Rayo Vallecano Relegation Chances 2026
La Liga 2025/26
Rayo Vallecano face long odds for relegation from La Liga, with only a 2.5% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Relegation | 2.5% |
| Europa League | 0.1% |
| Champions League | 0.0% |
| Title | 0.0% |
Rayo Vallecano are currently 12th in the La Liga 2025/26 table with 33 matches played (9W 12D 12L, 39 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 2.5%, Rayo Vallecano are currently a long shot for relegation from La Liga. The model weights Rayo's points, goal difference, and remaining fixtures against every other team in the relegation battle to compute an accurate probability.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Rayo Vallecano achieves relegation from La Liga across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 La Liga 2025/26 — relegation odds for every team
| Barcelona | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid | 0.0% |
| Villarreal | 0.0% |
| Atlético de Madrid | 0.0% |
| Betis | 0.0% |
| Getafe | 0.0% |
| Celta | 0.0% |
| Real Sociedad | 0.0% |
| Osasuna | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.