La Liga 26/27 — Jornada 7 de 38
Actualizado el
Probabilidad de ganar el campeonato
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44.1% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | |
| 3 | 12.6% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | |
| 6 | 3.0% | |
| 7 | 2.5% | |
| 8 | 1.8% | |
| 9 | 1.7% | |
| 10 | 1.6% | |
| 11 | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% |
Probabilidad de clasificación a la Champions League
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 82.1% | |
| 2 | 55.0% | |
| 3 | 50.3% | |
| 4 | 38.0% | |
| 5 | 21.2% | |
| 6 | 20.3% | |
| 7 | 19.0% | |
| 8 | 14.4% | |
| 9 | 14.0% | |
| 10 | 13.4% | |
| 11 | 12.8% | |
| 12 | 11.8% | |
| 13 | 11.3% | |
| 14 | 9.5% | |
| 15 | 7.8% | |
| 16 | 4.9% | |
| 17 | 4.6% | |
| 18 | 4.5% | |
| 19 | 2.7% | |
| 20 | 2.5% |
Probabilidad de clasificación a la Europa League
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.7% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | |
| 6 | 6.6% | |
| 7 | 5.6% | |
| 8 | 5.3% | |
| 9 | 5.1% | |
| 10 | 5.1% | |
| 11 | 5.1% | |
| 12 | 4.9% | |
| 13 | 4.8% | |
| 14 | 4.1% | |
| 15 | 3.4% | |
| 16 | 2.5% | |
| 17 | 2.4% | |
| 18 | 2.3% | |
| 19 | 1.5% | |
| 20 | 1.5% |
Probabilidad de clasificación a la Conference League
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.8% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | |
| 6 | 6.5% | |
| 7 | 5.7% | |
| 8 | 5.7% | |
| 9 | 5.6% | |
| 10 | 5.4% | |
| 11 | 5.3% | |
| 12 | 5.1% | |
| 13 | 4.6% | |
| 14 | 3.9% | |
| 15 | 3.5% | |
| 16 | 2.9% | |
| 17 | 2.9% | |
| 18 | 2.8% | |
| 19 | 2.0% | |
| 20 | 1.8% |
Probabilidad de descenso al final del campeonato
| # | Equipo | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40.5% | |
| 2 | 37.8% | |
| 3 | 29.2% | |
| 4 | 28.3% | |
| 5 | 27.4% | |
| 6 | 20.5% | |
| 7 | 17.0% | |
| 8 | 13.8% | |
| 9 | 13.4% | |
| 10 | 12.4% | |
| 11 | 12.0% | |
| 12 | 11.0% | |
| 13 | 10.6% | |
| 14 | 8.2% | |
| 15 | 7.2% | |
| 16 | 6.5% | |
| 17 | 2.4% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% |
Jornada 7 de 38
Tabla
| # | Equipo | PJ | P | Title | UCL | UEL | ECL | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 7 | 21 | 44% | 82% | 5% | 4% | 0% | |
2 | 7 | 16 | 15% | 55% | 9% | 7% | 1% | |
3 | 7 | 15 | 13% | 50% | 9% | 7% | 1% | |
4 | 6 | 13 | 8% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 2% | |
5 | 6 | 10 | 3% | 21% | 7% | 7% | 7% | |
6↑3 | 7 | 10 | 3% | 20% | 7% | 7% | 7% | |
7↓1 | 6 | 8 | 2% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 11% | |
8↑2 | 7 | 8 | 2% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 12% | |
9↓2 | 6 | 8 | 2% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 12% | |
10↓2 | 6 | 8 | 3% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 8% | |
11↑2 | 6 | 8 | 2% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 11% | |
12↑5 | 5 | 7 | 1% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 13% | |
13↑2 | 7 | 7 | 1% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 14% | |
14↓3 | 6 | 6 | 1% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 21% | |
15↓3 | 5 | 5 | 1% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 17% | |
16↓2 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 28% | |
17↑1 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 27% | |
18↓2 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 29% | |
19↑1 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 38% | |
20↓1 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 41% |
CampeónUCLUELECLDescenso
Próximos partidos
Horarios en tiempo universal coordinado
Barcelona#1Winner: 44.1%Champions League: 82.1%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 3.5%Relegation: 0.1%
17:00
Getafe#11Winner: 1.7%Champions League: 14.0%Europa League: 5.3%Conference League: 5.7%Relegation: 11.0%
98%
0%
Alavés#7Winner: 1.8%Champions League: 14.4%Europa League: 5.6%Conference League: 5.7%Relegation: 10.6%
17:00
Atlético Madrid#4Winner: 7.6%Champions League: 38.0%Europa League: 8.7%Conference League: 7.8%Relegation: 2.4%
67%
14%
Racing Santander#14Winner: 0.8%Champions League: 7.8%Europa League: 3.4%Conference League: 3.9%Relegation: 20.5%
17:00
Valencia#18Winner: 0.3%Champions League: 4.5%Europa League: 2.3%Conference League: 2.8%Relegation: 29.2%
66%
14%
Levante#15Winner: 1.0%Champions League: 9.5%Europa League: 4.1%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 17.0%
17:00
Sevilla#5Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 21.2%Europa League: 6.9%Conference League: 7.2%Relegation: 6.5%
42%
34%
Elche#16Winner: 0.4%Champions League: 4.6%Europa League: 2.4%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 28.3%
17:00
Celta#13Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 11.3%Europa League: 4.8%Conference League: 5.1%Relegation: 13.8%
46%
31%
Betis#2Winner: 14.7%Champions League: 55.0%Europa League: 8.6%Conference League: 7.2%Relegation: 0.7%
17:00
Osasuna#8Winner: 1.5%Champions League: 12.8%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 5.4%Relegation: 12.4%
71%
9%
Real Madrid#3Winner: 12.6%Champions League: 50.3%Europa League: 8.7%Conference League: 7.4%Relegation: 1.0%
17:00
Villarreal#12Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 11.8%Europa League: 4.9%Conference League: 5.3%Relegation: 13.4%
96%
1%
Rayo Vallecano#9Winner: 1.6%Champions League: 13.4%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 5.6%Relegation: 12.0%
17:00
Athletic Bilbao#10Winner: 2.5%Champions League: 19.0%Europa League: 6.6%Conference League: 6.5%Relegation: 8.2%
75%
9%
Málaga#20Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 2.5%Europa League: 1.5%Conference League: 1.8%Relegation: 40.5%
17:00
Espanyol#17Winner: 0.4%Champions League: 4.9%Europa League: 2.5%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 27.4%
6%
79%
Real Sociedad#6Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 20.3%Europa League: 6.7%Conference League: 6.7%Relegation: 7.2%
17:00
Deportivo#19Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 2.7%Europa League: 1.5%Conference League: 2.0%Relegation: 37.8%
56%
21%
Tras la Jornada 7: ¿Quién Mejoró Más Sus Posibilidades?
- ↓La probabilidad de Real Madrid para UCL bajó del 82% al 50.3% (-31.7%).
- ↑La probabilidad de Atlético Madrid para UCL subió del 22.3% al 38% (+15.7%).
- ↓La probabilidad de Alavés para UCL bajó del 29.3% al 14.4% (-14.9%).
- ↑La probabilidad de Sevilla para UCL subió del 8.5% al 21.2% (+12.7%).
- ↓La probabilidad de Valencia para Descenso bajó del 41.7% al 29.2% (-12.5%).
Actualizado tras cada jornada · Simulación de Monte Carlo
La Liga 26/27 — Season Outlook
Campeón:
UCL:
UEL:
ECL:
La Liga 26/27 — Preguntas Frecuentes
- ¿Quién ganará el La Liga 26/27?
- Según las últimas simulaciones de nuestro supercomputador, Barcelona tiene actualmente la mayor probabilidad de título con un 44%. Con 31 jornadas restantes la carrera sigue abierta — CupChances vuelve a ejecutar hasta millones de simulaciones cada 10 minutos durante cada partido.
- ¿Qué equipos corren más riesgo de descenso en el La Liga 26/27?
- Málaga actualmente enfrenta el mayor riesgo de descenso con un 41%, seguido de Deportivo con un 38%. Estas cifras se actualizan cada 10 minutos durante cada partido.
- ¿Cómo calcula CupChances las probabilidades del La Liga 26/27?
- Nuestro supercomputador ejecuta hasta millones de simulaciones Monte Carlo de la temporada restante, usando los puntos actuales, la diferencia de goles y el calendario restante de cada equipo. Cada temporada simulada produce una tabla final completa, y las probabilidades representan con qué frecuencia ocurre cada resultado en todas esas simulaciones.
- ¿Con qué frecuencia se actualizan las predicciones del La Liga 26/27?
- Las probabilidades se recalculan cada 10 minutos durante cada partido — mientras el juego esté en curso los números siguen actualizándose. Activa las notificaciones push en esta página para recibir variaciones de probabilidad en vivo directamente en tu dispositivo.
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