Vitória
Vitória Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 35.4%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #13 · 28 MP
Vitória Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Win
14.6%
Releg
#13
Position
LLWDL
Last 5 matches
Vitória are in realistic contention for Sulamericana at 35.4%, currently ranked 13th — updated after every match.
Live — Updated at
Vitória are 13th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 35.4% chance of sulamericana — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Vitória have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vitória's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-29
- Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-10-03
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%
- Sulamericana: 35.4%
- Releg: 14.6%
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
38%
34%
Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7%
11:00 PMVitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6%
11:00 PMVitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6%42%
25%
Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6%7:30 PM
Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1%
7:30 PMAthletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1%38%
34%
Latest News
Bahia's Glorious Surge Toward Libertadores Glory
Match Report2026-09-14
In a match brimming with intensity and fervor, Bahia triumphed over Remo with a 2-1 victory in Round 27, setting the stage for what could be a spectacular finis…
Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat
Round-up2026-09-13
Flamengo fans have reason to celebrate after their team clinched a 2-1 victory over Corinthians, a result that has significantly boosted their chances of winnin…
Vitória's Win Over Grêmio Shifts Probabilities Significantly
Match Report2026-09-07
Vitória's 1-0 victory against Grêmio on September 7, 2026, has led to significant shifts in championship probabilities. Prior to the match, Vitória's relegation…
Round 32 of the knockout stage is upon us, and it's a thrilling time for Brazilian football fans as four enticing matches set the stage for what promises to be a memorable week. With spots in the quarterfinals up for grabs, each team is ready to fight tooth and nail to keep their tournament dreams alive.
Knockout Preview2026-08-31
First up, we have a classic Brazilian derby with Atlético-MG taking on Cruzeiro. Both teams have nearly equal chances of advancing, with Atlético-MG holding a s…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 1 - 3 |  Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% |
| 2026-09-13 | | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% | 2 - 2 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-09-07 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 1 - 0 |  Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% |
| 2026-09-02 |  | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 0 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% |
| 2026-09-02 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 0 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% |
| 2026-08-29 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% | 1 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% | 1 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 0 - 2 |  Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-08-16 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 1 - 0 |  Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% |
| 2026-08-09 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-08-06 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 4 - 0 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% |
| 2026-08-06 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 4 - 0 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% |
| 2026-08-03 | | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-08-03 | | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-07-29 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 0 - 4 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-07-23 | | Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% | 0 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-07-16 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 1 - 0 |  Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% |
| 2026-05-30 | | Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% | 3 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-05-23 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 2 - 0 |  Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% |
| 2026-05-17 | | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-05-14 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 2 - 0 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-14 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 2 - 0 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-09 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% | 2 - 2 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-05-02 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 4 - 1 |  Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.2%Pre-Libertadores: 6.3%Sulamericana: 73.5%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% | 3 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-04-22 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-04-22 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-04-18 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 0 - 0 | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 2 - 0 |  São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% | 1 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-04-01 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% | 3 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-03-22 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% |
| 2026-03-19 | | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% | 2 - 0 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-03-14 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 2 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-03-11 | | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-02-10 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 1 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 5 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-01-28 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 2 - 0 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% |