Grêmio
Grêmio Releg Chances 2026 — 58.4%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 29 of 38 · Rank #18 · 29 MP
Live — Updated at
Grêmio are 18th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 29 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 58.4% chance of releg — with 9 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Grêmio have recorded 2 draws, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Grêmio's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
- Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-09-20
- Sulamericana: 6.4%
- Releg: 58.4%
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
12:30 AM
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 |  | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.2%Releg: 96.1% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-09-20 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 0 - 0 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 26.8%Libertadores: 98.9%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1% |
| 2026-09-16 | | Botafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 42.1%Releg: 10.7% | 3 - 2 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 1 - 2 |  Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3% |
| 2026-09-07 | | Vitória#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 53.0%Releg: 6.5% | 1 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-09-03 |  | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 3 - 1 | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 10.9%Releg: 47.5% |
| 2026-09-03 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 3 - 1 | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 10.9%Releg: 47.5% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 3 - 1 |  Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.7% |
| 2026-08-27 | | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 10.9%Releg: 47.5% | 0 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-08-27 | | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 10.9%Releg: 47.5% | 0 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Bragantino#10Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.8%Sulamericana: 65.0%Releg: 3.0% | 1 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-08-16 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 12.4%Pre-Libertadores: 28.8%Sulamericana: 57.7% | 3 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-08-08 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 2 - 1 |  São Paulo#12Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 55.9%Releg: 5.7% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 28.0% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 28.0% |
| 2026-08-02 | | Mirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 28.0% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-08-02 | | Mirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 28.0% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 1 - 1 |  Fluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7% |
| 2026-07-17 | | Mirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 28.0% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-05-30 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 1 - 3 |  Corinthians#16Sulamericana: 18.1%Releg: 32.9% |
| 2026-05-23 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 3 - 2 |  Santos#8Libertadores: 4.5%Pre-Libertadores: 16.8%Sulamericana: 74.5%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-17 | | Bahia#6Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 28.2%Pre-Libertadores: 39.9%Sulamericana: 31.8% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-05-14 | | Confiança | 0 - 3 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-05-14 | | Confiança | 0 - 3 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 0 - 1 |  Flamengo#1Win: 71.2%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-02 | | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 65.0%Pre-Libertadores: 27.0%Sulamericana: 7.9% | 0 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 1 - 0 |  Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 6.0%Sulamericana: 74.5%Releg: 1.2% |
| 2026-04-21 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 2 - 0 | Confiança |
| 2026-04-21 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 2 - 0 | Confiança |
| 2026-04-18 | | Cruzeiro#4Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 39.4%Pre-Libertadores: 39.7%Sulamericana: 20.9% | 2 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 10.9%Releg: 47.5% | 0 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 0 - 0 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.2%Releg: 96.1% |
| 2026-04-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 26.8%Libertadores: 98.9%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-03-22 | | Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-03-19 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 53.0%Releg: 6.5% |
| 2026-03-16 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.7% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-03-12 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 1 - 1 | Bragantino#10Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.8%Sulamericana: 65.0%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 2 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 12.4%Pre-Libertadores: 28.8%Sulamericana: 57.7% |
| 2026-02-11 | | São Paulo#12Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 55.9%Releg: 5.7% | 2 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% | 5 - 3 | Botafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 42.1%Releg: 10.7% |
| 2026-01-28 | | Fluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4% |