Flamengo
Flamengo Libertadores Chances 2026 — 99.9%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #1 · 28 MP
Live — Updated at
Flamengo are 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of libertadores — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Flamengo have recorded 5 wins. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their libertadores probability, Flamengo's win chance currently stands at 71.1%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Flamengo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 71.1%
- Libertadores: 99.9%
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
- Sulamericana: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-07-22
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
8:30 PM
Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5%11:00 PM
Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%Latest News
Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes
Round-upFlamengo's narrow 2-1 victory over Bragantino has further solidified their position at the top of the Brasileirão standings. With 60 points, Flamengo now enjoys…
Flamengo Advances to Semifinals After Draw with Independiente del Valle
Match ReportIn an intense quarterfinal clash, Flamengo secured their passage to the Copa Libertadores semifinals despite a 1-1 draw against Independiente del Valle at home.…
Quarterfinals Drama Unfolds: High Stakes and Tight Margins
Knockout PreviewAs the quarterfinals reach their decisive second legs, the tension is palpable in this thrilling knockout stage. Four enticing matches are set to determine who …
Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat
Round-upFlamengo fans have reason to celebrate after their team clinched a 2-1 victory over Corinthians, a result that has significantly boosted their chances of winnin…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 |  Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-09-17 |  | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 1 | Ind. del Valle |
| 2026-09-13 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 |  Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7% |
| 2026-09-10 | | Ind. del Valle | 0 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-09-06 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% | 0 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-09-02 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 |  Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 |  Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% |
| 2026-08-22 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% | 2 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-08-19 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% |
| 2026-08-16 | | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% | 1 - 5 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-08-12 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-08-09 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 |  Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-07-29 | | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 1 |  São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-07-22 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% | 0 - 4 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-30 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 |  Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.2%Pre-Libertadores: 6.3%Sulamericana: 73.5%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-05-26 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 | Cusco FC |
| 2026-05-23 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 0 - 3 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-05-20 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Estudiantes |
| 2026-05-17 | | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% | 0 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-03 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 2 |  Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | | Estudiantes | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 0 - 4 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-19 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 |  Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-04-16 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 4 - 1 | Ind. Medellín |
| 2026-04-12 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% | 1 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-08 | | Cusco FC | 0 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 1 |  Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% |
| 2026-04-02 | | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% | 3 - 0 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-22 | | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-19 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% |
| 2026-03-14 | | Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% | 0 - 3 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-11 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% |
| 2026-02-10 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 1 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 1 | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% |
| 2026-01-28 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% | 2 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |