Fluminense
Fluminense Libertadores Chances 2026 — 41.8%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 23 of 38 · Rank #4 · 23 MP
Fluminense Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
2.0%
Win
0.1%
Releg
#4
Position
DDDDW
Last 5 matches
Fluminense are in realistic contention for Libertadores at 41.8%, currently ranked 4th — updated after every match.
Live — Updated at
Fluminense are 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 23 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 41.8% chance of libertadores — with 15 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Fluminense have recorded 1 win, 4 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their libertadores probability, Fluminense's win chance currently stands at 2.0%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Fluminense's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 2.0%
- Libertadores: 41.8%
- Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%
- Sulamericana: 28.9%
- Releg: 0.1%
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%7:00 PM
Remo#18Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 11.9%Releg: 55.3%
7:00 PMRemo#18Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 11.9%Releg: 55.3%58%
19%
Athletico-PR#3Win: 7.8%Libertadores: 69.8%Pre-Libertadores: 18.3%Sulamericana: 11.5%
2:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%
2:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%69%
12%
Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%12:00 AM
Vasco#19Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 13.7%Releg: 52.8%
12:00 AMVasco#19Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 13.7%Releg: 52.8%58%
19%
Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
3:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%
3:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%40%
34%
Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
3:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%
3:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%42%
31%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 |  | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 3 - 2 |  Palmeiras#1Win: 51.3%Libertadores: 97.4%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 0.4% |
| 2026-08-11 |  | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 0 - 0 | Rivadavia |
| 2026-08-08 | | Botafogo#11Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 6.9%Pre-Libertadores: 13.1%Sulamericana: 52.3%Releg: 5.3% | 1 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-08-05 |  | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 3 | Vasco#19Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 13.7%Releg: 52.8% |
| 2026-08-01 | | Vasco#19Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 13.7%Releg: 52.8% | 0 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-07-29 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 0 - 0 |  Bahia#6Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.1%Pre-Libertadores: 20.5%Sulamericana: 51.3%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Grêmio#14Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.8%Sulamericana: 28.8%Releg: 28.4% | 1 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-07-17 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 1 |  Bragantino#7Win: 0.4%Libertadores: 14.3%Pre-Libertadores: 20.1%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Cruzeiro#5Win: 1.1%Libertadores: 27.1%Pre-Libertadores: 26.1%Sulamericana: 41.1%Releg: 0.4% | 1 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-27 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 3 - 1 | La Guaira |
| 2026-05-23 | | Mirassol#17Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 1.4%Sulamericana: 19.6%Releg: 41.9% | 1 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-19 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Bolívar |
| 2026-05-16 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 1 |  São Paulo#13Libertadores: 2.3%Pre-Libertadores: 6.0%Sulamericana: 41.2%Releg: 15.2% |
| 2026-05-12 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Operário-PR |
| 2026-05-09 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 2 |  Vitória#12Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 7.1%Sulamericana: 44.8%Releg: 12.0% |
| 2026-05-03 | | Internacional#16Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%Sulamericana: 15.9%Releg: 47.2% | 2 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | | Bolívar | 2 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 1 |  Chapecoense#20Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 98.4% |
| 2026-04-23 | | Operário-PR | 0 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-19 | | Santos#15Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 29.2%Releg: 27.6% | 2 - 3 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-12 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 2 |  Flamengo#2Win: 36.4%Libertadores: 93.7%Pre-Libertadores: 4.9%Sulamericana: 1.4% |
| 2026-04-07 | | La Guaira | 0 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-04 | | Coritiba#10Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 5.4%Pre-Libertadores: 11.3%Sulamericana: 52.7%Releg: 5.8% | 1 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-01 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 3 - 1 | Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Vasco#19Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 13.7%Releg: 52.8% | 3 - 2 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 3 - 2 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 7.8%Libertadores: 69.8%Pre-Libertadores: 18.3%Sulamericana: 11.5% |
| 2026-03-12 | | Remo#18Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 11.9%Releg: 55.3% | 0 - 2 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Palmeiras#1Win: 51.3%Libertadores: 97.4%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 0.4% | 2 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-02-12 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Botafogo#11Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 6.9%Pre-Libertadores: 13.1%Sulamericana: 52.3%Releg: 5.3% |
| 2026-02-05 | | Bahia#6Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.1%Pre-Libertadores: 20.5%Sulamericana: 51.3%Releg: 1.7% | 1 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-01-28 | | Fluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#14Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.8%Sulamericana: 28.8%Releg: 28.4% |