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Scotland World Cup 2026 — 100.0% Group Stage Exit

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 104 of 94 · Rank #10 · 3 MP

How far can Scotland go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Scotland's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Scotland FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
100.0%
Group Stage Exit
#10
Position
WLL
Last 3 matches
Scotland are the clear favourites for Group Stage Exit at 100.0%, currently ranked 10th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Scotland are 10th in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 3 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of group stage exit — with -10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 3 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Scotland have recorded 1 win, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Scotland's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-06-24
  • Final: 0.0%Since 2026-06-25
  • Semifinals: 0.0%Since 2026-06-25
  • Quarterfinals: 0.0%Since 2026-06-26
  • Round of 16: 0.0%Since 2026-06-27
  • Knockout: 0.0%Since 2026-06-27
  • Group Stage Exit: 100.0%Since 2026-06-27

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

South Africa Quarterfinals ChancesBosnia and Herzegovina Quarterfinals ChancesQatar Quarterfinals ChancesSwitzerland Quarterfinals ChancesCanada Round of 16 ChancesMorocco Round of 16 ChancesBrazil Round of 16 ChancesHaiti Round of 16 ChancesParaguay Round of 16 ChancesAustralia Round of 16 Chances

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-24Scotland#10Group Stage Exit: 100.0%0 - 3Brazil#12Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-19Scotland#10Group Stage Exit: 100.0%0 - 1Morocco#11Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%
2026-06-13Haiti#13Group Stage Exit: 100.0%0 - 1Scotland#10Group Stage Exit: 100.0%