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Fluminense Libertadores Chances 2026 — 70.1%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 30 of 38 · Rank #3 · 29 MP

BrasileirãoCopa LibertadoresCopa do Brasil
Fluminense Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.8%
Win
0.0%
Releg
#3
Position
DWLWW
Last 5 matches
Fluminense are strong contenders for Libertadores at 70.1%, currently ranked 3rd — updated after every match.

Updated at

Fluminense are 3rd in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 29 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 70.1% chance of libertadores — with 8 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Fluminense have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their libertadores probability, Fluminense's win chance currently stands at 0.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Fluminense's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.8%
  • Libertadores: 70.1%
  • Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%
  • Sulamericana: 4.6%
  • Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-08-22

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Flamengo Win ChancesPalmeiras Libertadores ChancesAthletico-PR Libertadores ChancesCruzeiro Pre-Libertadores ChancesBahia Pre-Libertadores ChancesAtlético-MG Sulamericana ChancesSantos Sulamericana Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Flamengo#1Win: 59.4%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%8:30 PMFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
57%
19%
Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%7:00 PMSantos#8Libertadores: 3.1%Pre-Libertadores: 16.2%Sulamericana: 76.4%
50%
25%
Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.7%10:30 PMFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
20%
58%
Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%10:30 PMInternacional#17Sulamericana: 11.5%Releg: 47.0%
56%
19%
Vitória#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 41.5%Releg: 10.5%11:00 PMFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
44%
28%

Latest News

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes

Round-up
2026-09-20

Flamengo's narrow 2-1 victory over Bragantino has further solidified their position at the top of the Brasileirão standings. With 60 points, Flamengo now enjoys…

Fluminense's Narrow Escape Despite Platense's Dazzling Fightback

Fluminense's Narrow Escape Despite Platense's Dazzling Fightback

Match Report
2026-09-15

In a night of incredible drama at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Club Atlético Platense delivered a heart-stopping 2-1 victory over Brazilian giants Flumi…

Bahia's Glorious Surge Toward Libertadores Glory

Bahia's Glorious Surge Toward Libertadores Glory

Match Report
2026-09-14

In a match brimming with intensity and fervor, Bahia triumphed over Remo with a 2-1 victory in Round 27, setting the stage for what could be a spectacular finis…

Quarterfinals Drama Unfolds: High Stakes and Tight Margins

Knockout Preview
2026-09-14

As the quarterfinals reach their decisive second legs, the tension is palpable in this thrilling knockout stage. Four enticing matches are set to determine who …

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-10-08Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%4 - 0Coritiba#10Libertadores: 0.3%Pre-Libertadores: 3.4%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 2.4%
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 18.9%Releg: 32.2%1 - 3Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-09-15Copa LibertadoresPlatense2 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-09-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.9%Pre-Libertadores: 30.8%Sulamericana: 59.3%3 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-09-08Copa LibertadoresFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 0Platense
2026-09-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 0Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 42.6%Releg: 11.0%
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR#4Win: 0.6%Libertadores: 60.9%Pre-Libertadores: 32.4%Sulamericana: 6.7%3 - 3Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-08-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 1Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 97.5%
2026-08-18Copa LibertadoresRivadavia1 - 1(4-5 pen)Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-08-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%3 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 39.1%Libertadores: 99.8%Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%
2026-08-11Copa LibertadoresFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%0 - 0Rivadavia
2026-08-08Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 43.4%Releg: 10.2%1 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 3Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 42.6%Releg: 11.0%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 3Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 42.6%Releg: 11.0%
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 42.6%Releg: 11.0%0 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 42.6%Releg: 11.0%0 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%0 - 0Bahia#6Libertadores: 17.2%Pre-Libertadores: 42.4%Sulamericana: 40.2%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 7.0%Releg: 57.7%1 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-07-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 1Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.1%Sulamericana: 65.8%Releg: 3.0%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 39.3%Pre-Libertadores: 42.6%Sulamericana: 18.1%1 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-05-27Copa LibertadoresFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%3 - 1La Guaira
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 22.4%Releg: 27.5%1 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-05-19Copa LibertadoresFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 1Bolívar
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 1São Paulo#9Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.7%Sulamericana: 72.8%Releg: 1.5%
2026-05-12Copa do BrasilFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 1Operário-PR
2026-05-12Copa do BrasilFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 1Operário-PR
2026-05-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 2Vitória#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 41.5%Releg: 10.5%
2026-05-06Copa LibertadoresRivadavia1 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional#17Sulamericana: 11.5%Releg: 47.0%2 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-04-30Copa LibertadoresBolívar2 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 1Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.7%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilOperário-PR0 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilOperário-PR0 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASantos#8Libertadores: 3.1%Pre-Libertadores: 16.2%Sulamericana: 76.4%2 - 3Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-04-15Copa LibertadoresFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 2Rivadavia
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 2Flamengo#1Win: 59.4%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
2026-04-07Copa LibertadoresLa Guaira0 - 0Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-04-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba#10Libertadores: 0.3%Pre-Libertadores: 3.4%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 2.4%1 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%3 - 1Corinthians#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 18.9%Releg: 32.2%
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 0Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.9%Pre-Libertadores: 30.8%Sulamericana: 59.3%
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 42.6%Releg: 11.0%3 - 2Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%3 - 2Athletico-PR#4Win: 0.6%Libertadores: 60.9%Pre-Libertadores: 32.4%Sulamericana: 6.7%
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo#19Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 97.5%0 - 2Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 39.1%Libertadores: 99.8%Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%2 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%1 - 0Botafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 43.4%Releg: 10.2%
2026-02-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia#6Libertadores: 17.2%Pre-Libertadores: 42.4%Sulamericana: 40.2%1 - 1Fluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#3Win: 0.8%Libertadores: 70.1%Pre-Libertadores: 25.3%Sulamericana: 4.6%2 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 7.0%Releg: 57.7%