Bahia
Bahia Pre-Libertadores Chances 2026 — 39.2%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #5 · 28 MP
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Bahia are 5th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 39.2% chance of pre-libertadores — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Bahia have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their pre-libertadores probability, Bahia's win chance currently stands at 0.2%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Bahia's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.2%
- Libertadores: 30.7%
- Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%
- Sulamericana: 29.9%
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-08-31
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
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Times in Coordinated Universal Time
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% | 2 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-09-14 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 2 - 1 |  Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% |
| 2026-09-05 | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% | 2 - 3 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-08-30 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 3 - 2 |  Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% |
| 2026-08-23 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 0 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-08-16 | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% | 3 - 3 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-08-09 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 0 - 0 |  Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% |
| 2026-07-29 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% | 0 - 0 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-07-26 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 1 |  Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7% |
| 2026-07-21 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 1 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-07-17 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% |
| 2026-05-30 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 2 - 1 |  Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% |
| 2026-05-25 | Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.2%Pre-Libertadores: 6.3%Sulamericana: 73.5%Releg: 1.0% | 3 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-05-17 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 1 |  Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% |
| 2026-05-09 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 2 |  Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% |
| 2026-05-03 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% | 2 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-04-25 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 2 - 2 |  Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% |
| 2026-04-19 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-04-11 | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% | 1 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-04-05 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 2 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |
| 2026-04-01 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 3 - 0 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% |
| 2026-03-22 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% | 4 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-03-18 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 2 - 0 | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-03-15 | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% | 0 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-03-11 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 1 | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-02-11 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% | 0 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% | 1 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7% | 1 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |