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Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Round 19 of 12

Updated at

Expected champion

Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.

Inter logoInter22.3%
Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Inter logoInter#1Win: 22.3%Final: 22.3%SF: 33.6%QF: 52.5%R16: 74.6%
22.3%
2Como logoComo#2Win: 13.3%Final: 13.3%SF: 22.3%QF: 40.2%R16: 70.3%
13.3%
3Roma logoRoma#3Win: 11.1%Final: 11.1%SF: 25.7%QF: 46.0%R16: 74.4%
11.1%
4Juventus logoJuventus#4Win: 6.7%Final: 6.7%SF: 14.7%QF: 26.9%R16: 60.3%
6.7%
5Napoli logoNapoli#5Win: 6.5%Final: 6.5%SF: 14.5%QF: 29.0%R16: 62.6%
6.5%
6Atalanta logoAtalanta#6Win: 6.2%Final: 6.2%SF: 14.5%QF: 30.9%R16: 56.2%
6.2%
7Milan logoMilan#7Win: 5.9%Final: 5.9%SF: 12.2%QF: 26.3%R16: 56.6%
5.9%
8Venezia logoVenezia#8Win: 5.6%Final: 5.6%SF: 12.8%QF: 24.0%R16: 38.6%
5.6%
9Monza logoMonza#9Win: 4.1%Final: 4.1%SF: 7.0%QF: 14.7%R16: 26.0%
4.1%
10Bologna logoBologna#10Win: 3.8%Final: 3.8%SF: 8.9%QF: 20.9%R16: 52.8%
3.8%
11Frosinone logoFrosinone#11Win: 2.5%Final: 2.5%SF: 5.5%QF: 9.9%R16: 22.5%
2.5%
12Palermo logoPalermo#12Win: 2.3%Final: 2.3%SF: 3.6%QF: 7.5%R16: 24.9%
2.3%
13Genoa logoGenoa#13Win: 1.5%Final: 1.5%SF: 3.1%QF: 7.9%R16: 15.3%
1.5%
14Udinese logoUdinese#14Win: 1.1%Final: 1.1%SF: 3.0%QF: 7.7%R16: 18.7%
1.1%
15Sassuolo logoSassuolo#15Win: 1.1%Final: 1.1%SF: 2.8%QF: 6.4%R16: 17.1%
1.1%
16Torino logoTorino#16Win: 1.0%Final: 1.0%SF: 2.3%QF: 7.6%R16: 17.4%
1.0%
17Cagliari logoCagliari#17Win: 0.9%Final: 0.9%SF: 2.9%QF: 8.0%R16: 17.3%
0.9%
18Fiorentina logoFiorentina#18Win: 0.9%Final: 0.9%SF: 2.5%QF: 6.6%R16: 18.7%
0.9%
19Parma logoParma#19Win: 0.8%Final: 0.8%SF: 1.8%QF: 5.7%R16: 14.7%
0.8%
20Mantova logoMantova#20Win: 0.7%Final: 0.7%SF: 1.9%QF: 6.2%R16: 22.3%
0.7%
21Catanzaro logoCatanzaro#21Win: 0.6%Final: 0.6%SF: 1.4%QF: 3.5%R16: 6.8%
0.6%
22Cremonese logoCremonese#22Win: 0.6%Final: 0.6%SF: 1.5%QF: 5.4%R16: 15.0%
0.6%
23Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona#23Win: 0.2%Final: 0.2%SF: 0.7%QF: 2.9%R16: 8.3%
0.2%
24Sudtirol logoSudtirol#24Win: 0.2%Final: 0.2%SF: 0.4%QF: 1.4%R16: 3.3%
0.2%
25Pisa logoPisa#25Win: 0.1%Final: 0.1%SF: 0.4%QF: 1.8%R16: 5.1%
0.1%

After Round 19: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Sassuolo's R16 probability climbed from 9.3% to 17.1% (+7.8%).
  • Palermo's R16 probability climbed from 17.5% to 24.9% (+7.4%).
  • Cremonese's R16 probability climbed from 8.1% to 15% (+6.9%).
  • Lecce have been mathematically eliminated from R16.
  • Sampdoria have been mathematically eliminated from R16.

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Season Outlook

Coppa Italia 2026/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Coppa Italia 2026/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Inter currently have the highest title probability at 22%. With -7 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
How does CupChances calculate Coppa Italia 2026/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Coppa Italia 2026/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.