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La Liga 26/27

Preview edition

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid#1Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
2Espanyol logoEspanyol#2Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
3Getafe logoGetafe#3Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
4Osasuna logoOsasuna#4Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
5Deportivo La Coruña logoDeportivo La Coruña#5Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
6Levante logoLevante#6Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
7Málaga logoMálaga#7Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
8Elche logoElche#8Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
9Celta logoCelta#9Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
10Alavés logoAlavés#10Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
11Real Madrid logoReal Madrid#11Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
12Barcelona logoBarcelona#12Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
13Athletic Bilbao logoAthletic Bilbao#13Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
14Racing Santander logoRacing Santander#14Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
15Villarreal logoVillarreal#15Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
16Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad#16Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
17Sevilla logoSevilla#17Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
18Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano#18Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
19Valencia logoValencia#19Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%
20Betis logoBetis#20Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Conference League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%
5.0%

La Liga 26/27 — Season Outlook

Winner:

Atlético de Madrid Winner Chances (5.0%)Espanyol Winner Chances (5.0%)Getafe Winner Chances (5.0%)Osasuna Winner Chances (5.0%)Deportivo La Coruña Winner Chances (5.0%)Levante Winner Chances (5.0%)

Champions League:

Atlético de Madrid Champions League Chances (20.0%)Espanyol Champions League Chances (20.0%)Getafe Champions League Chances (20.0%)Osasuna Champions League Chances (20.0%)Deportivo La Coruña Champions League Chances (20.0%)Levante Champions League Chances (20.0%)

Europa League:

Atlético de Madrid Europa League Chances (5.0%)Espanyol Europa League Chances (5.0%)Getafe Europa League Chances (5.0%)Osasuna Europa League Chances (5.0%)Deportivo La Coruña Europa League Chances (5.0%)Levante Europa League Chances (5.0%)

Conference League:

Atlético de Madrid Conference League Chances (5.0%)Espanyol Conference League Chances (5.0%)Getafe Conference League Chances (5.0%)Osasuna Conference League Chances (5.0%)Deportivo La Coruña Conference League Chances (5.0%)Levante Conference League Chances (5.0%)

Relegation:

Atlético de Madrid Relegation Chances (15.0%)Espanyol Relegation Chances (15.0%)Getafe Relegation Chances (15.0%)Osasuna Relegation Chances (15.0%)Deportivo La Coruña Relegation Chances (15.0%)Levante Relegation Chances (15.0%)

La Liga 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the La Liga 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Atlético de Madrid currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 26/27?
Atlético de Madrid currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Espanyol at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate La Liga 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the La Liga 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions