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Copa Libertadores 2026 — Round 6 of 10

Updated at

Expected champion

Open the knockout detail page for the full elimination-stage outlook.

Estudiantes logoEstudiantes50.1%→

Next matches

Fluminense#4Winner: 11.8%Final: 47.6%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Palmeiras#2Winner: 21.0%Final: 52.4%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
33%
36%
Estudiantes#1Winner: 50.1%Final: 71.0%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Flamengo#3Winner: 17.1%Final: 29.0%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
50%
20%
Palmeiras#2Winner: 21.0%Final: 52.4%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Fluminense#4Winner: 11.8%Final: 47.6%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
61%
13%
Flamengo#3Winner: 17.1%Final: 29.0%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%21:30Estudiantes#1Winner: 50.1%Final: 71.0%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%
31%
36%

Results

Thu, Sep 17

Flamengo1 – 1Ind. del Valle

Wed, Sep 16

LDU3 – 2(3-4 pen)Palmeiras
Corinthians0 – 1Estudiantes

Tue, Sep 15

Platense2 – 1Fluminense

Thu, Sep 10

Ind. del Valle0 – 2Flamengo

Wed, Sep 9

Palmeiras1 – 0LDU
Estudiantes1 – 1Corinthians

Tue, Sep 8

Fluminense2 – 0Platense

Tue, Aug 25

Ind. del Valle3 – 1Tolima

Thu, Aug 20

LDU0 – 0(5-4 pen)Mirassol
Corinthians1 – 0Rosario Central

Wed, Aug 19

Flamengo2 – 1Cruzeiro
Coquimbo Unido0 – 0(6-7 pen)Platense
Cerro Porteño0 – 1Palmeiras

Tue, Aug 18

U. Católica0 – 3Estudiantes
Rivadavia1 – 1(4-5 pen)Fluminense
Tolima0 – 1Ind. del Valle

Thu, Aug 13

Rosario Central0 – 0Corinthians
Mirassol1 – 1LDU

Wed, Aug 12

Cruzeiro1 – 1Flamengo
Platense1 – 1Coquimbo Unido
Palmeiras1 – 1Cerro Porteño

Tue, Aug 11

Fluminense0 – 0Rivadavia
Estudiantes1 – 1U. Católica

Thu, May 28

Cruzeiro4 – 0Barcelona SC
Cerro Porteño2 – 0Sporting Cristal
Boca Juniors0 – 1U. Católica
Palmeiras4 – 1Junior

Wed, May 27

Libertad0 – 1U. Central
Fluminense3 – 1La Guaira
Corinthians0 – 2Platense
Peñarol0 – 1Santa Fe
Ind. del Valle1 – 0Rosario Central
Bolívar1 – 3Rivadavia

Tue, May 26

Estudiantes1 – 0Ind. Medellín
LDU3 – 2Always Ready
Universitario0 – 0Tolima
Nacional1 – 0Coquimbo Unido
CA Lanús1 – 0Mirassol
Flamengo3 – 0Cusco FC

Thu, May 21

U. Católica2 – 0Barcelona SC
Peñarol1 – 1Corinthians
La Guaira2 – 4Rivadavia

Wed, May 20

Nacional0 – 0Universitario
Palmeiras0 – 1Cerro Porteño
Junior3 – 2Sporting Cristal
Cusco FC2 – 3Ind. Medellín
LDU2 – 0CA Lanús
Flamengo1 – 0Estudiantes

Tue, May 19

Rosario Central4 – 0U. Central
Coquimbo Unido3 – 0Tolima
Fluminense2 – 1Bolívar
Santa Fe2 – 1Platense
Always Ready1 – 2Mirassol
Boca Juniors1 – 1Cruzeiro
Ind. del Valle4 – 1Libertad

Thu, May 7

Mirassol2 – 0LDU
Platense1 – 1Peñarol
Junior0 – 1Cerro Porteño
Coquimbo Unido2 – 1Universitario

Wed, May 6

La Guaira1 – 1Bolívar
Santa Fe1 – 1Corinthians
Tolima3 – 0Nacional
U. Católica0 – 0Cruzeiro
Rivadavia1 – 1Fluminense
Cusco FC1 – 1Estudiantes

Tue, May 5

Sporting Cristal0 – 2Palmeiras
Barcelona SC1 – 0Boca Juniors
U. Central2 – 0Ind. del Valle
Always Ready4 – 0CA Lanús
Rosario Central1 – 0Libertad

Thu, Apr 30

Ind. Medellín1 – 0Cusco FC
Corinthians2 – 0Peñarol
Bolívar2 – 0Fluminense
Rivadavia4 – 1La Guaira

Wed, Apr 29

Cerro Porteño1 – 1Palmeiras
Estudiantes1 – 1Flamengo
Mirassol2 – 0Always Ready
Barcelona SC1 – 2U. Católica
Universitario4 – 2Nacional
Platense2 – 1Santa Fe

Tue, Apr 28

U. Central0 – 3Rosario Central
Cruzeiro1 – 0Boca Juniors
Tolima3 – 0Coquimbo Unido
Sporting Cristal2 – 0Junior
CA Lanús1 – 0LDU
Libertad2 – 3Ind. del Valle

Thu, Apr 16

Flamengo4 – 1Ind. Medellín
CA Lanús1 – 0Always Ready
Palmeiras2 – 1Sporting Cristal
Peñarol1 – 2Platense

Wed, Apr 15

Ind. del Valle3 – 1U. Central
Libertad0 – 1Rosario Central
Cruzeiro1 – 2U. Católica
Fluminense1 – 2Rivadavia
Corinthians2 – 0Santa Fe

Tue, Apr 14

Nacional3 – 1Tolima
Cerro Porteño1 – 0Junior
Bolívar1 – 1La Guaira
Boca Juniors3 – 0Barcelona SC
Universitario0 – 2Coquimbo Unido
LDU2 – 0Mirassol
Estudiantes2 – 1Cusco FC

Thu, Apr 9

Santa Fe1 – 1Peñarol
Platense0 – 2Corinthians
Rosario Central0 – 0Ind. del Valle
U. Central3 – 1Libertad

Wed, Apr 8

Coquimbo Unido1 – 1Nacional
Junior1 – 1Palmeiras
Cusco FC0 – 2Flamengo
Ind. Medellín1 – 1Estudiantes
Mirassol1 – 0CA Lanús
Sporting Cristal1 – 0Cerro Porteño

Tue, Apr 7

Tolima0 – 0Universitario
U. Católica1 – 2Boca Juniors
Always Ready0 – 1LDU
Barcelona SC0 – 1Cruzeiro
Rivadavia1 – 0Bolívar
La Guaira0 – 0Fluminense

After Round 6: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Copa Libertadores 2026 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Copa Libertadores 2026?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Estudiantes currently have the highest title probability at 50%. With 4 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
How does CupChances calculate Copa Libertadores 2026 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Copa Libertadores 2026 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Copa Libertadores Title Chances 2026 — All Teams… | CupChances