Chapecoense Winner Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Chapecoense have no remaining chance of winning the title according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Libertadores | 0.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 1.6% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 14.5% |
| Relegation | 58.7% |
Chapecoense are currently 20th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 12 matches played (1W 5D 6L, 8 pts).
🔍 What This Means
Chapecoense have no remaining mathematical chance of winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Chapecoense's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Chapecoense achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Winner odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 46.3% |
| Flamengo | 18.7% |
| Fluminense | 12.6% |
| São Paulo | 5.8% |
| Athletico-PR | 4.5% |
| Bahia | 4.7% |
| Coritiba | 1.6% |
| Botafogo | 1.4% |
| Bragantino | 0.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.