Sport Promotion Chances 2026

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Sport are currently 6th in the Brasileirão Série B 2026 table with 22 matches played (8W 11D 3L, 35 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 27.7%, Sport are currently a realistic contender for automatic promotion to the Brasileirão. The model weighs Sport's current points, goal difference and remaining schedule against every other team in the promotion race. Over the last 2 rounds, Sport's probability of automatic promotion to the Brasileirão has climbed from 19% to 27.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Sport achieves automatic promotion to the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão Série B 2026 — promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão Série B 2026 table →