Atlético-MG
Atlético-MG Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 54.5%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #7 · 28 MP
Atlético-MG Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Win
0.0%
Releg
#7
Position
WLWDW
Last 5 matches
Atlético-MG are strong contenders for Sulamericana at 54.5%, currently ranked 7th — updated after every match.
Live — Updated at
Atlético-MG are 7th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 54.5% chance of sulamericana — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Atlético-MG have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Atlético-MG's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-09-13
- Libertadores: 13.7%
- Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%
- Sulamericana: 54.5%
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-10-03
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Palmeiras Libertadores ChancesAthletico-PR Libertadores ChancesFluminense Libertadores ChancesBahia Pre-Libertadores ChancesCruzeiro Pre-Libertadores ChancesSantos Sulamericana ChancesCoritiba Sulamericana ChancesSão Paulo Sulamericana ChancesBragantino Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo Sulamericana Chances
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1%
11:00 PMAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%
11:00 PMAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%54%
19%
Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%7:00 PM
Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%
7:00 PMSantos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%55%
20%
Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%9:30 PM
Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.2%Pre-Libertadores: 6.3%Sulamericana: 73.5%Releg: 1.0%
9:30 PMCoritiba#9Libertadores: 1.2%Pre-Libertadores: 6.3%Sulamericana: 73.5%Releg: 1.0%55%
20%
Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
11:00 PMAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%
11:00 PMAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%87%
3%
Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5%10:30 PM
Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2%
10:30 PMCruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2%55%
20%
Latest News
Atlético-MG Boosts Libertadores Prospects with Win Over Bragantino
Match Report2026-10-03
Atlético-MG's victory over Bragantino has significantly altered their championship probabilities. With the 1-0 win on October 3, Atlético-MG's likelihood of qua…
Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes
Round-up2026-09-20
Flamengo's narrow 2-1 victory over Bragantino has further solidified their position at the top of the Brasileirão standings. With 60 points, Flamengo now enjoys…
Palmeiras Edges Closer to Glory, São Paulo's Relegation Fears Rise
Round-up2026-09-12
In a weekend of electrifying drama, Palmeiras surged ahead in the Brasileirão title race with a commanding 2-0 victory over São Paulo, propelling them to the to…
A Thrilling Draw Sees Coritiba and Athletico-PR in a Tug-of-War
Match Report2026-09-11
The pitch was electric as Coritiba and Athletico-PR clashed in a dramatic 3-3 draw that had fans on the edge of their seats at Couto Pereira. The thrilling enco…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 |  | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 1 - 0 |  Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 1 - 1 |  Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 3 - 1 |  Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% |
| 2026-09-05 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% | 2 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-09-01 |  | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 1 | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% |
| 2026-09-01 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 1 | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% |
| 2026-08-29 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 1 |  Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% |
| 2026-08-25 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% | 1 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-08-25 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% | 1 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-08-22 | | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% | 0 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-08-16 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 3 - 0 |  Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% |
| 2026-08-08 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% | 2 - 2 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-08-04 | | Juventude | 0 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-08-04 | | Juventude | 0 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-08-01 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 0 - 0 | Juventude |
| 2026-08-01 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 0 - 0 | Juventude |
| 2026-07-26 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% | 1 - 2 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-07-21 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 1 - 1 |  Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 30.7%Pre-Libertadores: 39.2%Sulamericana: 29.9% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.4%Sulamericana: 29.7%Releg: 20.0% | 0 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-05-24 | | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.2%Sulamericana: 27.4%Releg: 21.7% | 1 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-05-16 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 3 - 1 |  Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 24.7%Releg: 23.6% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Ceará | 2 - 1(2-4 pen) | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Ceará | 2 - 1(2-4 pen) | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 1 - 1 |  Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.7%Sulamericana: 53.1%Releg: 5.9% |
| 2026-05-02 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 26.8%Pre-Libertadores: 37.8%Sulamericana: 35.2% | 1 - 3 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 0 - 4 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-23 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 1 | Ceará |
| 2026-04-23 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 1 | Ceará |
| 2026-04-19 | | Coritiba#9Libertadores: 1.2%Pre-Libertadores: 6.3%Sulamericana: 73.5%Releg: 1.0% | 2 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Santos#8Libertadores: 5.6%Pre-Libertadores: 18.2%Sulamericana: 71.7% | 1 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 1 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 68.0%Pre-Libertadores: 24.9%Sulamericana: 7.1% |
| 2026-04-02 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% | 0 - 4 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-03-21 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 53.8%Pre-Libertadores: 32.7%Sulamericana: 13.5% | 1 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 1 - 0 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 0.5%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 64.8%Releg: 3.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | | Vitória#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 35.4%Releg: 14.6% | 2 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-03-11 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 1 - 0 | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.5%Releg: 62.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.4%Releg: 51.6% | 2 - 1 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-02-11 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 3 - 3 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.6% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 3.0%Sulamericana: 65.2%Releg: 3.0% | 1 - 0 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 13.7%Pre-Libertadores: 30.6%Sulamericana: 54.5% | 2 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9% |