Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Round 19 of 12
Updated at
Expected champion
Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.3% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | |
| 6 | 6.2% | |
| 7 | 5.9% | |
| 8 | 5.6% | |
| 9 | 4.1% | |
| 10 | 3.8% | |
| 11 | 2.5% | |
| 12 | 2.3% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.3% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | |
| 6 | 6.2% | |
| 7 | 5.9% | |
| 8 | 5.6% | |
| 9 | 4.1% | |
| 10 | 3.8% | |
| 11 | 2.5% | |
| 12 | 2.3% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33.6% | |
| 2 | 25.7% | |
| 3 | 22.3% | |
| 4 | 14.7% | |
| 5 | 14.5% | |
| 6 | 14.5% | |
| 7 | 12.8% | |
| 8 | 12.2% | |
| 9 | 8.9% | |
| 10 | 7.0% | |
| 11 | 5.5% | |
| 12 | 3.6% | |
| 13 | 3.1% | |
| 14 | 3.0% | |
| 15 | 2.9% | |
| 16 | 2.8% | |
| 17 | 2.5% | |
| 18 | 2.3% | |
| 19 | 1.9% | |
| 20 | 1.8% | |
| 21 | 1.5% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.4% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52.5% | |
| 2 | 46.0% | |
| 3 | 40.2% | |
| 4 | 30.9% | |
| 5 | 29.0% | |
| 6 | 26.9% | |
| 7 | 26.3% | |
| 8 | 24.0% | |
| 9 | 20.9% | |
| 10 | 14.7% | |
| 11 | 9.9% | |
| 12 | 8.0% | |
| 13 | 7.9% | |
| 14 | 7.7% | |
| 15 | 7.6% | |
| 16 | 7.5% | |
| 17 | 6.6% | |
| 18 | 6.4% | |
| 19 | 6.2% | |
| 20 | 5.7% | |
| 21 | 5.4% | |
| 22 | 3.5% | |
| 23 | 2.9% | |
| 24 | 1.8% | |
| 25 | 1.4% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 74.6% | |
| 2 | 74.4% | |
| 3 | 70.3% | |
| 4 | 62.6% | |
| 5 | 60.3% | |
| 6 | 56.6% | |
| 7 | 56.2% | |
| 8 | 52.8% | |
| 9 | 38.6% | |
| 10 | 26.0% | |
| 11 | 24.9% | |
| 12 | 22.5% | |
| 13 | 22.3% | |
| 14 | 18.7% | |
| 15 | 18.7% | |
| 16 | 17.4% | |
| 17 | 17.3% | |
| 18 | 17.1% | |
| 19 | 15.3% | |
| 20 | 15.0% | |
| 21 | 14.7% | |
| 22 | 8.3% | |
| 23 | 6.8% | |
| 24 | 5.1% | |
| 25 | 3.3% |
Round 19 of 12
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | F | SF | QF | R16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0 | 0 | 22% | 22% | 34% | 52% | 75% | |
2 | 0 | 0 | 13% | 13% | 22% | 40% | 70% | |
3 | 0 | 0 | 11% | 11% | 26% | 46% | 74% | |
4 | 0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 15% | 27% | 60% | |
5 | 0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 15% | 29% | 63% | |
6 | 0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 14% | 31% | 56% | |
7 | 0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 12% | 26% | 57% | |
8 | 0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | |
9 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 26% | |
10 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 53% | |
11 | 0 | 0 | 2% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 23% | |
12 | 0 | 0 | 2% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 25% | |
13 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | |
14 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | |
15↑6 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | |
16↓1 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 17% | |
17↓1 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | |
18↓1 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | |
19↓1 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | |
20↓1 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 22% | |
21↓1 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | |
22 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | |
23↑1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 8% | |
24↑2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | |
25↑4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 5% | |
26↑4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
27↑4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
28↑4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
29↑4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
30↑4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
31↑4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
32↑4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
33↓5 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
34↓7 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
35↑2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
36↑2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
37↓14 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
38↑1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
39↑1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
40↑1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
41↑1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
42↓17 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
43 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
44 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Win
After Round 19: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↑Sassuolo's R16 probability climbed from 9.3% to 17.1% (+7.8%).
- ↑Palermo's R16 probability climbed from 17.5% to 24.9% (+7.4%).
- ↑Cremonese's R16 probability climbed from 8.1% to 15% (+6.9%).
- ↓Lecce have been mathematically eliminated from R16.
- ↓Sampdoria have been mathematically eliminated from R16.
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Final:
SF:
QF:
Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Coppa Italia 2026/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Inter currently have the highest title probability at 22%. With -7 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- How does CupChances calculate Coppa Italia 2026/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Coppa Italia 2026/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.