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Corinthians Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 54.1%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 23 of 38 · Rank #9 · 23 MP

BrasileirãoCopa do BrasilCopa Libertadores
Corinthians Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.1%
Win
4.0%
Releg
#9
Position
WDDWL
Last 5 matches
Corinthians are strong contenders for Sulamericana at 54.1%, currently ranked 9th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Corinthians are 9th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 23 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 54.1% chance of sulamericana — with 15 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Corinthians have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their sulamericana probability, Corinthians's win chance currently stands at 0.1%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Corinthians's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.1%
  • Libertadores: 7.5%
  • Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%
  • Sulamericana: 54.1%
  • Releg: 4.0%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Fluminense Libertadores ChancesCruzeiro Pre-Libertadores ChancesBahia Pre-Libertadores ChancesBragantino Sulamericana ChancesAtlético-MG Sulamericana ChancesCoritiba Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo Sulamericana ChancesVitória Sulamericana ChancesSão Paulo 2026 Season OddsGrêmio 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Coritiba#10Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 5.4%Pre-Libertadores: 11.3%Sulamericana: 52.7%Releg: 5.8%10:30 PMCorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
40%
35%
Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%7:00 PMSantos#15Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 29.2%Releg: 27.6%
42%
31%
Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%10:30 PMChapecoense#20Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 98.4%
42%
31%
Flamengo#2Win: 36.4%Libertadores: 93.7%Pre-Libertadores: 4.9%Sulamericana: 1.4%3:00 PMCorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
53%
21%
Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%3:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%
42%
31%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%1 - 2Cruzeiro#5Win: 1.1%Libertadores: 27.1%Pre-Libertadores: 26.1%Sulamericana: 41.1%Releg: 0.4%
2026-08-13Copa LibertadoresRosario Central0 - 0Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABragantino#7Win: 0.4%Libertadores: 14.3%Pre-Libertadores: 20.1%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%0 - 2Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-08-06Copa do BrasilCorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%2 - 1Internacional#16Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%Sulamericana: 15.9%Releg: 47.2%
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilInternacional#16Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%Sulamericana: 15.9%Releg: 47.2%2 - 0Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-07-30Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%0 - 0Athletico-PR#3Win: 7.8%Libertadores: 69.8%Pre-Libertadores: 18.3%Sulamericana: 11.5%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABahia#6Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.1%Pre-Libertadores: 20.5%Sulamericana: 51.3%Releg: 1.7%1 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-07-23Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%3 - 0Remo#18Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 11.9%Releg: 55.3%
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AGrêmio#14Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.8%Sulamericana: 28.8%Releg: 28.4%1 - 3Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-05-27Copa LibertadoresCorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%0 - 2Platense
2026-05-24Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%1 - 0Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-05-21Copa LibertadoresPeñarol1 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABotafogo#11Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 6.9%Pre-Libertadores: 13.1%Sulamericana: 52.3%Releg: 5.3%3 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-05-14Copa do BrasilCorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%1 - 0Barra-SC
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%3 - 2São Paulo#13Libertadores: 2.3%Pre-Libertadores: 6.0%Sulamericana: 41.2%Releg: 15.2%
2026-05-06Copa LibertadoresSanta Fe1 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AMirassol#17Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 1.4%Sulamericana: 19.6%Releg: 41.9%2 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-04-30Copa LibertadoresCorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%2 - 0Peñarol
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%1 - 0Vasco#19Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 13.7%Releg: 52.8%
2026-04-21Copa do BrasilBarra-SC0 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-04-18Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVitória#12Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 7.1%Sulamericana: 44.8%Releg: 12.0%0 - 0Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-04-15Copa LibertadoresCorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%2 - 0Santa Fe
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%0 - 0Palmeiras#1Win: 51.3%Libertadores: 97.4%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 0.4%
2026-04-09Copa LibertadoresPlatense0 - 2Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%0 - 1Internacional#16Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%Sulamericana: 15.9%Releg: 47.2%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%3 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Win: 36.4%Libertadores: 93.7%Pre-Libertadores: 4.9%Sulamericana: 1.4%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AChapecoense#20Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 98.4%0 - 0Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ASantos#15Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 29.2%Releg: 27.6%1 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%0 - 2Coritiba#10Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 5.4%Pre-Libertadores: 11.3%Sulamericana: 52.7%Releg: 5.8%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#5Win: 1.1%Libertadores: 27.1%Pre-Libertadores: 26.1%Sulamericana: 41.1%Releg: 0.4%1 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-02-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAthletico-PR#3Win: 7.8%Libertadores: 69.8%Pre-Libertadores: 18.3%Sulamericana: 11.5%0 - 1Corinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%2 - 0Bragantino#7Win: 0.4%Libertadores: 14.3%Pre-Libertadores: 20.1%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%1 - 2Bahia#6Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.1%Pre-Libertadores: 20.5%Sulamericana: 51.3%Releg: 1.7%