Championship 26/27 — Journée 11 sur 46
Mis à jour le
Probabilité de remporter le championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea City#1Champion: 16.8%Promo: 29.2%Playoff: 33.1%Relég.: 0.5% | 16.8% |
| 2 |  West Ham#2Champion: 14.5%Promo: 25.9%Playoff: 32.2%Relég.: 0.7% | 14.5% |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough#3Champion: 13.3%Promo: 24.7%Playoff: 32.0%Relég.: 0.8% | 13.3% |
| 4 |  Birmingham#4Champion: 9.1%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 28.9%Relég.: 1.6% | 9.1% |
| 5 |  West Brom#5Champion: 8.2%Promo: 16.5%Playoff: 28.8%Relég.: 1.6% | 8.2% |
| 6 |  Stoke City#6Champion: 6.2%Promo: 13.0%Playoff: 26.4%Relég.: 2.3% | 6.2% |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton#8Champion: 5.9%Promo: 12.1%Playoff: 25.2%Relég.: 2.9% | 5.9% |
| 8 |  Southampton#7Champion: 4.4%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 22.2%Relég.: 4.1% | 4.4% |
| 9 |  QPR#9Champion: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 21.7%Relég.: 4.1% | 3.8% |
| 10 |  Portsmouth#13Champion: 2.5%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relég.: 6.9% | 2.5% |
| 11 |  Blackburn#10Champion: 2.2%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.3% | 2.2% |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd#11Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.2% | 2.1% |
| 13 |  Millwall#12Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Relég.: 7.3% | 2.1% |
| 14 |  Bolton#15Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.0%Relég.: 9.6% | 1.6% |
| 15 |  Bristol City#16Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.9%Playoff: 12.8%Relég.: 9.7% | 1.6% |
| 16 |  Charlton#17Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 12.7%Relég.: 10.3% | 1.6% |
| 17 |  Wrexham#14Champion: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.9%Relég.: 9.6% | 1.5% |
| 18 |  Lincoln#18Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.1%Playoff: 8.6%Relég.: 16.5% | 0.8% |
| 19 |  Cardiff#19Champion: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.6%Relég.: 17.8% | 0.6% |
| 20 |  Watford#20Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 7.2%Relég.: 19.7% | 0.5% |
| 21 |  Norwich City#21Champion: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 27.0% | 0.3% |
| 22 |  Burnley#22Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 32.5% | 0.2% |
| 23 |  Derby County#23Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 44.2% | 0.1% |
Probabilité de promotion en première division
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City#1Champion: 16.8%Promo: 29.2%Playoff: 33.1%Relég.: 0.5% | 29.2% |
| 2 | West Ham#2Champion: 14.5%Promo: 25.9%Playoff: 32.2%Relég.: 0.7% | 25.9% |
| 3 | Middlesbrough#3Champion: 13.3%Promo: 24.7%Playoff: 32.0%Relég.: 0.8% | 24.7% |
| 4 | Birmingham#4Champion: 9.1%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 28.9%Relég.: 1.6% | 17.7% |
| 5 | West Brom#5Champion: 8.2%Promo: 16.5%Playoff: 28.8%Relég.: 1.6% | 16.5% |
| 6 | Stoke City#6Champion: 6.2%Promo: 13.0%Playoff: 26.4%Relég.: 2.3% | 13.0% |
| 7 | Wolverhampton#8Champion: 5.9%Promo: 12.1%Playoff: 25.2%Relég.: 2.9% | 12.1% |
| 8 | Southampton#7Champion: 4.4%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 22.2%Relég.: 4.1% | 9.6% |
| 9 | QPR#9Champion: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 21.7%Relég.: 4.1% | 8.4% |
| 10 | Portsmouth#13Champion: 2.5%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relég.: 6.9% | 5.7% |
| 11 | Blackburn#10Champion: 2.2%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.3% | 5.0% |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd#11Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.2% | 5.0% |
| 13 | Millwall#12Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Relég.: 7.3% | 5.0% |
| 14 | Bristol City#16Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.9%Playoff: 12.8%Relég.: 9.7% | 3.9% |
| 15 | Bolton#15Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.0%Relég.: 9.6% | 3.8% |
| 16 | Charlton#17Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 12.7%Relég.: 10.3% | 3.8% |
| 17 | Wrexham#14Champion: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.9%Relég.: 9.6% | 3.7% |
| 18 | Lincoln#18Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.1%Playoff: 8.6%Relég.: 16.5% | 2.1% |
| 19 | Cardiff#19Champion: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.6%Relég.: 17.8% | 1.7% |
| 20 | Watford#20Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 7.2%Relég.: 19.7% | 1.4% |
| 21 | Norwich City#21Champion: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 27.0% | 0.8% |
| 22 | Burnley#22Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 32.5% | 0.6% |
| 23 | Derby County#23Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 44.2% | 0.3% |
| 24 |  Preston#24Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.1%Relég.: 55.7% | 0.1% |
Probabilité de participation aux playoffs
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City#1Champion: 16.8%Promo: 29.2%Playoff: 33.1%Relég.: 0.5% | 33.1% |
| 2 | West Ham#2Champion: 14.5%Promo: 25.9%Playoff: 32.2%Relég.: 0.7% | 32.2% |
| 3 | Middlesbrough#3Champion: 13.3%Promo: 24.7%Playoff: 32.0%Relég.: 0.8% | 32.0% |
| 4 | Birmingham#4Champion: 9.1%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 28.9%Relég.: 1.6% | 28.9% |
| 5 | West Brom#5Champion: 8.2%Promo: 16.5%Playoff: 28.8%Relég.: 1.6% | 28.8% |
| 6 | Stoke City#6Champion: 6.2%Promo: 13.0%Playoff: 26.4%Relég.: 2.3% | 26.4% |
| 7 | Wolverhampton#8Champion: 5.9%Promo: 12.1%Playoff: 25.2%Relég.: 2.9% | 25.2% |
| 8 | Southampton#7Champion: 4.4%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 22.2%Relég.: 4.1% | 22.2% |
| 9 | QPR#9Champion: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 21.7%Relég.: 4.1% | 21.7% |
| 10 | Portsmouth#13Champion: 2.5%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relég.: 6.9% | 16.2% |
| 11 | Blackburn#10Champion: 2.2%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.3% | 15.8% |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd#11Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.2% | 15.8% |
| 13 | Millwall#12Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Relég.: 7.3% | 15.7% |
| 14 | Bolton#15Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.0%Relég.: 9.6% | 13.0% |
| 15 | Wrexham#14Champion: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.9%Relég.: 9.6% | 12.9% |
| 16 | Bristol City#16Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.9%Playoff: 12.8%Relég.: 9.7% | 12.8% |
| 17 | Charlton#17Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 12.7%Relég.: 10.3% | 12.7% |
| 18 | Lincoln#18Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.1%Playoff: 8.6%Relég.: 16.5% | 8.6% |
| 19 | Cardiff#19Champion: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.6%Relég.: 17.8% | 7.6% |
| 20 | Watford#20Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 7.2%Relég.: 19.7% | 7.2% |
| 21 | Norwich City#21Champion: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 27.0% | 4.5% |
| 22 | Burnley#22Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 32.5% | 3.4% |
| 23 | Derby County#23Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 44.2% | 1.9% |
| 24 | Preston#24Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.1%Relég.: 55.7% | 1.1% |
Probabilité de relégation à la fin du championnat
| # | Équipe | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Preston#24Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.1%Relég.: 55.7% | 55.7% |
| 2 | Derby County#23Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 44.2% | 44.2% |
| 3 | Burnley#22Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 32.5% | 32.5% |
| 4 | Norwich City#21Champion: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 27.0% | 27.0% |
| 5 | Watford#20Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 7.2%Relég.: 19.7% | 19.7% |
| 6 | Cardiff#19Champion: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.6%Relég.: 17.8% | 17.8% |
| 7 | Lincoln#18Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.1%Playoff: 8.6%Relég.: 16.5% | 16.5% |
| 8 | Charlton#17Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 12.7%Relég.: 10.3% | 10.3% |
| 9 | Bristol City#16Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.9%Playoff: 12.8%Relég.: 9.7% | 9.7% |
| 10 | Wrexham#14Champion: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.9%Relég.: 9.6% | 9.6% |
| 11 | Bolton#15Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.0%Relég.: 9.6% | 9.6% |
| 12 | Blackburn#10Champion: 2.2%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.3% | 7.3% |
| 13 | Millwall#12Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Relég.: 7.3% | 7.3% |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd#11Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.2% | 7.2% |
| 15 | Portsmouth#13Champion: 2.5%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relég.: 6.9% | 6.9% |
| 16 | Southampton#7Champion: 4.4%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 22.2%Relég.: 4.1% | 4.1% |
| 17 | QPR#9Champion: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 21.7%Relég.: 4.1% | 4.1% |
| 18 | Wolverhampton#8Champion: 5.9%Promo: 12.1%Playoff: 25.2%Relég.: 2.9% | 2.9% |
| 19 | Stoke City#6Champion: 6.2%Promo: 13.0%Playoff: 26.4%Relég.: 2.3% | 2.3% |
| 20 | Birmingham#4Champion: 9.1%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 28.9%Relég.: 1.6% | 1.6% |
| 21 | West Brom#5Champion: 8.2%Promo: 16.5%Playoff: 28.8%Relég.: 1.6% | 1.6% |
| 22 | Middlesbrough#3Champion: 13.3%Promo: 24.7%Playoff: 32.0%Relég.: 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 23 | West Ham#2Champion: 14.5%Promo: 25.9%Playoff: 32.2%Relég.: 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 24 | Swansea City#1Champion: 16.8%Promo: 29.2%Playoff: 33.1%Relég.: 0.5% | 0.5% |
Journée 11 sur 46
Classement
| # | Équipe | J | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Swansea City#1Champion: 16.8%Promo: 29.2%Playoff: 33.1%Relég.: 0.5% | 11 | 23 | 17% | 29% | 33% | 1% |
2↑1 | West Ham#2Champion: 14.5%Promo: 25.9%Playoff: 32.2%Relég.: 0.7% | 11 | 22 | 15% | 26% | 32% | 1% |
3↓1 | Middlesbrough#3Champion: 13.3%Promo: 24.7%Playoff: 32.0%Relég.: 0.8% | 11 | 22 | 13% | 25% | 32% | 1% |
4 | Birmingham City#4Champion: 9.1%Promo: 17.7%Playoff: 28.9%Relég.: 1.6% | 11 | 20 | 9% | 18% | 29% | 2% |
5↑1 | West Bromwich Albion#5Champion: 8.2%Promo: 16.5%Playoff: 28.8%Relég.: 1.6% | 11 | 20 | 8% | 17% | 29% | 2% |
6↑2 | Stoke City#6Champion: 6.2%Promo: 13.0%Playoff: 26.4%Relég.: 2.3% | 11 | 19 | 6% | 13% | 26% | 2% |
7 | Southampton#7Champion: 4.4%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 22.2%Relég.: 4.1% | 11 | 17 | 4% | 10% | 22% | 4% |
8↑2 | Wolverhampton#8Champion: 5.9%Promo: 12.1%Playoff: 25.2%Relég.: 2.9% | 10 | 17 | 6% | 12% | 25% | 3% |
9↓4 | Queens Park Rangers#9Champion: 3.8%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 21.7%Relég.: 4.1% | 11 | 17 | 4% | 8% | 22% | 4% |
10↓1 | Blackburn Rovers#10Champion: 2.2%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.3% | 11 | 15 | 2% | 5% | 16% | 7% |
11↑4 | Sheffield United#11Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relég.: 7.2% | 11 | 15 | 2% | 5% | 16% | 7% |
12↓1 | Millwall#12Champion: 2.1%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Relég.: 7.3% | 11 | 15 | 2% | 5% | 16% | 7% |
13↑3 | Portsmouth#13Champion: 2.5%Promo: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relég.: 6.9% | 10 | 14 | 3% | 6% | 16% | 7% |
14↑3 | Wrexham#14Champion: 1.5%Promo: 3.7%Playoff: 12.9%Relég.: 9.6% | 11 | 14 | 2% | 4% | 13% | 10% |
15↓1 | Bolton#15Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 13.0%Relég.: 9.6% | 11 | 14 | 2% | 4% | 13% | 10% |
16↓4 | Bristol City#16Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.9%Playoff: 12.8%Relég.: 9.7% | 11 | 14 | 2% | 4% | 13% | 10% |
17↓4 | Charlton Athletic#17Champion: 1.6%Promo: 3.8%Playoff: 12.7%Relég.: 10.3% | 11 | 14 | 2% | 4% | 13% | 10% |
18 | Lincoln#18Champion: 0.8%Promo: 2.1%Playoff: 8.6%Relég.: 16.5% | 11 | 12 | 1% | 2% | 9% | 17% |
19 | Cardiff#19Champion: 0.6%Promo: 1.7%Playoff: 7.6%Relég.: 17.8% | 11 | 11 | 1% | 2% | 8% | 18% |
20↑2 | Watford#20Champion: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 7.2%Relég.: 19.7% | 11 | 11 | 1% | 1% | 7% | 20% |
21↓1 | Norwich City#21Champion: 0.3%Promo: 0.8%Playoff: 4.5%Relég.: 27.0% | 11 | 9 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 27% |
22↓1 | Burnley#22Champion: 0.2%Promo: 0.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relég.: 32.5% | 11 | 8 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 33% |
23 | Derby County#23Champion: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Relég.: 44.2% | 11 | 6 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 44% |
24 | Preston North End#24Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.1%Relég.: 55.7% | 11 | 4 | — | 0% | 1% | 56% |
ChampionPromoPlayoffRelég.
Prochains matchs
Horaires en temps universel coordonné
Wolverhampton#8Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 12.1%Playoff: 25.2%Relegation: 2.9%18:45Portsmouth#13Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relegation: 6.9%
18:45Portsmouth#13Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relegation: 6.9%43%
29%
Bolton#15Winner: 1.6%Promotion: 3.8%Playoff: 13.0%Relegation: 9.6%19:00Middlesbrough#3Winner: 13.3%Promotion: 24.7%Playoff: 32.0%Relegation: 0.8%
19:00Middlesbrough#3Winner: 13.3%Promotion: 24.7%Playoff: 32.0%Relegation: 0.8%19%
57%
Charlton#17Winner: 1.6%Promotion: 3.8%Playoff: 12.7%Relegation: 10.3%11:30Norwich City#21Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 0.8%Playoff: 4.5%Relegation: 27.0%
11:30Norwich City#21Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 0.8%Playoff: 4.5%Relegation: 27.0%44%
27%
Portsmouth#13Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.7%Playoff: 16.2%Relegation: 6.9%11:30Millwall#12Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Relegation: 7.3%
11:30Millwall#12Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 5.0%Playoff: 15.7%Relegation: 7.3%36%
38%
Sheffield Utd#11Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relegation: 7.2%11:30Derby County#23Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Relegation: 44.2%
11:30Derby County#23Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.3%Playoff: 1.9%Relegation: 44.2%54%
21%
Preston#24Promotion: 0.1%Playoff: 1.1%Relegation: 55.7%14:00West Brom#5Winner: 8.2%Promotion: 16.5%Playoff: 28.8%Relegation: 1.6%
14:00West Brom#5Winner: 8.2%Promotion: 16.5%Playoff: 28.8%Relegation: 1.6%21%
53%
Lincoln#18Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 2.1%Playoff: 8.6%Relegation: 16.5%14:00Burnley#22Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 0.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relegation: 32.5%
14:00Burnley#22Winner: 0.2%Promotion: 0.6%Playoff: 3.4%Relegation: 32.5%26%
49%
Cardiff#19Winner: 0.6%Promotion: 1.7%Playoff: 7.6%Relegation: 17.8%14:00Birmingham#4Winner: 9.1%Promotion: 17.7%Playoff: 28.9%Relegation: 1.6%
14:00Birmingham#4Winner: 9.1%Promotion: 17.7%Playoff: 28.9%Relegation: 1.6%26%
47%
Blackburn#10Winner: 2.2%Promotion: 5.0%Playoff: 15.8%Relegation: 7.3%14:00Wrexham#14Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.7%Playoff: 12.9%Relegation: 9.6%
14:00Wrexham#14Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.7%Playoff: 12.9%Relegation: 9.6%42%
31%
QPR#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.4%Playoff: 21.7%Relegation: 4.1%14:00Swansea City#1Winner: 16.8%Promotion: 29.2%Playoff: 33.1%Relegation: 0.5%
14:00Swansea City#1Winner: 16.8%Promotion: 29.2%Playoff: 33.1%Relegation: 0.5%34%
38%
Après la Journée 11 : Qui a le Plus Amélioré Ses Chances ?
- ↓La probabilité de Southampton pour Promo a chuté de 44.1% à 9.6% (-34.5%).
- ↓La probabilité de Preston pour Relég. a chuté de 85.9% à 55.7% (-30.2%).
- ↓La probabilité de Lincoln pour Relég. a chuté de 40.2% à 16.5% (-23.7%).
- ↑La probabilité de Norwich City pour Relég. a grimpé de 5.5% à 27% (+21.5%).
- ↑La probabilité de West Brom pour Promo a grimpé de 2.8% à 16.5% (+13.7%).
Mis à jour après chaque journée · Simulation Monte Carlo
Championship 26/27 — Season Outlook
Champion:
Promo:
Playoff:
Championship 26/27 — Questions Fréquentes
- Qui va gagner le Championship 26/27 ?
- Selon les dernières simulations de notre superordinateur, Swansea City a actuellement la plus haute probabilité de titre à 17%. Avec 35 journées restantes la course est encore ouverte — CupChances relance jusqu'à des millions de simulations toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Quelles équipes risquent le plus la relégation dans le Championship 26/27 ?
- Preston est actuellement l'équipe la plus menacée de relégation avec 56%, suivi de Derby County à 44%. Ces chiffres se mettent à jour toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match.
- Comment CupChances calcule-t-il les probabilités du Championship 26/27 ?
- Notre superordinateur exécute jusqu'à des millions de simulations Monte Carlo de la saison restante en utilisant les points actuels, la différence de buts et le calendrier restant de chaque équipe. Chaque saison simulée produit un classement final complet et les probabilités indiquent la fréquence de chaque résultat dans toutes ces simulations.
- À quelle fréquence les prédictions du Championship 26/27 sont-elles mises à jour ?
- Les probabilités sont recalculées toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque match — tant que le match est en cours les chiffres continuent de se mettre à jour. Activez les notifications push sur cette page pour recevoir les variations de probabilité en direct sur votre appareil.
Éditions passées