Chelsea Title Chances 2026
Premier League 2025/26
Chelsea have no remaining chance of winning the Premier League title according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Title | 0.0% |
| Top 4 (Champions League) | 0.0% |
| Top 6 (Europa League) | 0.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Chelsea are currently 8th in the Premier League 2025/26 table with 34 matches played (13W 9D 12L, 48 pts).
🔍 What This Means
Chelsea have no remaining mathematical chance of winning the Premier League title. Chelsea's title probability is shaped by their current points tally, goal difference, and the difficulty of their remaining schedule relative to the leaders.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Chelsea achieves winning the Premier League title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 2025/26 — title odds for every team
| Arsenal | 71.6% |
| Manchester City | 28.4% |
| Manchester United | 0.0% |
| Liverpool | 0.0% |
| Aston Villa | 0.0% |
| Brighton | 0.0% |
| Bournemouth | 0.0% |
| Brentford | 0.0% |
| Fulham | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.