Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Journée 13 sur 38
Mis à jour le
Probabilité de remporter le championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  São Bernardo#1Champion: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relégation: 1.0% | 19.4% |
| 2 |  Vila Nova#2Champion: 18.9%Promotion: 54.0%Relégation: 1.0% | 18.9% |
| 3 |  Sport#3Champion: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relégation: 1.6% | 14.2% |
| 4 |  Fortaleza#4Champion: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relégation: 4.4% | 6.9% |
| 5 |  Novorizontino#5Champion: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relégation: 4.8% | 6.5% |
| 6 |  Criciúma#6Champion: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relégation: 4.8% | 6.4% |
| 7 |  Náutico#7Champion: 5.4%Promotion: 25.4%Relégation: 5.9% | 5.4% |
| 8 |  Juventude#9Champion: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relégation: 8.4% | 3.8% |
| 9 |  Operário-PR#8Champion: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relégation: 8.9% | 3.6% |
| 10 |  Cuiabá#10Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.4% | 3.3% |
| 11 |  Athletic Club#11Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.3% | 3.3% |
| 12 |  Goiás#12Champion: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relégation: 11.3% | 2.7% |
| 13 |  Atlético-GO#13Champion: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relégation: 15.1% | 1.9% |
| 14 |  Ceará#14Champion: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relégation: 15.2% | 1.8% |
| 15 |  CRB#15Champion: 1.0%Promotion: 7.5%Relégation: 23.0% | 1.0% |
| 16 |  Botafogo-SP#16Champion: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relégation: 34.4% | 0.4% |
| 17 |  Londrina#17Champion: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relégation: 46.2% | 0.2% |
| 18 |  Avaí#18Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relégation: 53.8% | 0.1% |
| 19 |  Ponte Preta#19Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relégation: 65.3% | 0.1% |
Probabilité de promotion en première division
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | São Bernardo#1Champion: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relégation: 1.0% | 54.6% |
| 2 | Vila Nova#2Champion: 18.9%Promotion: 54.0%Relégation: 1.0% | 54.0% |
| 3 | Sport#3Champion: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relégation: 1.6% | 46.7% |
| 4 | Fortaleza#4Champion: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relégation: 4.4% | 29.9% |
| 5 | Novorizontino#5Champion: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relégation: 4.8% | 28.9% |
| 6 | Criciúma#6Champion: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relégation: 4.8% | 28.4% |
| 7 | Náutico#7Champion: 5.4%Promotion: 25.4%Relégation: 5.9% | 25.4% |
| 8 | Juventude#9Champion: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relégation: 8.4% | 20.1% |
| 9 | Operário-PR#8Champion: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relégation: 8.9% | 19.3% |
| 10 | Cuiabá#10Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.4% | 18.4% |
| 11 | Athletic Club#11Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.3% | 18.4% |
| 12 | Goiás#12Champion: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relégation: 11.3% | 15.9% |
| 13 | Atlético-GO#13Champion: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relégation: 15.1% | 12.0% |
| 14 | Ceará#14Champion: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relégation: 15.2% | 11.9% |
| 15 | CRB#15Champion: 1.0%Promotion: 7.5%Relégation: 23.0% | 7.5% |
| 16 | Botafogo-SP#16Champion: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relégation: 34.4% | 4.0% |
| 17 | Londrina#17Champion: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relégation: 46.2% | 2.2% |
| 18 | Avaí#18Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relégation: 53.8% | 1.4% |
| 19 | Ponte Preta#19Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relégation: 65.3% | 0.7% |
| 20 |  América-MG#20Promotion: 0.3%Relégation: 76.2% | 0.3% |
Probabilité de relégation à la fin du championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | América-MG#20Promotion: 0.3%Relégation: 76.2% | 76.2% |
| 2 | Ponte Preta#19Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relégation: 65.3% | 65.3% |
| 3 | Avaí#18Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relégation: 53.8% | 53.8% |
| 4 | Londrina#17Champion: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relégation: 46.2% | 46.2% |
| 5 | Botafogo-SP#16Champion: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relégation: 34.4% | 34.4% |
| 6 | CRB#15Champion: 1.0%Promotion: 7.5%Relégation: 23.0% | 23.0% |
| 7 | Ceará#14Champion: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relégation: 15.2% | 15.2% |
| 8 | Atlético-GO#13Champion: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relégation: 15.1% | 15.1% |
| 9 | Goiás#12Champion: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relégation: 11.3% | 11.3% |
| 10 | Cuiabá#10Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.4% | 9.4% |
| 11 | Athletic Club#11Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.3% | 9.3% |
| 12 | Operário-PR#8Champion: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relégation: 8.9% | 8.9% |
| 13 | Juventude#9Champion: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relégation: 8.4% | 8.4% |
| 14 | Náutico#7Champion: 5.4%Promotion: 25.4%Relégation: 5.9% | 5.9% |
| 15 | Novorizontino#5Champion: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relégation: 4.8% | 4.8% |
| 16 | Criciúma#6Champion: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relégation: 4.8% | 4.8% |
| 17 | Fortaleza#4Champion: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relégation: 4.4% | 4.4% |
| 18 | Sport#3Champion: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relégation: 1.6% | 1.6% |
| 19 | São Bernardo#1Champion: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relégation: 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 20 | Vila Nova#2Champion: 18.9%Promotion: 54.0%Relégation: 1.0% | 1.0% |
Journée 13 sur 38
Classement
| # | Équipe | J | P | Title | Promo | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑1 | São Bernardo#1Champion: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relégation: 1.0% | 13 | 25 | 19% | 55% | 1% |
2↓1 | Vila Nova#2Champion: 18.9%Promotion: 54.0%Relégation: 1.0% | 13 | 25 | 19% | 54% | 1% |
3 | Sport#3Champion: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relégation: 1.6% | 13 | 24 | 14% | 47% | 2% |
4 | Fortaleza#4Champion: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relégation: 4.4% | 13 | 21 | 7% | 30% | 4% |
5 | Novorizontino#5Champion: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relégation: 4.8% | 13 | 21 | 7% | 29% | 5% |
6 | Criciúma#6Champion: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relégation: 4.8% | 13 | 21 | 6% | 28% | 5% |
7 | Náutico#7Champion: 5.4%Promotion: 25.4%Relégation: 5.9% | 13 | 20 | 5% | 25% | 6% |
8 | Operário-PR#8Champion: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relégation: 8.9% | 13 | 19 | 4% | 19% | 9% |
9↑3 | Juventude#9Champion: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relégation: 8.4% | 13 | 19 | 4% | 20% | 8% |
10↑4 | Cuiabá#10Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.4% | 13 | 19 | 3% | 18% | 9% |
11↓2 | Athletic Club#11Champion: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relégation: 9.3% | 13 | 19 | 3% | 18% | 9% |
12↓2 | Goiás#12Champion: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relégation: 11.3% | 13 | 18 | 3% | 16% | 11% |
13↓2 | Atlético-GO#13Champion: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relégation: 15.1% | 13 | 17 | 2% | 12% | 15% |
14↓1 | Ceará#14Champion: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relégation: 15.2% | 13 | 17 | 2% | 12% | 15% |
15 | CRB#15Champion: 1.0%Promotion: 7.5%Relégation: 23.0% | 13 | 15 | 1% | 8% | 23% |
16 | Botafogo-SP#16Champion: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relégation: 34.4% | 13 | 13 | 0% | 4% | 34% |
17↑1 | Londrina#17Champion: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relégation: 46.2% | 13 | 11 | 0% | 2% | 46% |
18↓1 | Avaí#18Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relégation: 53.8% | 13 | 10 | 0% | 1% | 54% |
19 | Ponte Preta#19Champion: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relégation: 65.3% | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1% | 65% |
20 | América-MG#20Promotion: 0.3%Relégation: 76.2% | 13 | 6 | — | 0% | 76% |
ChampionPromotionRelégation
Après la Journée 13 : Qui a le Plus Amélioré Ses Chances ?
- ↓La probabilité de Fortaleza pour Promotion a chuté de 72.9% à 29.9% (-43%).
- ↓La probabilité de Avaí pour Relégation a chuté de 88.4% à 53.8% (-34.6%).
- ↑La probabilité de Botafogo-SP pour Relégation a grimpé de 0.6% à 34.4% (+33.8%).
- ↓La probabilité de Londrina pour Relégation a chuté de 68.6% à 46.2% (-22.4%).
- ↓La probabilité de Juventude pour Promotion a chuté de 40.9% à 20.1% (-20.8%).
Mis à jour après chaque journée · Simulation Monte Carlo
Prochains matchs
Horaires en temps universel coordonné
Sport#3Winner: 14.2%Promotion: 46.7%Relegation: 1.6%00:00Atlético-GO#13Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relegation: 15.1%
00:00Atlético-GO#13Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 12.0%Relegation: 15.1%51%
23%
Londrina#17Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 2.2%Relegation: 46.2%14:00Athletic Club#11Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.3%
14:00Athletic Club#11Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.3%25%
53%
Ceará#14Winner: 1.8%Promotion: 11.9%Relegation: 15.2%22:00Botafogo-SP#16Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 34.4%
22:00Botafogo-SP#16Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 4.0%Relegation: 34.4%43%
34%
Avaí#18Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 1.4%Relegation: 53.8%14:00Cuiabá#10Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.4%
14:00Cuiabá#10Winner: 3.3%Promotion: 18.4%Relegation: 9.4%18%
60%
CRB#15Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 7.5%Relegation: 23.0%19:00Fortaleza#4Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relegation: 4.4%
19:00Fortaleza#4Winner: 6.9%Promotion: 29.9%Relegation: 4.4%36%
39%
São Bernardo#1Winner: 19.4%Promotion: 54.6%Relegation: 1.0%20:00Juventude#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 8.4%
20:00Juventude#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 20.1%Relegation: 8.4%44%
23%
Goiás#12Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 15.9%Relegation: 11.3%21:30Operário-PR#8Winner: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relegation: 8.9%
21:30Operário-PR#8Winner: 3.6%Promotion: 19.3%Relegation: 8.9%53%
23%
Ponte Preta#19Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.7%Relegation: 65.3%23:00Novorizontino#5Winner: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relegation: 4.8%
23:00Novorizontino#5Winner: 6.5%Promotion: 28.9%Relegation: 4.8%31%
42%
América-MG#20Promotion: 0.3%Relegation: 76.2%23:00Criciúma#6Winner: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relegation: 4.8%
23:00Criciúma#6Winner: 6.4%Promotion: 28.4%Relegation: 4.8%24%
48%
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Season Outlook
Champion:
Promotion:
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Questions Fréquentes
- Qui va gagner le Brasileiro 2026, Serie B ?
- Selon les dernières simulations de notre superordinateur, São Bernardo a actuellement la plus haute probabilité de titre à 19%. Avec 25 journées restantes la course est encore ouverte — CupChances relance jusqu'à des millions de simulations toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Quelles équipes risquent le plus la relégation dans le Brasileiro 2026, Serie B ?
- América-MG est actuellement l'équipe la plus menacée de relégation avec 76%, suivi de Ponte Preta à 65%. Ces chiffres se mettent à jour toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Comment CupChances calcule-t-il les probabilités du Brasileiro 2026, Serie B ?
- Notre superordinateur exécute jusqu'à des millions de simulations Monte Carlo de la saison restante en utilisant les points actuels, la différence de buts et le calendrier restant de chaque équipe. Chaque saison simulée produit un classement final complet et les probabilités indiquent la fréquence de chaque résultat dans toutes ces simulations.
- À quelle fréquence les prédictions du Brasileiro 2026, Serie B sont-elles mises à jour ?
- Les probabilités sont recalculées toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match — tant que le match est en cours les chiffres continuent de se mettre à jour. Activez les notifications push sur cette page pour recevoir les variations de probabilité en direct sur votre appareil.
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