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Croatia Knockout Chances 2026 — 80.0%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #14 · 0 MP

How far can Croatia go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Croatia's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Croatia FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
1.8%
Winner
20.0%
Group Stage Exit
#14
Position
Croatia are the clear favourites for Knockout at 80.0%, currently ranked 14th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 1.8%
  • Final: 4.0%
  • Semifinals: 9.4%
  • Quarterfinals: 20.0%
  • Round of 16: 41.8%
  • Knockout: 80.0%
  • Group Stage Exit: 20.0%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Mexico Round of 16 ChancesPortugal Round of 16 ChancesSpain Round of 16 ChancesSwitzerland Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 ChancesUruguay Round of 16 ChancesEcuador Knockout ChancesMorocco Knockout ChancesSweden Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

England#8Winner: 5.1%Final: 10.4%Semifinals: 17.8%Quarterfinals: 33.8%Round of 16: 65.2%Knockout: 92.8%Group Stage Exit: 7.2%8:00 PMCroatia#14Winner: 1.8%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 9.4%Quarterfinals: 20.0%Round of 16: 41.8%Knockout: 80.0%Group Stage Exit: 20.0%
Panama#40Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 1.5%Quarterfinals: 4.9%Round of 16: 15.9%Knockout: 53.1%Group Stage Exit: 46.9%11:00 PMCroatia#14Winner: 1.8%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 9.4%Quarterfinals: 20.0%Round of 16: 41.8%Knockout: 80.0%Group Stage Exit: 20.0%
Croatia#14Winner: 1.8%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 9.4%Quarterfinals: 20.0%Round of 16: 41.8%Knockout: 80.0%Group Stage Exit: 20.0%9:00 PMGhana#41Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 1.2%Quarterfinals: 3.8%Round of 16: 11.8%Knockout: 43.8%Group Stage Exit: 56.2%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway