Alavés
Alavés Relegation Chances 2026 — 21.2%
La Liga 25/26 · Round 33 of 38 · Rank #16 · 33 MP
Alavés La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
21.2%
Relegation
#16
Position
WDDLW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Alavés are 16th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 21.2% chance of relegation — with 5 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Alavés have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Alavés's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-11-09
- Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-08
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-03
- Conference League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-21
- Relegation: 21.2%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2%3:00 PM
Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%
3:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4%22%
56%
29%
37%
Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2%3:00 PM
Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5%
3:00 PMRayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5%22%
56%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 2 - 1 |  Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% |
| 2026-04-21 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 1 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-04-11 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 3 - 3 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-04-05 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 2 - 2 |  Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% |
| 2026-03-22 | Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6% | 3 - 4 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-03-13 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 1 |  Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-03-08 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8% | 3 - 2 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-02-27 | Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% | 2 - 0 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-02-23 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 2 - 2 |  Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9% |
| 2026-02-14 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 1 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-02-08 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 0 - 2 |  Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% |
| 2026-01-30 | Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5% | 1 - 2 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-01-25 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 2 - 1 |  Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6% |
| 2026-01-18 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% | 1 - 0 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-01-10 | Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 1 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-01-04 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 1 |  Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3% |
| 2025-12-20 | Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% | 3 - 0 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-12-14 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-06 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 0 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% |
| 2025-11-29 | Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 1 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-11-22 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 0 - 1 | Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6% |
| 2025-11-08 | Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9% | 1 - 0 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-11-02 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 2 - 1 | Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5% |
| 2025-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5% | 1 - 0 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-10-20 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 0 - 0 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8% |
| 2025-10-05 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 3 - 1 |  Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1% |
| 2025-09-27 | Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% | 1 - 0 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-09-24 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% | 1 - 1 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-09-20 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-09-13 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 0 - 1 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-08-30 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 1 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% |
| 2025-08-22 | Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6% | 1 - 0 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2025-08-16 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 2 - 1 | Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% |