Grêmio
Grêmio Releg Chances 2026 — 56.7%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 30 of 38 · Rank #18 · 30 MP
Updated at
Grêmio are 18th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 30 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 56.7% chance of releg — with 8 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Grêmio have recorded 3 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Grêmio's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
- Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-09-20
- Sulamericana: 5.3%
- Releg: 56.7%
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
12:30 AM
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 |  | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 1 - 1 |  Internacional#17Sulamericana: 9.5%Releg: 44.9% |
| 2026-10-07 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 96.5% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-09-20 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 0 - 0 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 38.8%Libertadores: 100.0% |
| 2026-09-16 | | Botafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 41.8%Releg: 8.2% | 3 - 2 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 1 - 2 |  Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 45.5%Releg: 8.0% |
| 2026-09-07 | | Vitória#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 44.0%Releg: 7.9% | 1 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-09-03 |  | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 3 - 1 | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 9.5%Releg: 44.9% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 3 - 1 |  Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.9% |
| 2026-08-27 | | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 9.5%Releg: 44.9% | 0 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Bragantino#9Libertadores: 0.3%Pre-Libertadores: 3.5%Sulamericana: 81.5%Releg: 0.4% | 1 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-08-16 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 14.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.3%Sulamericana: 46.0% | 3 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-08-08 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 2 - 1 |  São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.1%Sulamericana: 75.4%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#15Sulamericana: 13.4%Releg: 34.1% |
| 2026-08-02 | | Mirassol#15Sulamericana: 13.4%Releg: 34.1% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 1 - 1 |  Fluminense#4Libertadores: 53.4%Pre-Libertadores: 36.7%Sulamericana: 9.9% |
| 2026-07-17 | | Mirassol#15Sulamericana: 13.4%Releg: 34.1% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-05-30 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 1 - 3 |  Corinthians#16Sulamericana: 10.7%Releg: 40.8% |
| 2026-05-23 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 3 - 2 |  Santos#8Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 7.4%Sulamericana: 85.0% |
| 2026-05-17 | | Bahia#5Libertadores: 27.4%Pre-Libertadores: 45.9%Sulamericana: 26.7% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-05-14 | | Confiança | 0 - 3 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 0 - 1 |  Flamengo#1Win: 60.7%Libertadores: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-02 | | Athletico-PR#3Win: 0.4%Libertadores: 78.3%Pre-Libertadores: 19.4%Sulamericana: 2.4% | 0 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 1 - 0 |  Coritiba#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 70.6%Releg: 1.5% |
| 2026-04-21 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 2 - 0 | Confiança |
| 2026-04-18 | | Cruzeiro#6Libertadores: 24.7%Pre-Libertadores: 43.1%Sulamericana: 32.2% | 2 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Internacional#17Sulamericana: 9.5%Releg: 44.9% | 0 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 0 - 0 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 96.5% |
| 2026-04-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 38.8%Libertadores: 100.0% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-03-22 | | Vasco#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 45.5%Releg: 8.0% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-03-19 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#12Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 44.0%Releg: 7.9% |
| 2026-03-16 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.9% | 1 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-03-12 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 1 - 1 | Bragantino#9Libertadores: 0.3%Pre-Libertadores: 3.5%Sulamericana: 81.5%Releg: 0.4% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 2 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 14.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.3%Sulamericana: 46.0% |
| 2026-02-11 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 2.1%Sulamericana: 75.4%Releg: 1.0% | 2 - 0 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% | 5 - 3 | Botafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 41.8%Releg: 8.2% |
| 2026-01-28 | | Fluminense#4Libertadores: 53.4%Pre-Libertadores: 36.7%Sulamericana: 9.9% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 5.3%Releg: 56.7% |