Who will win the La Liga 26/27?

Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Atlético Madrid currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 26/27?

Atlético Madrid currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Espanyol at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.

How does CupChances calculate La Liga 26/27 probabilities?

Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.

How often are the La Liga 26/27 predictions updated?

Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

La Liga 26/27

Preview edition

Probability of winning the championship

#	Team	%
1	Atlético Madrid	5.0%
2	Espanyol	5.0%
3	Getafe	5.0%
4	Osasuna	5.0%
5	Deportivo	5.0%
6	Levante	5.0%
7	Málaga	5.0%
8	Elche	5.0%
9	Celta	5.0%
10	Alavés	5.0%
11	Real Madrid	5.0%
12	Barcelona	5.0%
13	Athletic Bilbao	5.0%
14	Racing Santander	5.0%
15	Villarreal	5.0%
16	Real Sociedad	5.0%
17	Sevilla	5.0%
18	Rayo Vallecano	5.0%
19	Valencia	5.0%
20	Betis	5.0%

Probability of qualifying for the Champions League

#	Team	%
1	Atlético Madrid	20.0%
2	Espanyol	20.0%
3	Getafe	20.0%
4	Osasuna	20.0%
5	Deportivo	20.0%
6	Levante	20.0%
7	Málaga	20.0%
8	Elche	20.0%
9	Celta	20.0%
10	Alavés	20.0%
11	Real Madrid	20.0%
12	Barcelona	20.0%
13	Athletic Bilbao	20.0%
14	Racing Santander	20.0%
15	Villarreal	20.0%
16	Real Sociedad	20.0%
17	Sevilla	20.0%
18	Rayo Vallecano	20.0%
19	Valencia	20.0%
20	Betis	20.0%

Probability of qualifying for the Europa League

#	Team	%
1	Atlético Madrid	5.0%
2	Espanyol	5.0%
3	Getafe	5.0%
4	Osasuna	5.0%
5	Deportivo	5.0%
6	Levante	5.0%
7	Málaga	5.0%
8	Elche	5.0%
9	Celta	5.0%
10	Alavés	5.0%
11	Real Madrid	5.0%
12	Barcelona	5.0%
13	Athletic Bilbao	5.0%
14	Racing Santander	5.0%
15	Villarreal	5.0%
16	Real Sociedad	5.0%
17	Sevilla	5.0%
18	Rayo Vallecano	5.0%
19	Valencia	5.0%
20	Betis	5.0%

Probability of qualifying for the Conference League

#	Team	%
1	Atlético Madrid	5.0%
2	Espanyol	5.0%
3	Getafe	5.0%
4	Osasuna	5.0%
5	Deportivo	5.0%
6	Levante	5.0%
7	Málaga	5.0%
8	Elche	5.0%
9	Celta	5.0%
10	Alavés	5.0%
11	Real Madrid	5.0%
12	Barcelona	5.0%
13	Athletic Bilbao	5.0%
14	Racing Santander	5.0%
15	Villarreal	5.0%
16	Real Sociedad	5.0%
17	Sevilla	5.0%
18	Rayo Vallecano	5.0%
19	Valencia	5.0%
20	Betis	5.0%

Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship

#	Team	%
1	Atlético Madrid	15.0%
2	Espanyol	15.0%
3	Getafe	15.0%
4	Osasuna	15.0%
5	Deportivo	15.0%
6	Levante	15.0%
7	Málaga	15.0%
8	Elche	15.0%
9	Celta	15.0%
10	Alavés	15.0%
11	Real Madrid	15.0%
12	Barcelona	15.0%
13	Athletic Bilbao	15.0%
14	Racing Santander	15.0%
15	Villarreal	15.0%
16	Real Sociedad	15.0%
17	Sevilla	15.0%
18	Rayo Vallecano	15.0%
19	Valencia	15.0%
20	Betis	15.0%

Round 0 of 38 — Table

#	Team	Title	UCL	UEL	ECL	Rel
1	Atlético de Madrid	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
2	Espanyol	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
3	Getafe	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
4	Osasuna	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
5	Deportivo La Coruña	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
6	Levante	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
7	Málaga	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
8	Elche	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
9	Celta	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
10	Alavés	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
11	Real Madrid	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
12	Barcelona	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
13	Athletic Bilbao	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
14	Racing Santander	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
15	Villarreal	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
16	Real Sociedad	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
17	Sevilla	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
18	Rayo Vallecano	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
19	Valencia	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%
20	Betis	5%	20%	5%	5%	15%

WinUCLUELECLReleg

La Liga 26/27 — Season Outlook

Win:

Atlético Madrid Win Chances (5.0%)Espanyol Win Chances (5.0%)Getafe Win Chances (5.0%)Osasuna Win Chances (5.0%)Deportivo Win Chances (5.0%)Levante Win Chances (5.0%)

UCL:

Atlético Madrid UCL Chances (20.0%)Espanyol UCL Chances (20.0%)Getafe UCL Chances (20.0%)Osasuna UCL Chances (20.0%)Deportivo UCL Chances (20.0%)Levante UCL Chances (20.0%)

UEL:

Atlético Madrid UEL Chances (5.0%)Espanyol UEL Chances (5.0%)Getafe UEL Chances (5.0%)Osasuna UEL Chances (5.0%)Deportivo UEL Chances (5.0%)Levante UEL Chances (5.0%)

ECL:

Atlético Madrid ECL Chances (5.0%)Espanyol ECL Chances (5.0%)Getafe ECL Chances (5.0%)Osasuna ECL Chances (5.0%)Deportivo ECL Chances (5.0%)Levante ECL Chances (5.0%)

Releg:

Atlético Madrid Releg Chances (15.0%)Espanyol Releg Chances (15.0%)Getafe Releg Chances (15.0%)Osasuna Releg Chances (15.0%)Deportivo Releg Chances (15.0%)Levante Releg Chances (15.0%)

La Liga 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the La Liga 26/27?: Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Atlético Madrid currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 26/27?: Atlético Madrid currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Espanyol at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate La Liga 26/27 probabilities?: Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the La Liga 26/27 predictions updated?: Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions

La Liga 25/26