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Flamengo QF Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #2 · 5 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirão
Flamengo Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
25.0%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#2
Position
DWWDW
Last 5 matches
Flamengo are the clear favourites for QF at 100.0%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Flamengo are 2nd in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of qf — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Flamengo have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their qf probability, Flamengo's win chance currently stands at 25.0%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Flamengo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 25.0%
  • Final: 41.8%
  • SF: 66.1%
  • QF: 100.0%Since 2026-08-21
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Palmeiras Win ChancesEstudiantes de La Plata SF ChancesFluminense SF ChancesClub Atlético Platense QF ChancesCorinthians QF ChancesIndependiente del Valle QF Chances

Next matches

Ind. del Valle#7Win: 4.2%Final: 13.4%SF: 38.4%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Ind. del Valle#7Win: 4.2%Final: 13.4%SF: 38.4%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%

Latest News

Flamengo Soars, Mirassol Finds Breathing Room

Flamengo Soars, Mirassol Finds Breathing Room

Round-up
2026-09-06

In a thrilling weekend of Brasileirão action, Flamengo's narrow 1-0 victory over Remo has boosted their championship probability significantly, now sitting at a…

**Flamengo's Fiery Victory Fuels Title Dream as Mirassol Faces Relegation Specter**

Flamengo's Fiery Victory Fuels Title Dream as Mirassol Faces Relegation Specter

Match Report
2026-09-02

In a night of dazzling football, Flamengo affirmed their championship ambitions with a commanding 2-0 victory over Mirassol, a result that has significant impli…

Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Internacional Faces Relegation Woes

Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Internacional Faces Relegation Woes

Round-up
2026-08-30

Round 25 of the Brasileirão brought excitement and significant shifts in championship probabilities. Flamengo's impressive 3-0 victory over Botafogo has boosted…

Independiente del Valle Advances, Deportes Tolima Eliminated

Independiente del Valle Advances, Deportes Tolima Eliminated

Match Report
2026-08-25

Independiente del Valle's victory over Deportes Tolima, with a decisive 3–1 score in the Round of 16, has significant implications for their Copa Libertadores c…

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-06Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo0 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Mirassol#18R16: 100.0%
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Botafogo
2026-08-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%2 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-19Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Cruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#18R16: 100.0%1 - 5Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Vitória
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1São Paulo
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AChapecoense0 - 4Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Coritiba
2026-05-26Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Cusco FC#29Exit: 100.0%
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 3Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-20Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Estudiantes
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio0 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 2Vasco
2026-04-29Copa LibertadoresEstudiantes1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG0 - 4Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Bahia
2026-04-16Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Ind. Medellín
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 9.0%Final: 22.1%SF: 49.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-08Copa LibertadoresCusco FC#29Exit: 100.0%0 - 2Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 1Santos
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino3 - 0Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#6Win: 5.5%Final: 15.9%SF: 42.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Remo
2026-03-14Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo0 - 3Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Cruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%
2026-02-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória1 - 2Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Internacional
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASão Paulo2 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%