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Atlético-MG Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 50.5%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 23 of 38 · Rank #8 · 22 MP

BrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Atlético-MG Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.3%
Win
2.0%
Releg
#8
Position
WDWDW
Last 5 matches
Atlético-MG are strong contenders for Sulamericana at 50.5%, currently ranked 8th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Atlético-MG are 8th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 22 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 50.5% chance of sulamericana — with 15 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Atlético-MG have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their sulamericana probability, Atlético-MG's win chance currently stands at 0.3%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Atlético-MG's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.3%
  • Libertadores: 14.4%
  • Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%
  • Sulamericana: 50.5%
  • Releg: 2.0%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Athletico-PR Libertadores ChancesFluminense Libertadores ChancesCruzeiro Pre-Libertadores ChancesBahia Pre-Libertadores ChancesBragantino Sulamericana ChancesCorinthians Sulamericana ChancesCoritiba Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo Sulamericana ChancesVitória Sulamericana ChancesSão Paulo 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Internacional#16Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%Sulamericana: 15.9%Releg: 47.2%9:30 PMAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
35%
34%
Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%9:30 PMVitória#12Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 7.1%Sulamericana: 44.8%Releg: 12.0%
40%
34%
São Paulo#13Libertadores: 2.3%Pre-Libertadores: 6.0%Sulamericana: 41.2%Releg: 15.2%9:30 PMAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
62%
17%
Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%3:00 PMFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%
40%
34%
Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%3:00 PMChapecoense#20Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 98.4%
40%
34%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%3 - 0Grêmio#14Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.8%Sulamericana: 28.8%Releg: 28.4%
2026-08-08Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ARemo#18Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 11.9%Releg: 55.3%2 - 2Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-08-04Copa do BrasilJuventude0 - 1Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%0 - 0Juventude
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#1Win: 51.3%Libertadores: 97.4%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 0.4%1 - 2Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-07-21Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%1 - 1Bahia#6Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.1%Pre-Libertadores: 20.5%Sulamericana: 51.3%Releg: 1.7%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVasco#19Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%Sulamericana: 13.7%Releg: 52.8%0 - 1Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-05-24Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACorinthians#9Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 7.5%Pre-Libertadores: 14.5%Sulamericana: 54.1%Releg: 4.0%1 - 0Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%3 - 1Mirassol#17Libertadores: 0.4%Pre-Libertadores: 1.4%Sulamericana: 19.6%Releg: 41.9%
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilCeará2 - 1Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%1 - 1Botafogo#11Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 6.9%Pre-Libertadores: 13.1%Sulamericana: 52.3%Releg: 5.3%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#5Win: 1.1%Libertadores: 27.1%Pre-Libertadores: 26.1%Sulamericana: 41.1%Releg: 0.4%1 - 3Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%0 - 4Flamengo#2Win: 36.4%Libertadores: 93.7%Pre-Libertadores: 4.9%Sulamericana: 1.4%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%2 - 1Ceará
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACoritiba#10Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 5.4%Pre-Libertadores: 11.3%Sulamericana: 52.7%Releg: 5.8%2 - 0Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-04-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ASantos#15Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.9%Sulamericana: 29.2%Releg: 27.6%1 - 0Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%2 - 1Athletico-PR#3Win: 7.8%Libertadores: 69.8%Pre-Libertadores: 18.3%Sulamericana: 11.5%
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AChapecoense#20Sulamericana: 0.1%Releg: 98.4%0 - 4Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#4Win: 2.0%Libertadores: 41.8%Pre-Libertadores: 26.9%Sulamericana: 28.9%Releg: 0.1%1 - 0Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%1 - 0São Paulo#13Libertadores: 2.3%Pre-Libertadores: 6.0%Sulamericana: 41.2%Releg: 15.2%
2026-03-14Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVitória#12Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 7.1%Sulamericana: 44.8%Releg: 12.0%2 - 0Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%1 - 0Internacional#16Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.9%Sulamericana: 15.9%Releg: 47.2%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AGrêmio#14Libertadores: 0.8%Pre-Libertadores: 2.8%Sulamericana: 28.8%Releg: 28.4%2 - 1Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-02-11Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%3 - 3Remo#18Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.6%Sulamericana: 11.9%Releg: 55.3%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABragantino#7Win: 0.4%Libertadores: 14.3%Pre-Libertadores: 20.1%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%1 - 0Atlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AAtlético-MG#8Win: 0.3%Libertadores: 14.4%Pre-Libertadores: 19.8%Sulamericana: 50.5%Releg: 2.0%2 - 2Palmeiras#1Win: 51.3%Libertadores: 97.4%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 0.4%