La Liga 26/27 — Round 5 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona#1Win: 23.8%UCL: 58.5%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 1.1% | 23.8% |
| 2 |  Real Madrid#3Win: 12.4%UCL: 41.4%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 3.2% | 12.4% |
| 3 |  Betis#2Win: 11.3%UCL: 39.6%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 3.3% | 11.3% |
| 4 |  Alavés#4Win: 7.7%UCL: 30.5%UEL: 7.1%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 7.7% |
| 5 |  Osasuna#5Win: 6.9%UCL: 28.4%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 6.1% | 6.9% |
| 6 |  Athletic Bilbao#7Win: 5.7%UCL: 25.4%UEL: 6.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 7.6% | 5.7% |
| 7 |  Real Sociedad#6Win: 4.6%UCL: 21.9%UEL: 6.1%ECL: 6.1%Releg: 8.9% | 4.6% |
| 8 |  Levante#8Win: 4.5%UCL: 21.3%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 9.7% | 4.5% |
| 9 |  Sevilla#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.3%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4% | 3.4% |
| 10 |  Getafe#11Win: 3.2%UCL: 16.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 12.6% | 3.2% |
| 11 |  Atlético Madrid#9Win: 3.1%UCL: 16.5%UEL: 5.0%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.3% | 3.1% |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano#12Win: 3.0%UCL: 15.7%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 13.7% | 3.0% |
| 13 |  Racing Santander#13Win: 2.4%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 16.5% | 2.4% |
| 14 |  Celta#14Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.7%Releg: 22.7% | 1.3% |
| 15 |  Villarreal#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.3%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 24.7% | 1.3% |
| 16 |  Espanyol#16Win: 1.2%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.3%Releg: 25.5% | 1.2% |
| 17 |  Málaga#17Win: 1.2%UCL: 8.0%UEL: 3.0%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.1% | 1.2% |
| 18 |  Valencia#18Win: 1.1%UCL: 7.7%UEL: 2.9%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.7% | 1.1% |
| 19 |  Deportivo#19Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.7%UEL: 2.7%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 28.3% | 0.9% |
| 20 |  Elche#20Win: 0.8%UCL: 6.0%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 32.1% | 0.8% |
Probability of qualifying for the Champions League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona#1Win: 23.8%UCL: 58.5%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 1.1% | 58.5% |
| 2 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.4%UCL: 41.4%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 3.2% | 41.4% |
| 3 | Betis#2Win: 11.3%UCL: 39.6%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 3.3% | 39.6% |
| 4 | Alavés#4Win: 7.7%UCL: 30.5%UEL: 7.1%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 30.5% |
| 5 | Osasuna#5Win: 6.9%UCL: 28.4%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 6.1% | 28.4% |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao#7Win: 5.7%UCL: 25.4%UEL: 6.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 7.6% | 25.4% |
| 7 | Real Sociedad#6Win: 4.6%UCL: 21.9%UEL: 6.1%ECL: 6.1%Releg: 8.9% | 21.9% |
| 8 | Levante#8Win: 4.5%UCL: 21.3%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 9.7% | 21.3% |
| 9 | Sevilla#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.3%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4% | 17.3% |
| 10 | Getafe#11Win: 3.2%UCL: 16.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 12.6% | 16.8% |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid#9Win: 3.1%UCL: 16.5%UEL: 5.0%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.3% | 16.5% |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano#12Win: 3.0%UCL: 15.7%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 13.7% | 15.7% |
| 13 | Racing Santander#13Win: 2.4%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 16.5% | 13.4% |
| 14 | Celta#14Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.7%Releg: 22.7% | 8.8% |
| 15 | Villarreal#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.3%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 24.7% | 8.3% |
| 16 | Málaga#17Win: 1.2%UCL: 8.0%UEL: 3.0%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.1% | 8.0% |
| 17 | Espanyol#16Win: 1.2%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.3%Releg: 25.5% | 7.8% |
| 18 | Valencia#18Win: 1.1%UCL: 7.7%UEL: 2.9%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.7% | 7.7% |
| 19 | Deportivo#19Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.7%UEL: 2.7%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 28.3% | 6.7% |
| 20 | Elche#20Win: 0.8%UCL: 6.0%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 32.1% | 6.0% |
Probability of qualifying for the Europa League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betis#2Win: 11.3%UCL: 39.6%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 3.3% | 7.6% |
| 2 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.4%UCL: 41.4%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 3.2% | 7.6% |
| 3 | Barcelona#1Win: 23.8%UCL: 58.5%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 1.1% | 7.2% |
| 4 | Alavés#4Win: 7.7%UCL: 30.5%UEL: 7.1%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 7.1% |
| 5 | Osasuna#5Win: 6.9%UCL: 28.4%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 6.1% | 6.9% |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao#7Win: 5.7%UCL: 25.4%UEL: 6.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 7.6% | 6.4% |
| 7 | Real Sociedad#6Win: 4.6%UCL: 21.9%UEL: 6.1%ECL: 6.1%Releg: 8.9% | 6.1% |
| 8 | Levante#8Win: 4.5%UCL: 21.3%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 9.7% | 6.0% |
| 9 | Sevilla#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.3%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4% | 5.1% |
| 10 | Getafe#11Win: 3.2%UCL: 16.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 12.6% | 5.1% |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid#9Win: 3.1%UCL: 16.5%UEL: 5.0%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.3% | 5.0% |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano#12Win: 3.0%UCL: 15.7%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 13.7% | 4.9% |
| 13 | Racing Santander#13Win: 2.4%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 16.5% | 4.4% |
| 14 | Celta#14Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.7%Releg: 22.7% | 3.4% |
| 15 | Villarreal#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.3%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 24.7% | 3.1% |
| 16 | Espanyol#16Win: 1.2%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.3%Releg: 25.5% | 3.1% |
| 17 | Málaga#17Win: 1.2%UCL: 8.0%UEL: 3.0%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.1% | 3.0% |
| 18 | Valencia#18Win: 1.1%UCL: 7.7%UEL: 2.9%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.7% | 2.9% |
| 19 | Deportivo#19Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.7%UEL: 2.7%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 28.3% | 2.7% |
| 20 | Elche#20Win: 0.8%UCL: 6.0%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 32.1% | 2.5% |
Probability of qualifying for the Conference League
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betis#2Win: 11.3%UCL: 39.6%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 3.3% | 7.0% |
| 2 | Alavés#4Win: 7.7%UCL: 30.5%UEL: 7.1%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 6.7% |
| 3 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.4%UCL: 41.4%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 3.2% | 6.6% |
| 4 | Osasuna#5Win: 6.9%UCL: 28.4%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 6.1% | 6.5% |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao#7Win: 5.7%UCL: 25.4%UEL: 6.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 7.6% | 6.3% |
| 6 | Real Sociedad#6Win: 4.6%UCL: 21.9%UEL: 6.1%ECL: 6.1%Releg: 8.9% | 6.1% |
| 7 | Barcelona#1Win: 23.8%UCL: 58.5%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 1.1% | 5.9% |
| 8 | Levante#8Win: 4.5%UCL: 21.3%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 9.7% | 5.9% |
| 9 | Sevilla#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.3%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4% | 5.4% |
| 10 | Atlético Madrid#9Win: 3.1%UCL: 16.5%UEL: 5.0%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.3% | 5.3% |
| 11 | Getafe#11Win: 3.2%UCL: 16.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 12.6% | 5.2% |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano#12Win: 3.0%UCL: 15.7%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 13.7% | 5.2% |
| 13 | Racing Santander#13Win: 2.4%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 16.5% | 4.7% |
| 14 | Celta#14Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.7%Releg: 22.7% | 3.7% |
| 15 | Villarreal#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.3%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 24.7% | 3.5% |
| 16 | Málaga#17Win: 1.2%UCL: 8.0%UEL: 3.0%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.1% | 3.4% |
| 17 | Valencia#18Win: 1.1%UCL: 7.7%UEL: 2.9%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.7% | 3.4% |
| 18 | Espanyol#16Win: 1.2%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.3%Releg: 25.5% | 3.3% |
| 19 | Deportivo#19Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.7%UEL: 2.7%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 28.3% | 3.0% |
| 20 | Elche#20Win: 0.8%UCL: 6.0%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 32.1% | 2.9% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elche#20Win: 0.8%UCL: 6.0%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 32.1% | 32.1% |
| 2 | Deportivo#19Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.7%UEL: 2.7%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 28.3% | 28.3% |
| 3 | Valencia#18Win: 1.1%UCL: 7.7%UEL: 2.9%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.7% | 26.7% |
| 4 | Málaga#17Win: 1.2%UCL: 8.0%UEL: 3.0%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.1% | 26.1% |
| 5 | Espanyol#16Win: 1.2%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.3%Releg: 25.5% | 25.5% |
| 6 | Villarreal#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.3%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 24.7% | 24.7% |
| 7 | Celta#14Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.7%Releg: 22.7% | 22.7% |
| 8 | Racing Santander#13Win: 2.4%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 16.5% | 16.5% |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano#12Win: 3.0%UCL: 15.7%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 13.7% | 13.7% |
| 10 | Atlético Madrid#9Win: 3.1%UCL: 16.5%UEL: 5.0%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.3% | 13.3% |
| 11 | Getafe#11Win: 3.2%UCL: 16.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 12.6% | 12.6% |
| 12 | Sevilla#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.3%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4% | 12.4% |
| 13 | Levante#8Win: 4.5%UCL: 21.3%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 9.7% | 9.7% |
| 14 | Real Sociedad#6Win: 4.6%UCL: 21.9%UEL: 6.1%ECL: 6.1%Releg: 8.9% | 8.9% |
| 15 | Athletic Bilbao#7Win: 5.7%UCL: 25.4%UEL: 6.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 7.6% | 7.6% |
| 16 | Osasuna#5Win: 6.9%UCL: 28.4%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 6.1% | 6.1% |
| 17 | Alavés#4Win: 7.7%UCL: 30.5%UEL: 7.1%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 5.6% |
| 18 | Betis#2Win: 11.3%UCL: 39.6%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 3.3% | 3.3% |
| 19 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.4%UCL: 41.4%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 20 | Barcelona#1Win: 23.8%UCL: 58.5%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 1.1% | 1.1% |
Round 5 of 38
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | UCL | UEL | ECL | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Barcelona#1Win: 23.8%UCL: 58.5%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 1.1% | 4 | 12 | 24% | 59% | 7% | 6% | 1% |
2 | Betis#2Win: 11.3%UCL: 39.6%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 3.3% | 4 | 9 | 11% | 40% | 8% | 7% | 3% |
3 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.4%UCL: 41.4%UEL: 7.6%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 3.2% | 4 | 9 | 12% | 41% | 8% | 7% | 3% |
4 | Alavés#4Win: 7.7%UCL: 30.5%UEL: 7.1%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 5.6% | 3 | 7 | 8% | 31% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
5 | Osasuna#5Win: 6.9%UCL: 28.4%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 6.1% | 4 | 7 | 7% | 28% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
6↑5 | Real Sociedad#6Win: 4.6%UCL: 21.9%UEL: 6.1%ECL: 6.1%Releg: 8.9% | 5 | 7 | 5% | 22% | 6% | 6% | 9% |
7↓1 | Athletic Bilbao#7Win: 5.7%UCL: 25.4%UEL: 6.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 7.6% | 4 | 6 | 6% | 25% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
8↓1 | Levante#8Win: 4.5%UCL: 21.3%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 9.7% | 3 | 5 | 5% | 21% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
9↓1 | Atlético de Madrid#9Win: 3.1%UCL: 16.5%UEL: 5.0%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.3% | 3 | 4 | 3% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
10↓1 | Sevilla#10Win: 3.4%UCL: 17.3%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4% | 3 | 4 | 3% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
11↑1 | Getafe#11Win: 3.2%UCL: 16.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 12.6% | 3 | 4 | 3% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
12↓2 | Rayo Vallecano#12Win: 3.0%UCL: 15.7%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 13.7% | 3 | 4 | 3% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 14% |
13 | Racing Santander#13Win: 2.4%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 16.5% | 3 | 3 | 2% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 17% |
14 | Celta#14Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.7%Releg: 22.7% | 5 | 3 | 1% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 23% |
15 | Villarreal#15Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.3%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 24.7% | 2 | 1 | 1% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 25% |
16 | Espanyol#16Win: 1.2%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.1%ECL: 3.3%Releg: 25.5% | 3 | 1 | 1% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 26% |
17 | Málaga#17Win: 1.2%UCL: 8.0%UEL: 3.0%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.1% | 2 | 1 | 1% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 26% |
18 | Valencia#18Win: 1.1%UCL: 7.7%UEL: 2.9%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 26.7% | 3 | 1 | 1% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 27% |
19 | Deportivo La Coruña#19Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.7%UEL: 2.7%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 28.3% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 28% |
20 | Elche#20Win: 0.8%UCL: 6.0%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 32.1% | 3 | 0 | 1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 32% |
WinUCLUELECLReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Racing Santander#13Winner: 2.4%Champions League: 13.4%Europa League: 4.4%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 16.5%12:00 PMAlavés#4Winner: 7.7%Champions League: 30.5%Europa League: 7.1%Conference League: 6.7%Relegation: 5.6%
12:00 PMAlavés#4Winner: 7.7%Champions League: 30.5%Europa League: 7.1%Conference League: 6.7%Relegation: 5.6%75%
9%
Osasuna#5Winner: 6.9%Champions League: 28.4%Europa League: 6.9%Conference League: 6.5%Relegation: 6.1%2:15 PMEspanyol#16Winner: 1.2%Champions League: 7.8%Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 3.3%Relegation: 25.5%
2:15 PMEspanyol#16Winner: 1.2%Champions League: 7.8%Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 3.3%Relegation: 25.5%72%
9%
Athletic Bilbao#7Winner: 5.7%Champions League: 25.4%Europa League: 6.4%Conference League: 6.3%Relegation: 7.6%4:30 PMElche#20Winner: 0.8%Champions League: 6.0%Europa League: 2.5%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 32.1%
4:30 PMElche#20Winner: 0.8%Champions League: 6.0%Europa League: 2.5%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 32.1%77%
8%
Real Madrid#3Winner: 12.4%Champions League: 41.4%Europa League: 7.6%Conference League: 6.6%Relegation: 3.2%7:00 PMRayo Vallecano#12Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 15.7%Europa League: 4.9%Conference League: 5.2%Relegation: 13.7%
7:00 PMRayo Vallecano#12Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 15.7%Europa League: 4.9%Conference League: 5.2%Relegation: 13.7%97%
1%
Celta#14Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 8.8%Europa League: 3.4%Conference League: 3.7%Relegation: 22.7%12:00 PMMálaga#17Winner: 1.2%Champions League: 8.0%Europa League: 3.0%Conference League: 3.4%Relegation: 26.1%
12:00 PMMálaga#17Winner: 1.2%Champions League: 8.0%Europa League: 3.0%Conference League: 3.4%Relegation: 26.1%67%
13%
Levante#8Winner: 4.5%Champions League: 21.3%Europa League: 6.0%Conference League: 5.9%Relegation: 9.7%2:15 PMBarcelona#1Winner: 23.8%Champions League: 58.5%Europa League: 7.2%Conference League: 5.9%Relegation: 1.1%
2:15 PMBarcelona#1Winner: 23.8%Champions League: 58.5%Europa League: 7.2%Conference League: 5.9%Relegation: 1.1%70%
12%
Getafe#11Winner: 3.2%Champions League: 16.8%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 5.2%Relegation: 12.6%4:30 PMDeportivo#19Winner: 0.9%Champions League: 6.7%Europa League: 2.7%Conference League: 3.0%Relegation: 28.3%
4:30 PMDeportivo#19Winner: 0.9%Champions League: 6.7%Europa League: 2.7%Conference League: 3.0%Relegation: 28.3%13%
65%
Real Sociedad#6Winner: 4.6%Champions League: 21.9%Europa League: 6.1%Conference League: 6.1%Relegation: 8.9%7:00 PMAtlético Madrid#9Winner: 3.1%Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.3%Relegation: 13.3%
7:00 PMAtlético Madrid#9Winner: 3.1%Champions League: 16.5%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.3%Relegation: 13.3%44%
29%
Villarreal#15Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 8.3%Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 3.5%Relegation: 24.7%7:00 PMBetis#2Winner: 11.3%Champions League: 39.6%Europa League: 7.6%Conference League: 7.0%Relegation: 3.3%
7:00 PMBetis#2Winner: 11.3%Champions League: 39.6%Europa League: 7.6%Conference League: 7.0%Relegation: 3.3%43%
28%
After Round 5: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Real Madrid's UCL probability dropped from 66.3% to 41.4% (-24.9%).
- ↓Valencia's Releg probability dropped from 49.7% to 26.7% (-23%).
- ↓Alavés's UCL probability dropped from 45.2% to 30.5% (-14.7%).
- ↑Atlético Madrid's UCL probability climbed from 6.6% to 16.5% (+9.9%).
- ↑Sevilla's UCL probability climbed from 8.3% to 17.3% (+9%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
La Liga 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
UCL:
UEL:
ECL:
La Liga 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the La Liga 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Barcelona currently have the highest title probability at 24%. With 33 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 26/27?
- Elche currently faces the highest relegation risk at 32%, followed by Deportivo at 28%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate La Liga 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the La Liga 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions