% | |
| 7 | 15.0% | |
| 8 | 13.9% | |
| 9 | 11.5% | |
| 10 | 9.4% | |
| 11 | 7.1% | |
| 12 | 6.7% | |
| 13 | 6.6% | |
| 14 | 6.3% | |
| 15 | 6.3% | |
| 16 | 6.1% | |
| 17 | 5.6% | |
| 18 | 3.6% | |
| 19 | 2.5% | |
| 20 | 1.8% |
Probabilidad de clasificación a la Europa League
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9.4% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | |
| 6 | 6.3% | |
| 7 | 5.8% | |
| 8 | 5.2% | |
| 9 | 5.1% | |
| 10 | 4.4% | |
| 11 | 3.7% | |
| 12 | 3.6% | |
| 13 | 3.5% | |
| 14 | 3.3% | |
| 15 | 3.2% | |
| 16 | 3.2% | |
| 17 | 3.1% | |
| 18 | 2.1% | |
| 19 | 1.6% | |
| 20 | 1.3% |
Probabilidad de clasificación a la Conference League
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.4% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | |
| 4 | 7.4% | |
| 5 | 7.3% | |
| 6 | 6.7% | |
| 7 | 6.2% | |
| 8 | 5.8% | |
| 9 | 5.0% | |
| 10 | 4.4% | |
| 11 | 4.2% | |
| 12 | 4.1% | |
| 13 | 3.9% | |
| 14 | 3.8% | |
| 15 | 3.8% | |
| 16 | 3.6% | |
| 17 | 3.5% | |
| 18 | 2.7% | |
| 19 | 2.1% | |
| 20 | 1.6% |
Probabilidad de descenso al final del campeonato
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41.7% | |
| 2 | 35.4% | |
| 3 | 29.1% | |
| 4 | 22.2% | |
| 5 | 21.4% | |
| 6 | 21.0% | |
| 7 | 19.9% | |
| 8 | 18.5% | |
| 9 | 18.4% | |
| 10 | 17.6% | |
| 11 | 14.7% | |
| 12 | 11.1% | |
| 13 | 10.3% | |
| 14 | 8.3% | |
| 15 | 5.2% | |
| 16 | 3.5% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.5% |
Jornada 8 de 38
Tabla
| # | Equipo | PJ | P | Title | UCL | UEL | ECL | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 8 | 24 | 43% | 83% | 5% | 4% | — | |
2↑2 | 8 | 19 | 15% | 57% | 9% | 7% | 1% | |
3↓1 | 8 | 19 | 14% | 57% | 9% | 7% | 1% | |
4↓1 | 8 | 18 | 12% | 52% | 9% | 8% | 1% | |
5 | 8 | 14 | 4% | 27% | 9% | 8% | 4% | |
6 | 8 | 13 | 3% | 21% | 8% | 8% | 5% | |
7 | 8 | 11 | 2% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 8% | |
8↑11 | 8 | 10 | 1% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 11% | |
9 | 7 | 8 | 1% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 15% | |
10↓2 | 8 | 8 | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 21% | |
11↑2 | 8 | 8 | 1% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 18% | |
12↓1 | 8 | 8 | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 20% | |
13↓3 | 6 | 8 | 2% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 10% | |
14↑3 | 8 | 8 | 1% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 19% | |
15↓3 | 8 | 8 | 1% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 18% | |
16↓2 | 8 | 8 | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 21% | |
17↓2 | 7 | 6 | 0% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 22% | |
18↓2 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 29% | |
19↓1 | 8 | 5 | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 35% | |
20 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 42% |
CampeónUCLUELECLDescenso
Próximos partidos
Horarios en tiempo universal coordinado
Espanyol#14Winner: 0.5%Champions League: 6.7%Europa League: 3.5%Conference League: 4.1%Relegation: 18.5%
12:00
Atlético Madrid#2Winner: 14.8%Champions League: 57.4%Europa League: 9.3%Conference League: 7.3%Relegation: 0.5%
20%
58%
Villarreal#15Winner: 0.5%Champions League: 6.6%Europa League: 3.6%Conference League: 4.2%Relegation: 18.4%
14:15
Elche#18Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 3.6%Europa League: 2.1%Conference League: 2.7%Relegation: 29.1%
45%
31%
Betis#3Winner: 14.1%Champions League: 56.8%Europa League: 9.4%Conference League: 7.4%Relegation: 0.5%
16:30
Barcelona#1Winner: 43.4%Champions League: 83.4%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 3.5%
28%
47%
Valencia#19Winner: 0.1%Champions League: 2.5%Europa League: 1.6%Conference League: 2.1%Relegation: 35.4%
19:00
Athletic Bilbao#13Winner: 1.5%Champions League: 13.9%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 6.2%Relegation: 10.3%
40%
33%
Osasuna#10Winner: 0.5%Champions League: 6.1%Europa League: 3.2%Conference League: 3.8%Relegation: 21.4%
12:00
Racing Santander#16Winner: 0.5%Champions League: 6.3%Europa League: 3.2%Conference League: 3.8%Relegation: 21.0%
48%
26%
Celta#11Winner: 0.6%Champions League: 7.1%Europa League: 3.7%Conference League: 4.4%Relegation: 17.6%
14:15
Alavés#7Winner: 1.6%Champions League: 15.0%Europa League: 6.3%Conference League: 6.7%Relegation: 8.3%
42%
31%
Málaga#20Winner: 0.1%Champions League: 1.8%Europa League: 1.3%Conference League: 1.6%Relegation: 41.7%
16:30
Real Sociedad#6Winner: 2.8%Champions League: 21.1%Europa League: 7.6%Conference League: 7.7%Relegation: 5.2%
30%
43%
Real Madrid#4Winner: 12.1%Champions League: 52.0%Europa League: 9.4%Conference League: 7.7%Relegation: 0.7%
19:00
Sevilla#5Winner: 3.8%Champions League: 26.9%Europa League: 8.7%Conference League: 8.4%Relegation: 3.5%
62%
17%
Getafe#12Winner: 0.5%Champions League: 6.3%Europa League: 3.3%Conference League: 3.9%Relegation: 19.9%
19:00
Rayo Vallecano#9Winner: 0.9%Champions League: 9.4%Europa League: 4.4%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 14.7%
51%
23%
Tras la Jornada 8: ¿Quién Mejoró Más Sus Posibilidades?
- ↓La probabilidad de Valencia para Descenso bajó del 62.5% al 35.4% (-27.1%).
- ↓La probabilidad de Real Madrid para UCL bajó del 75.4% al 52% (-23.4%).
- ↑La probabilidad de Sevilla para UCL subió del 10.6% al 26.9% (+16.3%).
- ↓La probabilidad de Real Sociedad para UCL bajó del 33.8% al 21.1% (-12.7%).
- ↓La probabilidad de Alavés para UCL bajó del 25.1% al 15% (-10.1%).
Actualizado tras cada jornada · Simulación de Monte Carlo
La Liga 26/27 — Season Outlook
Campeón:
UCL:
UEL:
ECL:
La Liga 26/27 — Preguntas Frecuentes
- ¿Quién ganará el La Liga 26/27?
- Según las últimas simulaciones de nuestro supercomputador, Barcelona tiene actualmente la mayor probabilidad de título con un 43%. Con 30 jornadas restantes la carrera sigue abierta — CupChances vuelve a ejecutar hasta millones de simulaciones cada 10 minutos durante cada partido.
- ¿Qué equipos corren más riesgo de descenso en el La Liga 26/27?
- Málaga actualmente enfrenta el mayor riesgo de descenso con un 42%, seguido de Valencia con un 35%. Estas cifras se actualizan cada 10 minutos durante cada partido.
- ¿Cómo calcula CupChances las probabilidades del La Liga 26/27?
- Nuestro supercomputador ejecuta hasta millones de simulaciones Monte Carlo de la temporada restante, usando los puntos actuales, la diferencia de goles y el calendario restante de cada equipo. Cada temporada simulada produce una tabla final completa, y las probabilidades representan con qué frecuencia ocurre cada resultado en todas esas simulaciones.
- ¿Con qué frecuencia se actualizan las predicciones del La Liga 26/27?
- Las probabilidades se recalculan cada 10 minutos durante cada partido — mientras el juego esté en curso los números siguen actualizándose. Activa las notificaciones push en esta página para recibir variaciones de probabilidad en vivo directamente en tu dispositivo.
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