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La Liga 26/27 — Round 7 of 38

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Barcelona logoBarcelona#1Win: 44.1%UCL: 82.1%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 0.1%
44.1%
2Betis logoBetis#2Win: 14.7%UCL: 55.0%UEL: 8.6%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 0.7%
14.7%
3Real Madrid logoReal Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0%
12.6%
4Atlético Madrid logoAtlético Madrid#4Win: 7.6%UCL: 38.0%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.8%Releg: 2.4%
7.6%
5Sevilla logoSevilla#5Win: 3.0%UCL: 21.2%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 6.5%
3.0%
6Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad#6Win: 3.0%UCL: 20.3%UEL: 6.7%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 7.2%
3.0%
7Athletic Bilbao logoAthletic Bilbao#10Win: 2.5%UCL: 19.0%UEL: 6.6%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 8.2%
2.5%
8Alavés logoAlavés#7Win: 1.8%UCL: 14.4%UEL: 5.6%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 10.6%
1.8%
9Getafe logoGetafe#11Win: 1.7%UCL: 14.0%UEL: 5.3%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 11.0%
1.7%
10Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano#9Win: 1.6%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 12.0%
1.6%
11Osasuna logoOsasuna#8Win: 1.5%UCL: 12.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4%
1.5%
12Villarreal logoVillarreal#12Win: 1.3%UCL: 11.8%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.4%
1.3%
13Celta logoCelta#13Win: 1.3%UCL: 11.3%UEL: 4.8%ECL: 5.1%Releg: 13.8%
1.3%
14Levante logoLevante#15Win: 1.0%UCL: 9.5%UEL: 4.1%ECL: 4.6%Releg: 17.0%
1.0%
15Racing Santander logoRacing Santander#14Win: 0.8%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.9%Releg: 20.5%
0.8%
16Elche logoElche#16Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.6%UEL: 2.4%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 28.3%
0.4%
17Espanyol logoEspanyol#17Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 27.4%
0.4%
18Valencia logoValencia#18Win: 0.3%UCL: 4.5%UEL: 2.3%ECL: 2.8%Releg: 29.2%
0.3%
19Deportivo logoDeportivo#19Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.7%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 2.0%Releg: 37.8%
0.2%
20Málaga logoMálaga#20Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.5%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 1.8%Releg: 40.5%
0.2%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Barcelona#1Winner: 44.1%Champions League: 82.1%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 3.5%Relegation: 0.1%5:00 PMGetafe#11Winner: 1.7%Champions League: 14.0%Europa League: 5.3%Conference League: 5.7%Relegation: 11.0%
98%
0%
Alavés#7Winner: 1.8%Champions League: 14.4%Europa League: 5.6%Conference League: 5.7%Relegation: 10.6%5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Winner: 7.6%Champions League: 38.0%Europa League: 8.7%Conference League: 7.8%Relegation: 2.4%
67%
14%
Racing Santander#14Winner: 0.8%Champions League: 7.8%Europa League: 3.4%Conference League: 3.9%Relegation: 20.5%5:00 PMValencia#18Winner: 0.3%Champions League: 4.5%Europa League: 2.3%Conference League: 2.8%Relegation: 29.2%
66%
14%
Levante#15Winner: 1.0%Champions League: 9.5%Europa League: 4.1%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 17.0%5:00 PMSevilla#5Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 21.2%Europa League: 6.9%Conference League: 7.2%Relegation: 6.5%
42%
34%
Elche#16Winner: 0.4%Champions League: 4.6%Europa League: 2.4%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 28.3%5:00 PMCelta#13Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 11.3%Europa League: 4.8%Conference League: 5.1%Relegation: 13.8%
46%
31%
Betis#2Winner: 14.7%Champions League: 55.0%Europa League: 8.6%Conference League: 7.2%Relegation: 0.7%5:00 PMOsasuna#8Winner: 1.5%Champions League: 12.8%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 5.4%Relegation: 12.4%
71%
9%
Real Madrid#3Winner: 12.6%Champions League: 50.3%Europa League: 8.7%Conference League: 7.4%Relegation: 1.0%5:00 PMVillarreal#12Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 11.8%Europa League: 4.9%Conference League: 5.3%Relegation: 13.4%
96%
1%
Rayo Vallecano#9Winner: 1.6%Champions League: 13.4%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 5.6%Relegation: 12.0%5:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Winner: 2.5%Champions League: 19.0%Europa League: 6.6%Conference League: 6.5%Relegation: 8.2%
75%
9%
Málaga#20Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 2.5%Europa League: 1.5%Conference League: 1.8%Relegation: 40.5%5:00 PMEspanyol#17Winner: 0.4%Champions League: 4.9%Europa League: 2.5%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 27.4%
6%
79%
Real Sociedad#6Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 20.3%Europa League: 6.7%Conference League: 6.7%Relegation: 7.2%5:00 PMDeportivo#19Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 2.7%Europa League: 1.5%Conference League: 2.0%Relegation: 37.8%
56%
21%

After Round 7: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Real Madrid's UCL probability dropped from 82% to 50.3% (-31.7%).
  • Atlético Madrid's UCL probability climbed from 22.3% to 38% (+15.7%).
  • Alavés's UCL probability dropped from 29.3% to 14.4% (-14.9%).
  • Sevilla's UCL probability climbed from 8.5% to 21.2% (+12.7%).
  • Valencia's Releg probability dropped from 41.7% to 29.2% (-12.5%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

La Liga 26/27 — Season Outlook

La Liga 26/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the La Liga 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Barcelona currently have the highest title probability at 44%. With 31 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 26/27?
Málaga currently faces the highest relegation risk at 41%, followed by Deportivo at 38%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate La Liga 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the La Liga 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions