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Frosinone Promotion Chances 2026 — 59.5%

Serie B 25/26 · Round 36 of 38 · Rank #3 · 36 MP

Frosinone Serie B 25/26 — Key Insights
7.2%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#3
Position
WWDWW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Frosinone are 3rd in the Serie B 25/26 2026 season after 36 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 59.5% chance of promotion — with 2 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Serie B 25/26 matches, Frosinone have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their promotion probability, Frosinone's winner chance currently stands at 7.2%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Serie B 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Frosinone's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 7.2%
  • Promotion: 59.5%
  • Playoff: 40.5%
  • Playout: 0.0%Since 2025-11-22
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-11-01

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9%11:00 PMFrosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
31%
41%
Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%11:00 PMMantova#11Playoff: 7.5%
59%
17%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-25Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%3 - 0Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4%
2026-04-18Modena#6Playoff: 99.9%1 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-04-10Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%1 - 1Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9%
2026-04-05Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 0Padova#14Playout: 7.5%
2026-03-22Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6%1 - 3Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-03-18Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 1Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%
2026-03-14Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0%2 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-03-08Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%3 - 0Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%
2026-03-04Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 2Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%
2026-03-01Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9%2 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-02-20Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 2Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%
2026-02-15Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%0 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-02-11Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0%1 - 3Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-02-07Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%1 - 2Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%
2026-01-31Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%1 - 1Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-01-24Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%1 - 0Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%
2026-01-17Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%2 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2026-01-10Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 0Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9%
2025-12-27Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0%1 - 1Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-12-20Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 1Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3%
2025-12-14Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3%1 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-12-08Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%3 - 0Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9%
2025-11-29Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8%0 - 1Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-11-22Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1%2 - 3Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-11-08Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 2Modena#6Playoff: 99.9%
2025-11-01Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4%0 - 2Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-10-28Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%4 - 0Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6%
2025-10-25Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3%1 - 1Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-10-18Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%0 - 1Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8%
2025-10-04Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7%3 - 0Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-09-30Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%3 - 1Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0%
2025-09-27Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5%1 - 5Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-09-19Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 2Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6%
2025-09-13Padova#14Playout: 7.5%0 - 1Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-08-30Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9%0 - 0Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%
2025-08-24Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5%2 - 0Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0%