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Copa Libertadores 2026 — Round 6 of 10

Updated at

Expected champion

Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.

Palmeiras logoPalmeiras28.3%→

Next matches

Ind. del Valle#7Winner: 4.2%Final: 13.4%Semifinals: 38.4%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Flamengo#2Winner: 25.0%Final: 41.8%Semifinals: 66.1%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
Platense#5Winner: 6.5%Final: 17.9%Semifinals: 44.5%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%19:00Fluminense#4Winner: 9.0%Final: 22.1%Semifinals: 49.1%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
LDU#8Winner: 1.9%Final: 7.9%Semifinals: 29.3%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%19:00Palmeiras#1Winner: 28.3%Final: 45.1%Semifinals: 68.5%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
Corinthians#6Winner: 5.5%Final: 15.9%Semifinals: 42.1%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Estudiantes#3Winner: 19.5%Final: 36.0%Semifinals: 61.9%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
Flamengo#2Winner: 25.0%Final: 41.8%Semifinals: 66.1%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Ind. del Valle#7Winner: 4.2%Final: 13.4%Semifinals: 38.4%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%

Results

Wed, Sep 9

Palmeiras1 – 0LDU
Estudiantes1 – 1Corinthians

Tue, Sep 8

Fluminense2 – 0Platense

Tue, Aug 25

Ind. del Valle3 – 1Tolima

Thu, Aug 20

Corinthians1 – 0Rosario Central
LDU0 – 0(5-4 pen)Mirassol

Wed, Aug 19

Coquimbo Unido0 – 0(6-7 pen)Platense
Cerro Porteño0 – 1Palmeiras
Flamengo2 – 1Cruzeiro

Tue, Aug 18

Tolima0 – 1Ind. del Valle
Rivadavia1 – 1(4-5 pen)Fluminense
U. Católica0 – 3Estudiantes

Thu, Aug 13

Mirassol1 – 1LDU
Rosario Central0 – 0Corinthians

Wed, Aug 12

Cruzeiro1 – 1Flamengo
Platense1 – 1Coquimbo Unido
Palmeiras1 – 1Cerro Porteño

Tue, Aug 11

Estudiantes1 – 1U. Católica
Fluminense0 – 0Rivadavia

Thu, May 28

Cruzeiro4 – 0Barcelona SC
Cerro Porteño2 – 0Sporting Cristal
Boca Juniors0 – 1U. Católica
Palmeiras4 – 1Junior

Wed, May 27

Libertad0 – 1U. Central
Bolívar1 – 3Rivadavia
Peñarol0 – 1Santa Fe
Ind. del Valle1 – 0Rosario Central
Corinthians0 – 2Platense
Fluminense3 – 1La Guaira

Tue, May 26

Flamengo3 – 0Cusco FC
Nacional1 – 0Coquimbo Unido
CA Lanús1 – 0Mirassol
Universitario0 – 0Tolima
LDU3 – 2Always Ready
Estudiantes1 – 0Ind. Medellín

Thu, May 21

Peñarol1 – 1Corinthians
La Guaira2 – 4Rivadavia
U. Católica2 – 0Barcelona SC

Wed, May 20

Junior3 – 2Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras0 – 1Cerro Porteño
LDU2 – 0CA Lanús
Flamengo1 – 0Estudiantes
Nacional0 – 0Universitario
Cusco FC2 – 3Ind. Medellín

Tue, May 19

Santa Fe2 – 1Platense
Fluminense2 – 1Bolívar
Ind. del Valle4 – 1Libertad
Boca Juniors1 – 1Cruzeiro
Rosario Central4 – 0U. Central
Coquimbo Unido3 – 0Tolima
Always Ready1 – 2Mirassol

Thu, May 7

Coquimbo Unido2 – 1Universitario
Platense1 – 1Peñarol
Mirassol2 – 0LDU
Junior0 – 1Cerro Porteño

Wed, May 6

Cusco FC1 – 1Estudiantes
La Guaira1 – 1Bolívar
Tolima3 – 0Nacional
Rivadavia1 – 1Fluminense
U. Católica0 – 0Cruzeiro
Santa Fe1 – 1Corinthians

Tue, May 5

Barcelona SC1 – 0Boca Juniors
Sporting Cristal0 – 2Palmeiras
Rosario Central1 – 0Libertad
U. Central2 – 0Ind. del Valle
Always Ready4 – 0CA Lanús

Thu, Apr 30

Rivadavia4 – 1La Guaira
Bolívar2 – 0Fluminense
Corinthians2 – 0Peñarol
Ind. Medellín1 – 0Cusco FC

Wed, Apr 29

Cerro Porteño1 – 1Palmeiras
Estudiantes1 – 1Flamengo
Universitario4 – 2Nacional
Platense2 – 1Santa Fe
Barcelona SC1 – 2U. Católica
Mirassol2 – 0Always Ready

Tue, Apr 28

CA Lanús1 – 0LDU
Sporting Cristal2 – 0Junior
Cruzeiro1 – 0Boca Juniors
Libertad2 – 3Ind. del Valle
Tolima3 – 0Coquimbo Unido
U. Central0 – 3Rosario Central

Thu, Apr 16

Flamengo4 – 1Ind. Medellín
CA Lanús1 – 0Always Ready
Peñarol1 – 2Platense
Palmeiras2 – 1Sporting Cristal

Wed, Apr 15

Ind. del Valle3 – 1U. Central
Libertad0 – 1Rosario Central
Cruzeiro1 – 2U. Católica
Fluminense1 – 2Rivadavia
Corinthians2 – 0Santa Fe

Tue, Apr 14

LDU2 – 0Mirassol
Cerro Porteño1 – 0Junior
Nacional3 – 1Tolima
Universitario0 – 2Coquimbo Unido
Bolívar1 – 1La Guaira
Estudiantes2 – 1Cusco FC
Boca Juniors3 – 0Barcelona SC

Thu, Apr 9

Santa Fe1 – 1Peñarol
Platense0 – 2Corinthians
Rosario Central0 – 0Ind. del Valle
U. Central3 – 1Libertad

Wed, Apr 8

Junior1 – 1Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal1 – 0Cerro Porteño
Cusco FC0 – 2Flamengo
Coquimbo Unido1 – 1Nacional
Ind. Medellín1 – 1Estudiantes
Mirassol1 – 0CA Lanús

Tue, Apr 7

Tolima0 – 0Universitario
Rivadavia1 – 0Bolívar
U. Católica1 – 2Boca Juniors
La Guaira0 – 0Fluminense
Always Ready0 – 1LDU
Barcelona SC0 – 1Cruzeiro

After Round 6: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • ↑Ind. del Valle's SF probability climbed from 31.4% to 38.4% (+7%).
  • ↓Platense's SF probability dropped from 50.1% to 44.5% (-5.6%).
  • ↓Flamengo's Win probability dropped from 29.3% to 25% (-4.3%).
  • ↑Palmeiras's Win probability climbed from 24.7% to 28.3% (+3.6%).
  • ↓Corinthians's SF probability dropped from 44.8% to 42.1% (-2.7%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Copa Libertadores 2026 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Copa Libertadores 2026?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Palmeiras currently have the highest title probability at 28%. With 4 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
How does CupChances calculate Copa Libertadores 2026 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Copa Libertadores 2026 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.