Sevilla
Sevilla Relegation Chances 2026 — 57.5%
La Liga 25/26 · Round 33 of 38 · Rank #18 · 33 MP
Sevilla La Liga 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
57.5%
Relegation
#18
Position
LLWLL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Sevilla are 18th in the La Liga 25/26 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 57.5% chance of relegation — with 5 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 25/26 matches, Sevilla have recorded 1 win, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Sevilla's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-11-22
- Champions League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-27
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-06
- Conference League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-23
- Relegation: 57.5%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
19%
60%
58%
19%
19%
60%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% | 2 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-04-23 | Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% | 2 - 0 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-04-11 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 2 - 1 |  Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% |
| 2026-04-05 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3% | 1 - 0 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-03-21 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 0 - 2 |  Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8% |
| 2026-03-15 | Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% | 5 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-03-08 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 1 |  Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5% |
| 2026-03-01 | Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6% | 2 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-02-22 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% | 0 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-02-14 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 1 |  Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% |
| 2026-02-08 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 1 |  Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9% |
| 2026-02-02 | Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% | 4 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 2 - 1 |  Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% |
| 2026-01-19 | Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1% | 2 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2026-01-12 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 0 - 1 |  Celta#7Europa League: 4.2%Conference League: 30.6% |
| 2026-01-04 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 0 - 3 | Levante#19Relegation: 66.8% |
| 2025-12-20 | Real Madrid#2Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 99.9% | 2 - 0 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-12-14 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 4 - 0 | Real Oviedo#20Relegation: 99.3% |
| 2025-12-07 | Valencia#11Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.8% | 1 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-11-30 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 0 - 2 | Betis#5Champions League: 0.3%Europa League: 87.1%Conference League: 9.6% |
| 2025-11-24 | Espanyol#13Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 3.5% | 2 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-11-08 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 0 | Osasuna#9Europa League: 0.9%Conference League: 10.4% |
| 2025-11-01 | Atlético de Madrid#4Champions League: 99.7%Europa League: 0.3% | 3 - 0 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-10-24 | Real Sociedad#8Europa League: 3.1%Conference League: 16.3% | 2 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-10-18 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 3 | Mallorca#17Relegation: 31.9% |
| 2025-10-05 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 4 - 1 | Barcelona#1Winner: 99.8%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-09-28 | Rayo Vallecano#12Europa League: 0.1%Conference League: 1.2%Relegation: 2.5% | 0 - 1 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-09-23 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 2 |  Villarreal#3Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2025-09-20 | Alavés#16Relegation: 21.2% | 1 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-09-12 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 2 - 2 | Elche#14Conference League: 0.8%Relegation: 5.1% |
| 2025-08-30 | Girona#15Conference League: 0.4%Relegation: 8.9% | 0 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |
| 2025-08-25 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% | 1 - 2 | Getafe#6Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 23.7% |
| 2025-08-17 | Athletic Bilbao#10Europa League: 0.4%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 0.4% | 3 - 2 | Sevilla#18Relegation: 57.5% |