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Palmeiras QF Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #1 · 6 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Palmeiras Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
28.3%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#1
Position
LWDWW
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for QF at 100.0%, currently ranked 1st — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Palmeiras are 1st in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of qf — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their qf probability, Palmeiras's win chance currently stands at 28.3%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 28.3%
  • Final: 45.1%
  • SF: 68.5%
  • QF: 100.0%Since 2026-08-21
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Flamengo Final ChancesEstudiantes de La Plata SF ChancesFluminense SF ChancesClub Atlético Platense QF ChancesCorinthians QF Chances

Next matches

LDU#8Win: 1.9%Final: 7.9%SF: 29.3%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%19:00Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%

Latest News

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Round-up
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Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-09Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0LDU#8Win: 1.9%Final: 7.9%SF: 29.3%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-06Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilSantos0 - 0Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#18R16: 100.0%1 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Santos
2026-08-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Vasco
2026-08-19Copa LibertadoresCerro Porteño#32R16: 100.0%0 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 9.0%Final: 22.1%SF: 49.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 2Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Cerro Porteño#32R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Internacional
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFortaleza3 - 2Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Fortaleza
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória0 - 4Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Atlético-MG
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba1 - 3Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Chapecoense
2026-05-28Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Junior
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 25.0%Final: 41.8%SF: 66.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 3Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-20Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 1Cerro Porteño#32R16: 100.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Cruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilJacuipense1 - 4Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo1 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-05Copa LibertadoresSporting Cristal0 - 2Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Santos
2026-04-29Copa LibertadoresCerro Porteño#32R16: 100.0%1 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino0 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Jacuipense
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Athletico-PR
2026-04-16Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Sporting Cristal
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#6Win: 5.5%Final: 15.9%SF: 42.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-08Copa LibertadoresJunior1 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia1 - 2Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Grêmio
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASão Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Botafogo
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Mirassol#18R16: 100.0%
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco2 - 1Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 9.0%Final: 22.1%SF: 49.1%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional1 - 3Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%5 - 1Vitória
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG2 - 2Palmeiras#1Win: 28.3%Final: 45.1%SF: 68.5%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%