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Milan UCL Chances 2027 — 23.4%

Serie A 26/27 · Round 5 of 38 · Rank #5 · 5 MP

Serie ACoppa Italia 2026/27
Milan Serie A 26/27 — Key Insights
7.6%
Win
3.9%
Releg
#5
Position
WWDDW
Last 5 matches
Milan are in realistic contention for UCL at 23.4%, currently ranked 5th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Milan are 5th in the Serie A 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 23.4% chance of ucl — with 33 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Serie A 26/27 matches, Milan have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, Milan's win chance currently stands at 7.6%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Serie A 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Milan's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 7.6%
  • UCL: 23.4%
  • UEL: 14.4%
  • ECL: 6.3%
  • Releg: 3.9%

More analysis

Win →UCL →UEL →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Serie A 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Roma Win ChancesInter UCL ChancesLazio UCL ChancesCagliari 2027 Season OddsJuventus UEL ChancesFrosinone 2027 Season OddsComo ECL ChancesNapoli 2027 Season OddsSassuolo 2027 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Sassuolo#10Win: 3.5%UCL: 12.6%UEL: 11.4%ECL: 6.0%Releg: 9.1%4:00 PMMilan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%
45%
28%
Milan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%4:00 PMAtalanta#11Win: 2.5%UCL: 9.8%UEL: 10.1%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 11.9%
58%
17%
Udinese#13Win: 0.8%UCL: 3.9%UEL: 5.8%ECL: 4.1%Releg: 23.6%7:45 PMMilan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%
14%
63%
Milan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%5:30 PMBologna#18Win: 0.4%UCL: 2.2%UEL: 3.8%ECL: 2.8%Releg: 34.4%
58%
17%
Genoa#19Win: 0.5%UCL: 2.5%UEL: 4.1%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 34.8%2:00 PMMilan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%
22%
51%

Latest News

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Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-20Campeonato Italiano, Serie AMilan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%3 - 0Lecce#12Win: 2.4%UCL: 9.5%UEL: 9.6%ECL: 5.5%Releg: 13.4%
2026-09-12Campeonato Italiano, Serie ALazio#3Win: 16.5%UCL: 39.6%UEL: 14.6%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 1.4%2 - 2Milan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%
2026-09-06Campeonato Italiano, Serie AJuventus#6Win: 8.0%UCL: 24.1%UEL: 14.5%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.9%1 - 1Milan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%
2026-08-28Campeonato Italiano, Serie AMilan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%2 - 0Venezia#20Win: 0.3%UCL: 1.7%UEL: 3.2%ECL: 2.5%Releg: 40.8%
2026-08-23Campeonato Italiano, Serie ATorino#14Win: 0.8%UCL: 4.0%UEL: 5.8%ECL: 4.1%Releg: 23.8%1 - 2Milan#5Win: 7.6%UCL: 23.4%UEL: 14.4%ECL: 6.3%Releg: 3.9%