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Sweden Knockout Chances 2026 — 65.4%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #18 · 0 MP

How far can Sweden go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Sweden's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Sweden FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
1.2%
Winner
34.6%
Group Stage Exit
#18
Position
Sweden are strong contenders for Knockout at 65.4%, currently ranked 18th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 1.2%
  • Final: 3.0%
  • Semifinals: 6.4%
  • Quarterfinals: 15.0%
  • Round of 16: 28.3%
  • Knockout: 65.4%
  • Group Stage Exit: 34.6%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Croatia Round of 16 ChancesUruguay Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 ChancesMorocco Knockout ChancesEcuador Knockout ChancesJapan Knockout ChancesCzech Republic Knockout ChancesScotland Knockout ChancesTunisia Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Sweden#18Winner: 1.2%Final: 3.0%Semifinals: 6.4%Quarterfinals: 15.0%Round of 16: 28.3%Knockout: 65.4%Group Stage Exit: 34.6%2:00 AMTunisia#23Winner: 0.7%Final: 2.0%Semifinals: 4.4%Quarterfinals: 11.6%Round of 16: 23.6%Knockout: 62.0%Group Stage Exit: 38.0%
Netherlands#8Winner: 5.2%Final: 9.9%Semifinals: 16.8%Quarterfinals: 33.2%Round of 16: 55.4%Knockout: 88.2%Group Stage Exit: 11.8%5:00 PMSweden#18Winner: 1.2%Final: 3.0%Semifinals: 6.4%Quarterfinals: 15.0%Round of 16: 28.3%Knockout: 65.4%Group Stage Exit: 34.6%
Japan#20Winner: 1.0%Final: 2.8%Semifinals: 5.8%Quarterfinals: 13.7%Round of 16: 26.1%Knockout: 62.7%Group Stage Exit: 37.3%11:00 PMSweden#18Winner: 1.2%Final: 3.0%Semifinals: 6.4%Quarterfinals: 15.0%Round of 16: 28.3%Knockout: 65.4%Group Stage Exit: 34.6%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway