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Ecuador Knockout Chances 2026 — 87.6%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #17 · 0 MP

How far can Ecuador go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Ecuador's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Ecuador FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
1.4%
Winner
12.4%
Group Stage Exit
#17
Position
Ecuador are the clear favourites for Knockout at 87.6%, currently ranked 17th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 1.4%
  • Final: 3.9%
  • Semifinals: 8.4%
  • Quarterfinals: 16.2%
  • Round of 16: 45.5%
  • Knockout: 87.6%
  • Group Stage Exit: 12.4%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Switzerland Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesCroatia Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 ChancesUruguay Round of 16 ChancesMorocco Knockout ChancesSweden Knockout ChancesCzech Republic Knockout ChancesJapan Knockout ChancesTunisia Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Ivory Coast#43Final: 0.1%Semifinals: 0.3%Quarterfinals: 1.0%Round of 16: 4.9%Knockout: 20.9%Group Stage Exit: 79.1%11:00 PMEcuador#17Winner: 1.4%Final: 3.9%Semifinals: 8.4%Quarterfinals: 16.2%Round of 16: 45.5%Knockout: 87.6%Group Stage Exit: 12.4%
Ecuador#17Winner: 1.4%Final: 3.9%Semifinals: 8.4%Quarterfinals: 16.2%Round of 16: 45.5%Knockout: 87.6%Group Stage Exit: 12.4%12:00 AMCuraçao#34Winner: 0.2%Final: 0.6%Semifinals: 1.7%Quarterfinals: 5.3%Round of 16: 20.5%Knockout: 68.6%Group Stage Exit: 31.4%
Ecuador#17Winner: 1.4%Final: 3.9%Semifinals: 8.4%Quarterfinals: 16.2%Round of 16: 45.5%Knockout: 87.6%Group Stage Exit: 12.4%8:00 PMGermany#4Winner: 9.2%Final: 16.5%Semifinals: 27.5%Quarterfinals: 39.0%Round of 16: 68.7%Knockout: 96.0%Group Stage Exit: 4.0%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway