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Newcastle

Newcastle Champions League Chances

Premier League 26/27

4.7%
Winner
22.0%
↓ -0.5% since last round
Champions League
6.0%
Europa League
8.5%
Relegation

Newcastle remain in realistic contention for Champions League qualification at 22.0%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 16 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner4.7%
Champions League22.0%
Europa League6.0%
Relegation8.5%

Newcastle are currently 9th in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (2W 2D 1L, 8 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 22%, Newcastle are currently a realistic contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Newcastle's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Newcastle's probability of Champions League qualification has dropped from 23% to 22%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Newcastle achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Premier League 26/27 — Champions League odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →

View full Newcastle stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.