Sport Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Sport remain in realistic contention for promotion at 25.8%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 6.8% |
| Promotion | 25.8% |
| Relegation | 12.6% |
Sport are currently 7th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 6 matches played (2W 4D 0L, 10 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 25.8%, Sport are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Sport's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Sport achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Vila Nova | 36.7% |
| Fortaleza | 30.7% |
| São Bernardo | 27.7% |
| Criciúma | 27.4% |
| Juventude | 27.4% |
| Ceará | 26.2% |
| Náutico | 22.5% |
| Operário-PR | 21.7% |
| Novorizontino | 18.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.