Who will win the Serie A 26/27?

Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Milan currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie A 26/27?

Milan currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Atalanta at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.

How does CupChances calculate Serie A 26/27 probabilities?

Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.

How often are the Serie A 26/27 predictions updated?

Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Serie A 26/27

Preview edition

Probability of winning the championship

#	Team	%
1	Milan	5.0%
2	Atalanta	5.0%
3	Bologna	5.0%
4	Cagliari	5.0%
5	Como	5.0%
6	Fiorentina	5.0%
7	Frosinone	5.0%
8	Genoa	5.0%
9	Inter	5.0%
10	Juventus	5.0%
11	Lazio	5.0%
12	Lecce	5.0%
13	Monza	5.0%
14	Napoli	5.0%
15	Parma	5.0%
16	Roma	5.0%
17	Sassuolo	5.0%
18	Torino	5.0%
19	Udinese	5.0%
20	Venezia	5.0%

Probability of access to the Champions League group phase

#	Team	%
1	Milan	15.0%
2	Atalanta	15.0%
3	Bologna	15.0%
4	Cagliari	15.0%
5	Como	15.0%
6	Fiorentina	15.0%
7	Frosinone	15.0%
8	Genoa	15.0%
9	Inter	15.0%
10	Juventus	15.0%
11	Lazio	15.0%
12	Lecce	15.0%
13	Monza	15.0%
14	Napoli	15.0%
15	Parma	15.0%
16	Roma	15.0%
17	Sassuolo	15.0%
18	Torino	15.0%
19	Udinese	15.0%
20	Venezia	15.0%

Probability of access to the Europa League group phase

#	Team	%
1	Milan	10.0%
2	Atalanta	10.0%
3	Bologna	10.0%
4	Cagliari	10.0%
5	Como	10.0%
6	Fiorentina	10.0%
7	Frosinone	10.0%
8	Genoa	10.0%
9	Inter	10.0%
10	Juventus	10.0%
11	Lazio	10.0%
12	Lecce	10.0%
13	Monza	10.0%
14	Napoli	10.0%
15	Parma	10.0%
16	Roma	10.0%
17	Sassuolo	10.0%
18	Torino	10.0%
19	Udinese	10.0%
20	Venezia	10.0%

Probability of access to the Conference League

#	Team	%
1	Milan	5.0%
2	Atalanta	5.0%
3	Bologna	5.0%
4	Cagliari	5.0%
5	Como	5.0%
6	Fiorentina	5.0%
7	Frosinone	5.0%
8	Genoa	5.0%
9	Inter	5.0%
10	Juventus	5.0%
11	Lazio	5.0%
12	Lecce	5.0%
13	Monza	5.0%
14	Napoli	5.0%
15	Parma	5.0%
16	Roma	5.0%
17	Sassuolo	5.0%
18	Torino	5.0%
19	Udinese	5.0%
20	Venezia	5.0%

Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship

#	Team	%
1	Milan	15.0%
2	Atalanta	15.0%
3	Bologna	15.0%
4	Cagliari	15.0%
5	Como	15.0%
6	Fiorentina	15.0%
7	Frosinone	15.0%
8	Genoa	15.0%
9	Inter	15.0%
10	Juventus	15.0%
11	Lazio	15.0%
12	Lecce	15.0%
13	Monza	15.0%
14	Napoli	15.0%
15	Parma	15.0%
16	Roma	15.0%
17	Sassuolo	15.0%
18	Torino	15.0%
19	Udinese	15.0%
20	Venezia	15.0%

#	Team	Title	UCL	UEL	ECL	Rel
1	Milan	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
2	Atalanta	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
3	Bologna	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
4	Cagliari	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
5	Como	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
6	Fiorentina	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
7	Frosinone	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
8	Genoa	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
9	Inter	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
10	Juventus	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
11	Lazio	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
12	Lecce	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
13	Monza	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
14	Napoli	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
15	Parma	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
16	Roma	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
17	Sassuolo	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
18	Torino	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
19	Udinese	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%
20	Venezia	5%	15%	10%	5%	15%

Serie A 26/27 — Season Outlook

Serie A 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Serie A 26/27?: Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Milan currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie A 26/27?: Milan currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Atalanta at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Serie A 26/27 probabilities?: Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Serie A 26/27 predictions updated?: Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions