Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Round 25 of 12
Updated at
Expected champion
Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.
Inter19.1%→Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter#1Win: 19.1%Final: 19.1%SF: 29.5%QF: 48.1%R16: 71.2% | 19.1% |
| 2 |  Roma#2Win: 12.1%Final: 12.1%SF: 26.4%QF: 44.2%R16: 70.6% | 12.1% |
| 3 |  Como#3Win: 10.4%Final: 10.4%SF: 17.7%QF: 33.1%R16: 64.3% | 10.4% |
| 4 |  Milan#4Win: 7.6%Final: 7.6%SF: 14.3%QF: 29.4%R16: 57.0% | 7.6% |
| 5 |  Atalanta#5Win: 7.4%Final: 7.4%SF: 17.3%QF: 36.0%R16: 65.5% | 7.4% |
| 6 |  Juventus#6Win: 7.3%Final: 7.3%SF: 16.3%QF: 28.7%R16: 63.2% | 7.3% |
| 7 |  Napoli#7Win: 6.3%Final: 6.3%SF: 13.9%QF: 27.8%R16: 56.5% | 6.3% |
| 8 |  Monza#8Win: 5.6%Final: 5.6%SF: 10.2%QF: 23.2%R16: 43.0% | 5.6% |
| 9 |  Palermo#9Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 7.5%QF: 15.4%R16: 46.1% | 4.5% |
| 10 |  Bologna#10Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 9.5%QF: 21.5%R16: 53.9% | 4.5% |
| 11 |  Udinese#11Win: 3.6%Final: 3.6%SF: 8.6%QF: 19.8%R16: 43.5% | 3.6% |
| 12 |  Sassuolo#12Win: 2.7%Final: 2.7%SF: 6.9%QF: 14.6%R16: 36.8% | 2.7% |
| 13 |  Cremonese#13Win: 2.3%Final: 2.3%SF: 5.1%QF: 14.2%R16: 35.7% | 2.3% |
| 14 |  Genoa#14Win: 2.0%Final: 2.0%SF: 3.9%QF: 9.3%R16: 17.7% | 2.0% |
| 15 |  Hellas Verona#15Win: 1.6%Final: 1.6%SF: 4.6%QF: 12.6%R16: 29.4% | 1.6% |
| 16 |  Fiorentina#16Win: 1.5%Final: 1.5%SF: 4.5%QF: 11.7%R16: 23.3% | 1.5% |
| 17 |  Catanzaro#17Win: 0.7%Final: 0.7%SF: 1.5%QF: 3.7%R16: 6.9% | 0.7% |
| 18 |  Pisa#18Win: 0.4%Final: 0.4%SF: 1.4%QF: 4.7%R16: 11.2% | 0.4% |
| 19 |  Sudtirol#19Win: 0.3%Final: 0.3%SF: 0.7%QF: 2.0%R16: 4.2% | 0.3% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter#1Win: 19.1%Final: 19.1%SF: 29.5%QF: 48.1%R16: 71.2% | 19.1% |
| 2 | Roma#2Win: 12.1%Final: 12.1%SF: 26.4%QF: 44.2%R16: 70.6% | 12.1% |
| 3 | Como#3Win: 10.4%Final: 10.4%SF: 17.7%QF: 33.1%R16: 64.3% | 10.4% |
| 4 | Milan#4Win: 7.6%Final: 7.6%SF: 14.3%QF: 29.4%R16: 57.0% | 7.6% |
| 5 | Atalanta#5Win: 7.4%Final: 7.4%SF: 17.3%QF: 36.0%R16: 65.5% | 7.4% |
| 6 | Juventus#6Win: 7.3%Final: 7.3%SF: 16.3%QF: 28.7%R16: 63.2% | 7.3% |
| 7 | Napoli#7Win: 6.3%Final: 6.3%SF: 13.9%QF: 27.8%R16: 56.5% | 6.3% |
| 8 | Monza#8Win: 5.6%Final: 5.6%SF: 10.2%QF: 23.2%R16: 43.0% | 5.6% |
| 9 | Palermo#9Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 7.5%QF: 15.4%R16: 46.1% | 4.5% |
| 10 | Bologna#10Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 9.5%QF: 21.5%R16: 53.9% | 4.5% |
| 11 | Udinese#11Win: 3.6%Final: 3.6%SF: 8.6%QF: 19.8%R16: 43.5% | 3.6% |
| 12 | Sassuolo#12Win: 2.7%Final: 2.7%SF: 6.9%QF: 14.6%R16: 36.8% | 2.7% |
| 13 | Cremonese#13Win: 2.3%Final: 2.3%SF: 5.1%QF: 14.2%R16: 35.7% | 2.3% |
| 14 | Genoa#14Win: 2.0%Final: 2.0%SF: 3.9%QF: 9.3%R16: 17.7% | 2.0% |
| 15 | Hellas Verona#15Win: 1.6%Final: 1.6%SF: 4.6%QF: 12.6%R16: 29.4% | 1.6% |
| 16 | Fiorentina#16Win: 1.5%Final: 1.5%SF: 4.5%QF: 11.7%R16: 23.3% | 1.5% |
| 17 | Catanzaro#17Win: 0.7%Final: 0.7%SF: 1.5%QF: 3.7%R16: 6.9% | 0.7% |
| 18 | Pisa#18Win: 0.4%Final: 0.4%SF: 1.4%QF: 4.7%R16: 11.2% | 0.4% |
| 19 | Sudtirol#19Win: 0.3%Final: 0.3%SF: 0.7%QF: 2.0%R16: 4.2% | 0.3% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter#1Win: 19.1%Final: 19.1%SF: 29.5%QF: 48.1%R16: 71.2% | 29.5% |
| 2 | Roma#2Win: 12.1%Final: 12.1%SF: 26.4%QF: 44.2%R16: 70.6% | 26.4% |
| 3 | Como#3Win: 10.4%Final: 10.4%SF: 17.7%QF: 33.1%R16: 64.3% | 17.7% |
| 4 | Atalanta#5Win: 7.4%Final: 7.4%SF: 17.3%QF: 36.0%R16: 65.5% | 17.3% |
| 5 | Juventus#6Win: 7.3%Final: 7.3%SF: 16.3%QF: 28.7%R16: 63.2% | 16.3% |
| 6 | Milan#4Win: 7.6%Final: 7.6%SF: 14.3%QF: 29.4%R16: 57.0% | 14.3% |
| 7 | Napoli#7Win: 6.3%Final: 6.3%SF: 13.9%QF: 27.8%R16: 56.5% | 13.9% |
| 8 | Monza#8Win: 5.6%Final: 5.6%SF: 10.2%QF: 23.2%R16: 43.0% | 10.2% |
| 9 | Bologna#10Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 9.5%QF: 21.5%R16: 53.9% | 9.5% |
| 10 | Udinese#11Win: 3.6%Final: 3.6%SF: 8.6%QF: 19.8%R16: 43.5% | 8.6% |
| 11 | Palermo#9Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 7.5%QF: 15.4%R16: 46.1% | 7.5% |
| 12 | Sassuolo#12Win: 2.7%Final: 2.7%SF: 6.9%QF: 14.6%R16: 36.8% | 6.9% |
| 13 | Cremonese#13Win: 2.3%Final: 2.3%SF: 5.1%QF: 14.2%R16: 35.7% | 5.1% |
| 14 | Hellas Verona#15Win: 1.6%Final: 1.6%SF: 4.6%QF: 12.6%R16: 29.4% | 4.6% |
| 15 | Fiorentina#16Win: 1.5%Final: 1.5%SF: 4.5%QF: 11.7%R16: 23.3% | 4.5% |
| 16 | Genoa#14Win: 2.0%Final: 2.0%SF: 3.9%QF: 9.3%R16: 17.7% | 3.9% |
| 17 | Catanzaro#17Win: 0.7%Final: 0.7%SF: 1.5%QF: 3.7%R16: 6.9% | 1.5% |
| 18 | Pisa#18Win: 0.4%Final: 0.4%SF: 1.4%QF: 4.7%R16: 11.2% | 1.4% |
| 19 | Sudtirol#19Win: 0.3%Final: 0.3%SF: 0.7%QF: 2.0%R16: 4.2% | 0.7% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter#1Win: 19.1%Final: 19.1%SF: 29.5%QF: 48.1%R16: 71.2% | 48.1% |
| 2 | Roma#2Win: 12.1%Final: 12.1%SF: 26.4%QF: 44.2%R16: 70.6% | 44.2% |
| 3 | Atalanta#5Win: 7.4%Final: 7.4%SF: 17.3%QF: 36.0%R16: 65.5% | 36.0% |
| 4 | Como#3Win: 10.4%Final: 10.4%SF: 17.7%QF: 33.1%R16: 64.3% | 33.1% |
| 5 | Milan#4Win: 7.6%Final: 7.6%SF: 14.3%QF: 29.4%R16: 57.0% | 29.4% |
| 6 | Juventus#6Win: 7.3%Final: 7.3%SF: 16.3%QF: 28.7%R16: 63.2% | 28.7% |
| 7 | Napoli#7Win: 6.3%Final: 6.3%SF: 13.9%QF: 27.8%R16: 56.5% | 27.8% |
| 8 | Monza#8Win: 5.6%Final: 5.6%SF: 10.2%QF: 23.2%R16: 43.0% | 23.2% |
| 9 | Bologna#10Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 9.5%QF: 21.5%R16: 53.9% | 21.5% |
| 10 | Udinese#11Win: 3.6%Final: 3.6%SF: 8.6%QF: 19.8%R16: 43.5% | 19.8% |
| 11 | Palermo#9Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 7.5%QF: 15.4%R16: 46.1% | 15.4% |
| 12 | Sassuolo#12Win: 2.7%Final: 2.7%SF: 6.9%QF: 14.6%R16: 36.8% | 14.6% |
| 13 | Cremonese#13Win: 2.3%Final: 2.3%SF: 5.1%QF: 14.2%R16: 35.7% | 14.2% |
| 14 | Hellas Verona#15Win: 1.6%Final: 1.6%SF: 4.6%QF: 12.6%R16: 29.4% | 12.6% |
| 15 | Fiorentina#16Win: 1.5%Final: 1.5%SF: 4.5%QF: 11.7%R16: 23.3% | 11.7% |
| 16 | Genoa#14Win: 2.0%Final: 2.0%SF: 3.9%QF: 9.3%R16: 17.7% | 9.3% |
| 17 | Pisa#18Win: 0.4%Final: 0.4%SF: 1.4%QF: 4.7%R16: 11.2% | 4.7% |
| 18 | Catanzaro#17Win: 0.7%Final: 0.7%SF: 1.5%QF: 3.7%R16: 6.9% | 3.7% |
| 19 | Sudtirol#19Win: 0.3%Final: 0.3%SF: 0.7%QF: 2.0%R16: 4.2% | 2.0% |
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter#1Win: 19.1%Final: 19.1%SF: 29.5%QF: 48.1%R16: 71.2% | 71.2% |
| 2 | Roma#2Win: 12.1%Final: 12.1%SF: 26.4%QF: 44.2%R16: 70.6% | 70.6% |
| 3 | Atalanta#5Win: 7.4%Final: 7.4%SF: 17.3%QF: 36.0%R16: 65.5% | 65.5% |
| 4 | Como#3Win: 10.4%Final: 10.4%SF: 17.7%QF: 33.1%R16: 64.3% | 64.3% |
| 5 | Juventus#6Win: 7.3%Final: 7.3%SF: 16.3%QF: 28.7%R16: 63.2% | 63.2% |
| 6 | Milan#4Win: 7.6%Final: 7.6%SF: 14.3%QF: 29.4%R16: 57.0% | 57.0% |
| 7 | Napoli#7Win: 6.3%Final: 6.3%SF: 13.9%QF: 27.8%R16: 56.5% | 56.5% |
| 8 | Bologna#10Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 9.5%QF: 21.5%R16: 53.9% | 53.9% |
| 9 | Palermo#9Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 7.5%QF: 15.4%R16: 46.1% | 46.1% |
| 10 | Udinese#11Win: 3.6%Final: 3.6%SF: 8.6%QF: 19.8%R16: 43.5% | 43.5% |
| 11 | Monza#8Win: 5.6%Final: 5.6%SF: 10.2%QF: 23.2%R16: 43.0% | 43.0% |
| 12 | Sassuolo#12Win: 2.7%Final: 2.7%SF: 6.9%QF: 14.6%R16: 36.8% | 36.8% |
| 13 | Cremonese#13Win: 2.3%Final: 2.3%SF: 5.1%QF: 14.2%R16: 35.7% | 35.7% |
| 14 | Hellas Verona#15Win: 1.6%Final: 1.6%SF: 4.6%QF: 12.6%R16: 29.4% | 29.4% |
| 15 | Fiorentina#16Win: 1.5%Final: 1.5%SF: 4.5%QF: 11.7%R16: 23.3% | 23.3% |
| 16 | Genoa#14Win: 2.0%Final: 2.0%SF: 3.9%QF: 9.3%R16: 17.7% | 17.7% |
| 17 | Pisa#18Win: 0.4%Final: 0.4%SF: 1.4%QF: 4.7%R16: 11.2% | 11.2% |
| 18 | Catanzaro#17Win: 0.7%Final: 0.7%SF: 1.5%QF: 3.7%R16: 6.9% | 6.9% |
| 19 | Sudtirol#19Win: 0.3%Final: 0.3%SF: 0.7%QF: 2.0%R16: 4.2% | 4.2% |
Round 25 of 12
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | F | SF | QF | R16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter#1Win: 19.1%Final: 19.1%SF: 29.5%QF: 48.1%R16: 71.2% | 0 | 0 | 19% | 19% | 30% | 48% | 71% |
2 | Roma#2Win: 12.1%Final: 12.1%SF: 26.4%QF: 44.2%R16: 70.6% | 0 | 0 | 12% | 12% | 26% | 44% | 71% |
3 | Como#3Win: 10.4%Final: 10.4%SF: 17.7%QF: 33.1%R16: 64.3% | 0 | 0 | 10% | 10% | 18% | 33% | 64% |
4 | Milan#4Win: 7.6%Final: 7.6%SF: 14.3%QF: 29.4%R16: 57.0% | 0 | 0 | 8% | 8% | 14% | 29% | 57% |
5 | Atalanta#5Win: 7.4%Final: 7.4%SF: 17.3%QF: 36.0%R16: 65.5% | 0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 17% | 36% | 66% |
6 | Juventus#6Win: 7.3%Final: 7.3%SF: 16.3%QF: 28.7%R16: 63.2% | 0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 16% | 29% | 63% |
7 | Napoli#7Win: 6.3%Final: 6.3%SF: 13.9%QF: 27.8%R16: 56.5% | 0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 14% | 28% | 57% |
8 | Monza#8Win: 5.6%Final: 5.6%SF: 10.2%QF: 23.2%R16: 43.0% | 0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 10% | 23% | 43% |
9↑4 | Palermo#9Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 7.5%QF: 15.4%R16: 46.1% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 5% | 7% | 15% | 46% |
10↓1 | Bologna#10Win: 4.5%Final: 4.5%SF: 9.5%QF: 21.5%R16: 53.9% | 0 | 0 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 54% |
11↓1 | Udinese#11Win: 3.6%Final: 3.6%SF: 8.6%QF: 19.8%R16: 43.5% | 0 | 0 | 4% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 43% |
12↓1 | Sassuolo#12Win: 2.7%Final: 2.7%SF: 6.9%QF: 14.6%R16: 36.8% | 0 | 0 | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 37% |
13↓1 | Cremonese#13Win: 2.3%Final: 2.3%SF: 5.1%QF: 14.2%R16: 35.7% | 0 | 0 | 2% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 36% |
14 | Genoa#14Win: 2.0%Final: 2.0%SF: 3.9%QF: 9.3%R16: 17.7% | 0 | 0 | 2% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 18% |
15↑4 | Hellas Verona#15Win: 1.6%Final: 1.6%SF: 4.6%QF: 12.6%R16: 29.4% | 0 | 0 | 2% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 29% |
16↓1 | Fiorentina#16Win: 1.5%Final: 1.5%SF: 4.5%QF: 11.7%R16: 23.3% | 0 | 0 | 2% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 23% |
17↑1 | Catanzaro#17Win: 0.7%Final: 0.7%SF: 1.5%QF: 3.7%R16: 6.9% | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% |
18↑2 | Pisa#18Win: 0.4%Final: 0.4%SF: 1.4%QF: 4.7%R16: 11.2% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 11% |
19↑2 | Sudtirol#19Win: 0.3%Final: 0.3%SF: 0.7%QF: 2.0%R16: 4.2% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
20↑2 |  Arezzo#20 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
21↑2 |  Ascoli#21 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
22↑2 |  Avellino#22 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
23↑2 |  Benevento#23 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
24↑2 |  Brescia#24 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
25↓9 |  Cagliari#25 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
26↑1 |  Carrarese#26 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
27↑1 |  Catania#27 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
28↑1 |  Cesena#28 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
29↑1 |  Empoli#29 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
30↑1 |  Frosinone#30 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
31↑1 |  Juve Stabia#31 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
32↑1 |  Lazio#32 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
33↑1 |  Lecce#33 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
34↓17 |  Mantova#34 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
35 |  Modena#35 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
36 |  Padova#36 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
37 |  Parma#37 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
38 |  Potenza#38 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
39 |  Ravenna#39 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
40 |  Sampdoria#40 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
41 |  Torino#41 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
42 |  Venezia#42 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
43 |  Vicenza#43 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
44 |  Virtus Entella#44 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Win
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Genoa#14Winner: 2.0%Reaches Final: 2.0%Reaches Semifinals: 3.9%Reaches Quarterfinals: 9.3%Reaches Round of 16: 17.7%4:00 PMSudtirol#19Winner: 0.3%Reaches Final: 0.3%Reaches Semifinals: 0.7%Reaches Quarterfinals: 2.0%Reaches Round of 16: 4.2%
4:00 PMSudtirol#19Winner: 0.3%Reaches Final: 0.3%Reaches Semifinals: 0.7%Reaches Quarterfinals: 2.0%Reaches Round of 16: 4.2%53%
21%
Fiorentina#16Winner: 1.5%Reaches Final: 1.5%Reaches Semifinals: 4.5%Reaches Quarterfinals: 11.7%Reaches Round of 16: 23.3%7:00 PMPisa#18Winner: 0.4%Reaches Final: 0.4%Reaches Semifinals: 1.4%Reaches Quarterfinals: 4.7%Reaches Round of 16: 11.2%
7:00 PMPisa#18Winner: 0.4%Reaches Final: 0.4%Reaches Semifinals: 1.4%Reaches Quarterfinals: 4.7%Reaches Round of 16: 11.2%71%
11%
After Round 25: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↑Palermo's R16 probability climbed from 21.9% to 46.1% (+24.2%).
- ↓Mantova have been mathematically eliminated from R16.
- ↓Cagliari have been mathematically eliminated from R16.
- ↑Hellas Verona's R16 probability climbed from 11.2% to 29.4% (+18.2%).
- ↓Bologna's R16 probability dropped from 55% to 53.9% (-1.1%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Final:
SF:
QF:
Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Coppa Italia 2026/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Inter currently have the highest title probability at 19%. With -13 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- How does CupChances calculate Coppa Italia 2026/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Coppa Italia 2026/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.