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Vasco Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 45.2%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 29 of 38 · Rank #14 · 28 MP

BrasileirãoCopa do BrasilCopa Sul-Americana
Vasco Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Win
10.3%
Releg
#14
Position
WLWWW
Last 5 matches
Vasco are in realistic contention for Sulamericana at 45.2%, currently ranked 14th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Vasco are 14th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 45.2% chance of sulamericana — with 9 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Vasco have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vasco's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
  • Libertadores: 0.1%
  • Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%
  • Sulamericana: 45.2%
  • Releg: 10.3%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Coritiba Sulamericana ChancesBragantino Sulamericana ChancesVitória Sulamericana ChancesSão Paulo Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo 2026 Season OddsMirassol 2026 Season OddsCorinthians 2026 Season OddsInternacional Releg ChancesGrêmio Releg ChancesRemo Releg Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%9:00 PMRemo#19Sulamericana: 0.2%Releg: 96.1%
60%
16%
São Paulo#12Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 55.9%Releg: 5.7%12:00 AMVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
40%
31%
Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%9:30 PMCorinthians#16Sulamericana: 18.1%Releg: 32.9%
60%
16%
Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%11:00 PMFlamengo#1Win: 71.2%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
60%
16%
Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 65.0%Pre-Libertadores: 27.0%Sulamericana: 7.9%10:30 PMVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
53%
21%

Latest News

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Match Report
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Cienciano's 2-0 win against Montevideo City Torque in the first leg of their Copa Sul-Americana quarterfinal tie has significantly bolstered their championship …

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-10-07Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 42.1%Releg: 10.7%1 - 2Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-09-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%5 - 0Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 6.0%Sulamericana: 74.5%Releg: 1.2%
2026-09-15Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%2 - 0Santa Fe
2026-09-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4%1 - 2Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-09-08Santa Fe0 - 0Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-09-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7%1 - 0Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilVitória#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 53.0%Releg: 6.5%0 - 2Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilVitória#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 53.0%Releg: 6.5%0 - 2Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-08-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%3 - 1Cruzeiro#4Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 39.4%Pre-Libertadores: 39.7%Sulamericana: 20.9%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%1 - 0Vitória#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 53.0%Releg: 6.5%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%1 - 0Vitória#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 53.0%Releg: 6.5%
2026-08-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 26.8%Libertadores: 98.9%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%4 - 1Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-08-20Olimpia1 - 4Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%0 - 3Santos#8Libertadores: 4.5%Pre-Libertadores: 16.8%Sulamericana: 74.5%Releg: 0.1%
2026-08-13Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%0 - 0Olimpia
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia#6Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 28.2%Pre-Libertadores: 39.9%Sulamericana: 31.8%0 - 0Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7%1 - 3Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7%1 - 3Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%0 - 0Fluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7%
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%0 - 0Fluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7%
2026-07-25Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%1 - 1Mirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 28.0%
2026-07-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#11Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 53.0%Releg: 6.5%1 - 0Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%0 - 1Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 12.4%Pre-Libertadores: 28.8%Sulamericana: 57.7%
2026-05-24Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%0 - 3Bragantino#10Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.8%Sulamericana: 65.0%Releg: 3.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional#17Sulamericana: 10.9%Releg: 47.5%4 - 1Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%2 - 2Paysandu
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%2 - 2Paysandu
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%1 - 0Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 65.0%Pre-Libertadores: 27.0%Sulamericana: 7.9%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#1Win: 71.2%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%2 - 2Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#16Sulamericana: 18.1%Releg: 32.9%1 - 0Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-04-21Copa do BrasilPaysandu0 - 2Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-04-21Copa do BrasilPaysandu0 - 2Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-04-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%2 - 1São Paulo#12Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%Sulamericana: 55.9%Releg: 5.7%
2026-04-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo#19Sulamericana: 0.2%Releg: 96.1%1 - 1Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-04-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%1 - 2Botafogo#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 42.1%Releg: 10.7%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba#9Libertadores: 1.0%Pre-Libertadores: 6.0%Sulamericana: 74.5%Releg: 1.2%1 - 1Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%2 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 6.4%Releg: 58.4%
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%3 - 2Fluminense#5Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 50.2%Pre-Libertadores: 35.1%Sulamericana: 14.7%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#4Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 39.4%Pre-Libertadores: 39.7%Sulamericana: 20.9%3 - 3Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%2 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 26.8%Libertadores: 98.9%Pre-Libertadores: 1.1%
2026-02-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASantos#8Libertadores: 4.5%Pre-Libertadores: 16.8%Sulamericana: 74.5%Releg: 0.1%2 - 1Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%
2026-02-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%0 - 1Bahia#6Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 28.2%Pre-Libertadores: 39.9%Sulamericana: 31.8%
2026-02-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%1 - 1Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.7%
2026-01-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 21.2%Releg: 28.0%2 - 1Vasco#14Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 45.2%Releg: 10.3%