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Palmeiras R16 Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #6 · 5 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Palmeiras Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
6.7%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#6
Position
DWWWD
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for R16 at 100.0%, currently ranked 6th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Palmeiras are 6th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of r16 — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their r16 probability, Palmeiras's win chance currently stands at 6.7%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 6.7%
  • Final: 13.3%
  • SF: 26.3%
  • QF: 51.9%
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Rosario Central Win ChancesFlamengo Final ChancesIndependiente Rivadavia SF ChancesUniversidad Católica SF ChancesCorinthians QF ChancesCoquimbo Unido QF ChancesLDU QF ChancesCerro Porteño R16 ChancesMirassol R16 ChancesCruzeiro R16 Chances

Next matches

Cerro Porteño#9Win: 5.8%Final: 11.7%SF: 23.4%QF: 46.7%R16: 100.0%19:00Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
34%
36%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-15Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%3 - 2Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Cerro Porteño#9Win: 5.8%Final: 11.7%SF: 23.4%QF: 46.7%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Internacional
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFortaleza3 - 2Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Fortaleza
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVitória0 - 4Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Atlético-MG
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACoritiba1 - 3Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Chapecoense
2026-05-28Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%4 - 1Junior
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFlamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 3Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Cruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilJacuipense1 - 4Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ARemo1 - 1Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-05Copa LibertadoresSporting Cristal0 - 2Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Santos
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABragantino0 - 1Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%3 - 0Jacuipense
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Athletico-PR
2026-04-16Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Sporting Cristal
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#5Win: 7.7%Final: 15.6%SF: 31.6%QF: 63.7%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-08Copa LibertadoresJunior1 - 1Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABahia1 - 2Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Grêmio
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ASão Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Botafogo
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Mirassol#10Win: 5.0%Final: 10.3%SF: 21.2%QF: 43.2%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVasco2 - 1Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AInternacional1 - 3Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%5 - 1Vitória
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG2 - 2Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%