Real Madrid
Real Madrid UCL Chances 2027 — 50.3%
La Liga 26/27 · Round 7 of 38 · Rank #3 · 7 MP
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Real Madrid are 3rd in the La Liga 26/27 2027 season after 7 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 50.3% chance of ucl — with 31 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 26/27 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Real Madrid's win chance currently stands at 12.6%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Real Madrid's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 12.6%
- UCL: 50.3%
- UEL: 8.7%
- ECL: 7.4%
- Releg: 1.0%
More analysis
← View all La Liga 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
5:00 PM
Villarreal#12Win: 1.3%UCL: 11.8%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.4%5:00 PM
Sevilla#5Win: 3.0%UCL: 21.2%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 6.5%
8:00 PMReal Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0%
5:00 PMReal Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0%
5:00 PMReal Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 1 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-09-15 | | Elche#16Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.6%UEL: 2.4%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 28.3% | 2 - 3 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% | 4 - 1 |  Rayo Vallecano#9Win: 1.6%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 12.0% |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% | 2 - 1 | Inter | |
| 2026-09-04 | | Betis#2Win: 14.7%UCL: 55.0%UEL: 8.6%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 0.7% | 1 - 0 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% | 4 - 0 |  Málaga#20Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.5%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 1.8%Releg: 40.5% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% | 4 - 1 |  Real Sociedad#6Win: 3.0%UCL: 20.3%UEL: 6.7%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 7.2% |
| 2026-08-22 | | Espanyol#17Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 27.4% | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0% |