Serie B Playoff Race 2026
Serie B 2025/26
Every Serie B team ranked by their live probability of reaching the promotion playoff, based on thousands of Monte Carlo simulations updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Playoff Race — Live Probabilities
| # | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 99.9% |
| 2 | Catanzaro | 99.9% |
| 3 | Modena | 99.9% |
| 4 | Juve Stabia | 99.9% |
| 5 | Monza | 57.8% |
| 6 | Avellino | 48.0% |
| 7 | Frosinone | 40.5% |
| 8 | Cesena | 32.0% |
| 9 | Carrarese | 12.4% |
| 10 | Mantova | 7.5% |
| 11 | Venezia | 1.7% |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 0.1% |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 0.0% |
| 14 | Padova | 0.0% |
| 15 | Virtus Entella | 0.0% |
| 16 | Empoli | 0.0% |
| 17 | Pescara | 0.0% |
| 18 | Bari | 0.0% |
| 19 | Reggiana | 0.0% |
| 20 | Spezia | 0.0% |
Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 36
About This Race
The Serie B playoff offers another route to Serie A for teams finishing between 3rd and 8th — the model shows who is most likely to make the cut.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out every remaining fixture and counts how often each team ends up in the promotion playoff places. The percentages shown reflect those simulated outcomes, updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
View full Serie B 2025/26 table →
Full standings, match results, and all team probability charts.