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Haiti Group Stage Exit Chances 2026 — 90.3%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #42 · 1 MP

How far can Haiti go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Haiti's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Haiti FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
90.3%
Group Stage Exit
#42
Position
L
Last 1 matches
Haiti are the clear favourites for Group Stage Exit at 90.3%, currently ranked 42nd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Haiti are 42nd in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 1 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 90.3% chance of group stage exit — with 86 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 1 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Haiti have recorded 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Haiti's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-05-01
  • Final: 0.0%Since 2026-06-14
  • Semifinals: 0.1%
  • Quarterfinals: 0.5%
  • Round of 16: 2.4%
  • Knockout: 9.7%
  • Group Stage Exit: 90.3%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Paraguay Group Stage Exit ChancesIraq Group Stage Exit ChancesUzbekistan Group Stage Exit ChancesGhana Group Stage Exit ChancesPanama Group Stage Exit ChancesIvory Coast Group Stage Exit ChancesCape Verde Group Stage Exit ChancesIran Group Stage Exit ChancesNew Zealand Group Stage Exit ChancesJordan Group Stage Exit Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Brazil#3Winner: 10.8%Final: 16.2%Semifinals: 28.4%Quarterfinals: 45.8%Round of 16: 69.9%Knockout: 91.9%Group Stage Exit: 8.1%12:30 AMHaiti#42Semifinals: 0.1%Quarterfinals: 0.5%Round of 16: 2.4%Knockout: 9.7%Group Stage Exit: 90.3%
Morocco#17Winner: 1.4%Final: 3.2%Semifinals: 9.2%Quarterfinals: 21.5%Round of 16: 48.0%Knockout: 86.0%Group Stage Exit: 14.0%10:00 PMHaiti#42Semifinals: 0.1%Quarterfinals: 0.5%Round of 16: 2.4%Knockout: 9.7%Group Stage Exit: 90.3%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-13Haiti#42Semifinals: 0.1%Quarterfinals: 0.5%Round of 16: 2.4%Knockout: 9.7%Group Stage Exit: 90.3%0 - 1Scotland#23Winner: 0.7%Final: 1.8%Semifinals: 6.2%Quarterfinals: 17.2%Round of 16: 43.1%Knockout: 88.6%Group Stage Exit: 11.4%