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Turkey Knockout Chances 2026 — 70.0%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #23 · 0 MP

How far can Turkey go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Turkey's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Turkey FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.6%
Winner
30.0%
Group Stage Exit
#23
Position
Turkey are strong contenders for Knockout at 70.0%, currently ranked 23rd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.6%
  • Final: 2.1%
  • Semifinals: 4.4%
  • Quarterfinals: 10.5%
  • Round of 16: 21.9%
  • Knockout: 70.0%
  • Group Stage Exit: 30.0%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Morocco Knockout ChancesSweden Knockout ChancesCzech Republic Knockout ChancesJapan Knockout ChancesTunisia Knockout ChancesNorway Knockout ChancesCanada Knockout ChancesAustralia Knockout ChancesEgypt Knockout ChancesQatar Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Australia#26Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.5%Semifinals: 3.1%Quarterfinals: 7.8%Round of 16: 16.5%Knockout: 56.3%Group Stage Exit: 43.7%4:00 AMTurkey#23Winner: 0.6%Final: 2.1%Semifinals: 4.4%Quarterfinals: 10.5%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 70.0%Group Stage Exit: 30.0%
Turkey#23Winner: 0.6%Final: 2.1%Semifinals: 4.4%Quarterfinals: 10.5%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 70.0%Group Stage Exit: 30.0%3:00 AMParaguay#36Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 0.7%Quarterfinals: 2.4%Round of 16: 6.0%Knockout: 30.0%Group Stage Exit: 70.0%
Turkey#23Winner: 0.6%Final: 2.1%Semifinals: 4.4%Quarterfinals: 10.5%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 70.0%Group Stage Exit: 30.0%2:00 AMUnited States#6Winner: 5.6%Final: 17.1%Semifinals: 27.6%Quarterfinals: 43.6%Round of 16: 62.1%Knockout: 98.2%Group Stage Exit: 1.8%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway