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Flamengo SF Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #3 · 5 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirão
Flamengo Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
17.1%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#3
Position
WDWWD
Last 5 matches
Flamengo are the clear favourites for SF at 100.0%, currently ranked 3rd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Flamengo are 3rd in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of sf — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Flamengo have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their sf probability, Flamengo's win chance currently stands at 17.1%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Flamengo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 17.1%
  • Final: 29.0%
  • SF: 100.0%Since 2026-09-18
  • QF: 100.0%Since 2026-08-21
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Estudiantes de La Plata Win ChancesPalmeiras Final ChancesFluminense SF ChancesBolívar QF ChancesIndependiente Rivadavia QF ChancesDeportivo La Guaira QF ChancesPeñarol QF Chances

Next matches

Estudiantes#1Win: 50.1%Final: 71.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
50%
20%
Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Estudiantes#1Win: 50.1%Final: 71.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
31%
36%

Latest News

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes

Round-up
2026-09-20

Flamengo's narrow 2-1 victory over Bragantino has further solidified their position at the top of the Brasileirão standings. With 60 points, Flamengo now enjoys…

Flamengo Advances to Semifinals After Draw with Independiente del Valle

Flamengo Advances to Semifinals After Draw with Independiente del Valle

Match Report
2026-09-17

In an intense quarterfinal clash, Flamengo secured their passage to the Copa Libertadores semifinals despite a 1-1 draw against Independiente del Valle at home.…

Quarterfinals Drama Unfolds: High Stakes and Tight Margins

Knockout Preview
2026-09-14

As the quarterfinals reach their decisive second legs, the tension is palpable in this thrilling knockout stage. Four enticing matches are set to determine who …

Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat

Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat

Round-up
2026-09-13

Flamengo fans have reason to celebrate after their team clinched a 2-1 victory over Corinthians, a result that has significantly boosted their chances of winnin…

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Bragantino
2026-09-17Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Ind. del Valle
2026-09-13Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Corinthians#11QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-10Copa LibertadoresInd. del Valle0 - 2Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-06Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo0 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Mirassol#16R16: 100.0%
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Botafogo
2026-08-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%2 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-19Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Cruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#16R16: 100.0%1 - 5Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Vitória
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional1 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1São Paulo
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AChapecoense0 - 4Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Coritiba
2026-05-26Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Cusco FC#29Exit: 100.0%
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 3Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-20Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Estudiantes
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR1 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio0 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 2Vasco
2026-04-29Copa LibertadoresEstudiantes1 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG0 - 4Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Bahia
2026-04-16Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Ind. Medellín
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-08Copa LibertadoresCusco FC#29Exit: 100.0%0 - 2Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 1Santos
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino3 - 0Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#11QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Remo
2026-03-14Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo0 - 3Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Cruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%
2026-02-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória1 - 2Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Internacional
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASão Paulo2 - 1Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%