Skip to main content

Palmeiras logoPalmeiras

Palmeiras SF Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #2 · 6 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Palmeiras Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
21.0%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#2
Position
WDWWL
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for SF at 100.0%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Palmeiras are 2nd in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of sf — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their sf probability, Palmeiras's win chance currently stands at 21.0%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 21.0%
  • Final: 52.4%
  • SF: 100.0%Since 2026-09-18
  • QF: 100.0%Since 2026-08-21
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Estudiantes de La Plata Win ChancesFlamengo SF ChancesFluminense SF ChancesBolívar QF ChancesIndependiente Rivadavia QF ChancesDeportivo La Guaira QF Chances

Next matches

Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
33%
36%
Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
61%
13%

Latest News

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes

Round-up
2026-09-20

Flamengo's narrow 2-1 victory over Bragantino has further solidified their position at the top of the Brasileirão standings. With 60 points, Flamengo now enjoys…

Quarterfinals Drama Unfolds: High Stakes and Tight Margins

Knockout Preview
2026-09-14

As the quarterfinals reach their decisive second legs, the tension is palpable in this thrilling knockout stage. Four enticing matches are set to determine who …

Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat

Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat

Round-up
2026-09-13

Flamengo fans have reason to celebrate after their team clinched a 2-1 victory over Corinthians, a result that has significantly boosted their chances of winnin…

Palmeiras Edges Closer to Glory, São Paulo's Relegation Fears Rise

Palmeiras Edges Closer to Glory, São Paulo's Relegation Fears Rise

Round-up
2026-09-12

In a weekend of electrifying drama, Palmeiras surged ahead in the Brasileirão title race with a commanding 2-0 victory over São Paulo, propelling them to the to…

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-16Copa LibertadoresLDU#19QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 2(3-4 pen)Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0São Paulo
2026-09-09Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0LDU#19QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-06Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilSantos0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilSantos0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#16R16: 100.0%1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Santos
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Santos
2026-08-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Vasco
2026-08-19Copa LibertadoresCerro Porteño#31R16: 100.0%0 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Cerro Porteño#31R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Internacional
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFortaleza3 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFortaleza3 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Fortaleza
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Fortaleza
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória0 - 4Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Atlético-MG
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba1 - 3Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Chapecoense
2026-05-28Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Junior
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 3Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-20Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 1Cerro Porteño#31R16: 100.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Cruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilJacuipense1 - 4Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilJacuipense1 - 4Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-05Copa LibertadoresSporting Cristal0 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Santos
2026-04-29Copa LibertadoresCerro Porteño#31R16: 100.0%1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino0 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Jacuipense
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Jacuipense
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Athletico-PR
2026-04-16Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Sporting Cristal
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#11QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-08Copa LibertadoresJunior1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia1 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Grêmio
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASão Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Botafogo
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Mirassol#16R16: 100.0%
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco2 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional1 - 3Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%5 - 1Vitória
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG2 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%