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Iraq Group Stage Exit Chances 2026 — 65.0%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #38 · 0 MP

How far can Iraq go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Iraq's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Iraq FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.1%
Winner
65.0%
Group Stage Exit
#38
Position
Iraq are strong contenders for Group Stage Exit at 65.0%, currently ranked 38th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.1%
  • Final: 0.2%
  • Semifinals: 0.6%
  • Quarterfinals: 1.8%
  • Round of 16: 8.5%
  • Knockout: 35.0%
  • Group Stage Exit: 65.0%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

South Africa Group Stage Exit ChancesCuraçao Group Stage Exit ChancesSouth Korea Group Stage Exit ChancesParaguay Group Stage Exit ChancesSaudi Arabia Group Stage Exit ChancesUzbekistan Group Stage Exit ChancesPanama Group Stage Exit ChancesGhana Group Stage Exit ChancesHaiti Group Stage Exit ChancesIvory Coast Group Stage Exit Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Iraq#38Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 1.8%Round of 16: 8.5%Knockout: 35.0%Group Stage Exit: 65.0%10:00 PMNorway#24Winner: 0.6%Final: 1.7%Semifinals: 3.6%Quarterfinals: 7.8%Round of 16: 27.7%Knockout: 69.4%Group Stage Exit: 30.6%
France#1Winner: 12.4%Final: 18.5%Semifinals: 26.8%Quarterfinals: 34.5%Round of 16: 67.4%Knockout: 94.7%Group Stage Exit: 5.3%9:00 PMIraq#38Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 1.8%Round of 16: 8.5%Knockout: 35.0%Group Stage Exit: 65.0%
Senegal#15Winner: 1.7%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 7.6%Quarterfinals: 13.6%Round of 16: 36.2%Knockout: 76.6%Group Stage Exit: 23.4%7:00 PMIraq#38Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 0.6%Quarterfinals: 1.8%Round of 16: 8.5%Knockout: 35.0%Group Stage Exit: 65.0%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway