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Flamengo R16 Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #2 · 5 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirão
Flamengo Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
10.0%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#2
Position
WDWWD
Last 5 matches
Flamengo are the clear favourites for R16 at 100.0%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Flamengo are 2nd in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of r16 — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Flamengo have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their r16 probability, Flamengo's win chance currently stands at 10.0%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Flamengo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 10.0%
  • Final: 18.7%
  • SF: 34.5%
  • QF: 64.0%
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Rosario Central Win ChancesIndependiente Rivadavia SF ChancesUniversidad Católica SF ChancesCorinthians QF ChancesPalmeiras QF ChancesCoquimbo Unido QF Chances

Next matches

Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
53%
20%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AMirassol#10Win: 5.0%Final: 10.3%SF: 21.2%QF: 43.2%R16: 100.0%1 - 5Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresCruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Vitória
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AInternacional1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1São Paulo
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AChapecoense0 - 4Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Coritiba
2026-05-26Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Cusco FC#30Exit: 100.0%
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 3Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-20Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Estudiantes
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAthletico-PR1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AGrêmio0 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 2Vasco
2026-04-29Copa LibertadoresEstudiantes1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG0 - 4Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Bahia
2026-04-16Copa LibertadoresFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Ind. Medellín
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-08Copa LibertadoresCusco FC#30Exit: 100.0%0 - 2Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 1Santos
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABragantino3 - 0Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#5Win: 7.7%Final: 15.6%SF: 31.6%QF: 63.7%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Remo
2026-03-14Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABotafogo0 - 3Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-10Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVitória1 - 2Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Internacional
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ASão Paulo2 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%