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Fluminense R16 Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #16 · 5 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Fluminense Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
3.5%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#16
Position
DLWWD
Last 5 matches
Fluminense are the clear favourites for R16 at 100.0%, currently ranked 16th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Fluminense are 16th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of r16 — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Fluminense have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their r16 probability, Fluminense's win chance currently stands at 3.5%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Fluminense's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 3.5%
  • Final: 7.6%
  • SF: 16.6%
  • QF: 36.3%
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Cruzeiro R16 ChancesIndependiente del Valle R16 ChancesClub Atlético Platense R16 ChancesDeportes Tolima R16 ChancesEstudiantes de La Plata R16 ChancesDeportivo La Guaira Exit ChancesBolívar Exit ChancesPeñarol Exit ChancesIndependiente Santa Fe Exit ChancesUniversidad Central Exit Chances

Next matches

Rivadavia#3Win: 9.1%Final: 17.0%SF: 31.5%QF: 58.2%R16: 100.0%19:00Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
60%
17%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-08-15Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%3 - 2Palmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-11Copa LibertadoresFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Rivadavia
2026-08-08Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABotafogo1 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%1 - 3Vasco
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilVasco0 - 0Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Bahia
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AGrêmio1 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-17Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Bragantino
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACruzeiro#11Win: 4.9%Final: 10.0%SF: 20.3%QF: 41.1%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-27Copa LibertadoresFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%3 - 1La Guaira
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AMirassol#10Win: 5.0%Final: 10.3%SF: 21.2%QF: 43.2%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-19Copa LibertadoresFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Bolívar#18Exit: 100.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%2 - 1São Paulo
2026-05-12Copa do BrasilFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Operário-PR
2026-05-09Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%2 - 2Vitória
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AInternacional2 - 0Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-30Copa LibertadoresBolívar#18Exit: 100.0%2 - 0Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Chapecoense
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilOperário-PR0 - 0Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ASantos2 - 3Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Flamengo#2Win: 10.0%Final: 18.7%SF: 34.5%QF: 64.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-07Copa LibertadoresLa Guaira0 - 0Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-04Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ACoritiba1 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%3 - 1Corinthians#5Win: 7.7%Final: 15.6%SF: 31.6%QF: 63.7%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Atlético-MG
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AVasco3 - 2Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%3 - 2Athletico-PR
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ARemo0 - 2Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série APalmeiras#6Win: 6.7%Final: 13.3%SF: 26.3%QF: 51.9%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Botafogo
2026-02-05Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série ABahia1 - 1Fluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro 2025, Série AFluminense#16Win: 3.5%Final: 7.6%SF: 16.6%QF: 36.3%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Grêmio