Athletic Club Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Athletic Club are an outside contender for promotion, with a 18.5% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 4.2% |
| Promotion | 18.5% |
| Relegation | 18.5% |
Athletic Club are currently 13th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 6 matches played (2W 2D 2L, 8 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 18.5%, Athletic Club are currently a outside contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Athletic Club's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Athletic Club achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 36.7% |
| Fortaleza | 30.8% |
| São Bernardo | 27.5% |
| Criciúma | 27.4% |
| Juventude | 27.1% |
| Ceará | 26.1% |
| Sport | 25.9% |
| Náutico | 22.7% |
| Operário-PR | 21.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.