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Fluminense SF Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round 6 of 62 · Rank #4 · 6 MP

Copa LibertadoresBrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Fluminense Copa Libertadores 2026 — Key Insights
11.8%
Win
0.0%
Exit
#4
Position
WDWWL
Last 5 matches
Fluminense are the clear favourites for SF at 100.0%, currently ranked 4th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Fluminense are 4th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 2026 season after 6 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of sf — with 56 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Copa Libertadores 2026 matches, Fluminense have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their sf probability, Fluminense's win chance currently stands at 11.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Copa Libertadores 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Fluminense's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 11.8%
  • Final: 47.6%
  • SF: 100.0%Since 2026-09-18
  • QF: 100.0%Since 2026-08-21
  • R16: 100.0%Since 2026-08-11
  • Exit: 0.0%Since 2026-08-11

More analysis

Win →Final →SF →QF →R16 →Exit →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Copa Libertadores 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Estudiantes de La Plata Win ChancesPalmeiras Final ChancesFlamengo SF ChancesBolívar QF ChancesIndependiente Rivadavia QF ChancesDeportivo La Guaira QF ChancesPeñarol QF ChancesIndependiente Santa Fe R16 Chances

Next matches

Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
33%
36%
Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%21:30Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
61%
13%

Latest News

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Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes

Round-up
2026-09-20

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Match Report
2026-09-15

In a night of incredible drama at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Club Atlético Platense delivered a heart-stopping 2-1 victory over Brazilian giants Flumi…

Bahia's Glorious Surge Toward Libertadores Glory

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Match Report
2026-09-14

In a match brimming with intensity and fervor, Bahia triumphed over Remo with a 2-1 victory in Round 27, setting the stage for what could be a spectacular finis…

Quarterfinals Drama Unfolds: High Stakes and Tight Margins

Knockout Preview
2026-09-14

As the quarterfinals reach their decisive second legs, the tension is palpable in this thrilling knockout stage. Four enticing matches are set to determine who …

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#11QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 3Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-15Copa LibertadoresPlatense2 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG3 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-09-08Copa LibertadoresFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 0Platense
2026-09-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Vasco
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR3 - 3Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Remo
2026-08-18Copa LibertadoresRivadavia1 - 1(4-5 pen)Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-11Copa LibertadoresFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Rivadavia
2026-08-08Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo1 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 3Vasco
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 3Vasco
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilVasco0 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-08-01Copa do BrasilVasco0 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%0 - 0Bahia
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio1 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-07-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 1Bragantino
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#21R16: 100.0%1 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-27Copa LibertadoresFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 1La Guaira
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#16R16: 100.0%1 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-19Copa LibertadoresFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Bolívar#5Exit: 100.0%
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1São Paulo
2026-05-12Copa do BrasilFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Operário-PR
2026-05-12Copa do BrasilFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Operário-PR
2026-05-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 2Vitória
2026-05-06Copa LibertadoresRivadavia1 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-05-03Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional2 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-30Copa LibertadoresBolívar#5Exit: 100.0%2 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Chapecoense
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilOperário-PR0 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilOperário-PR0 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASantos2 - 3Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-15Copa LibertadoresFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Rivadavia
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 2Flamengo#3Win: 17.1%Final: 29.0%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-07Copa LibertadoresLa Guaira0 - 0Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba1 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 1Corinthians#11QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Atlético-MG
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco3 - 2Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%3 - 2Athletico-PR
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo0 - 2Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 21.0%Final: 52.4%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%1 - 0Botafogo
2026-02-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia1 - 1Fluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 11.8%Final: 47.6%SF: 100.0%QF: 100.0%R16: 100.0%2 - 1Grêmio