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Copa Libertadores 2026 — Round 6 of 10

Updated at

Expected champion

Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.

Rosario Central logoRosario Central10.5%→

Next matches

Rivadavia#3Winner: 9.1%Final: 17.0%Semifinals: 31.5%Quarterfinals: 58.2%Round of 16: 100.0%19:00Fluminense#16Winner: 3.5%Final: 7.6%Semifinals: 16.6%Quarterfinals: 36.3%Round of 16: 100.0%
60%
17%
U. Católica#4Winner: 7.9%Final: 16.1%Semifinals: 32.3%Quarterfinals: 64.8%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Estudiantes#15Winner: 3.6%Final: 7.9%Semifinals: 17.2%Quarterfinals: 37.4%Round of 16: 100.0%
44%
25%
Tolima#14Winner: 3.9%Final: 8.2%Semifinals: 17.0%Quarterfinals: 35.2%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Ind. del Valle#12Winner: 4.7%Final: 9.5%Semifinals: 19.1%Quarterfinals: 38.6%Round of 16: 100.0%
61%
14%
Flamengo#2Winner: 10.0%Final: 18.7%Semifinals: 34.5%Quarterfinals: 64.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Cruzeiro#11Winner: 4.9%Final: 10.0%Semifinals: 20.3%Quarterfinals: 41.1%Round of 16: 100.0%
53%
20%
Cerro Porteño#9Winner: 5.8%Final: 11.7%Semifinals: 23.4%Quarterfinals: 46.7%Round of 16: 100.0%19:00Palmeiras#6Winner: 6.7%Final: 13.3%Semifinals: 26.3%Quarterfinals: 51.9%Round of 16: 100.0%
34%
36%
Coquimbo Unido#7Winner: 6.4%Final: 13.4%Semifinals: 28.2%Quarterfinals: 58.9%Round of 16: 100.0%19:00Platense#13Winner: 4.1%Final: 8.9%Semifinals: 19.4%Quarterfinals: 41.8%Round of 16: 100.0%
45%
28%
Corinthians#5Winner: 7.7%Final: 15.6%Semifinals: 31.6%Quarterfinals: 63.7%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Rosario Central#1Winner: 10.5%Final: 19.2%Semifinals: 35.1%Quarterfinals: 64.3%Round of 16: 100.0%
34%
36%
LDU#8Winner: 6.1%Final: 12.7%Semifinals: 26.2%Quarterfinals: 53.9%Round of 16: 100.0%19:00Mirassol#10Winner: 5.0%Final: 10.3%Semifinals: 21.2%Quarterfinals: 43.2%Round of 16: 100.0%
50%
24%
Ind. del Valle#12Winner: 4.7%Final: 9.5%Semifinals: 19.1%Quarterfinals: 38.6%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Tolima#14Winner: 3.9%Final: 8.2%Semifinals: 17.0%Quarterfinals: 35.2%Round of 16: 100.0%
73%
10%

Results

Thu, Aug 13

Mirassol1 – 1LDU
Rosario Central0 – 0Corinthians

Wed, Aug 12

Platense1 – 1Coquimbo Unido
Palmeiras1 – 1Cerro Porteño
Cruzeiro1 – 1Flamengo

Tue, Aug 11

Estudiantes1 – 1U. Católica
Fluminense0 – 0Rivadavia

Thu, May 28

Palmeiras4 – 1Junior
Cruzeiro4 – 0Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors0 – 1U. Católica
Cerro Porteño2 – 0Sporting Cristal

Wed, May 27

Ind. del Valle1 – 0Rosario Central
Peñarol0 – 1Santa Fe
Corinthians0 – 2Platense
Fluminense3 – 1La Guaira
Bolívar1 – 3Rivadavia
Libertad0 – 1U. Central

Tue, May 26

Estudiantes1 – 0Ind. Medellín
Flamengo3 – 0Cusco FC
LDU3 – 2Always Ready
CA Lanús1 – 0Mirassol
Nacional1 – 0Coquimbo Unido
Universitario0 – 0Tolima

Thu, May 21

Peñarol1 – 1Corinthians
La Guaira2 – 4Rivadavia
U. Católica2 – 0Barcelona SC

Wed, May 20

LDU2 – 0CA Lanús
Cusco FC2 – 3Ind. Medellín
Junior3 – 2Sporting Cristal
Nacional0 – 0Universitario
Flamengo1 – 0Estudiantes

Tue, May 19

Fluminense2 – 1Bolívar
Coquimbo Unido3 – 0Tolima
Santa Fe2 – 1Platense
Ind. del Valle4 – 1Libertad
Boca Juniors1 – 1Cruzeiro
Always Ready1 – 2Mirassol
Rosario Central4 – 0U. Central

Thu, May 7

Junior0 – 1Cerro Porteño
Coquimbo Unido2 – 1Universitario
Platense1 – 1Peñarol

Wed, May 6

Cusco FC1 – 1Estudiantes
U. Católica0 – 0Cruzeiro
Tolima3 – 0Nacional
Santa Fe1 – 1Corinthians
La Guaira1 – 1Bolívar

Tue, May 5

Barcelona SC1 – 0Boca Juniors
Rosario Central1 – 0Libertad
U. Central2 – 0Ind. del Valle
Sporting Cristal0 – 2Palmeiras
Always Ready4 – 0CA Lanús

Thu, Apr 30

Rivadavia4 – 1La Guaira
Bolívar2 – 0Fluminense
Corinthians2 – 0Peñarol
Ind. Medellín1 – 0Cusco FC

Wed, Apr 29

Mirassol2 – 0Always Ready
Platense2 – 1Santa Fe
Estudiantes1 – 1Flamengo
Universitario4 – 2Nacional
Barcelona SC1 – 2U. Católica

Tue, Apr 28

Tolima3 – 0Coquimbo Unido
Sporting Cristal2 – 0Junior
CA Lanús1 – 0LDU
Libertad2 – 3Ind. del Valle
U. Central0 – 3Rosario Central
Cruzeiro1 – 0Boca Juniors

Thu, Apr 16

CA Lanús1 – 0Always Ready
Palmeiras2 – 1Sporting Cristal
Peñarol1 – 2Platense
Flamengo4 – 1Ind. Medellín

Wed, Apr 15

Corinthians2 – 0Santa Fe
Ind. del Valle3 – 1U. Central
Libertad0 – 1Rosario Central
Cruzeiro1 – 2U. Católica

Tue, Apr 14

Boca Juniors3 – 0Barcelona SC
Estudiantes2 – 1Cusco FC
Universitario0 – 2Coquimbo Unido
Nacional3 – 1Tolima
Cerro Porteño1 – 0Junior
Bolívar1 – 1La Guaira

Thu, Apr 9

Santa Fe1 – 1Peñarol
Platense0 – 2Corinthians
U. Central3 – 1Libertad
Rosario Central0 – 0Ind. del Valle

Wed, Apr 8

Mirassol1 – 0CA Lanús
Coquimbo Unido1 – 1Nacional
Ind. Medellín1 – 1Estudiantes
Cusco FC0 – 2Flamengo
Junior1 – 1Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal1 – 0Cerro Porteño

Tue, Apr 7

Tolima0 – 0Universitario
U. Católica1 – 2Boca Juniors
La Guaira0 – 0Fluminense
Rivadavia1 – 0Bolívar
Barcelona SC0 – 1Cruzeiro
Always Ready0 – 1LDU

After Round 6: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • ↑LDU's QF probability climbed from 50.6% to 53.9% (+3.3%).
  • ↓Mirassol's QF probability dropped from 46.5% to 43.2% (-3.3%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Copa Libertadores 2026 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Copa Libertadores 2026?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Rosario Central currently have the highest title probability at 11%. With 4 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
How does CupChances calculate Copa Libertadores 2026 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Copa Libertadores 2026 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Copa Libertadores Title Chances 2026 — All Teams… | CupChances