Who will win the Championship 26/27?

Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Birmingham currently have the highest title probability at 4%. With 46 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Championship 26/27?

Birmingham currently faces the highest relegation risk at 13%, followed by Blackburn at 13%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.

How does CupChances calculate Championship 26/27 probabilities?

Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.

How often are the Championship 26/27 predictions updated?

Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Championship 26/27

Preview edition

Probability of winning the championship

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham	4.2%
2	Blackburn	4.2%
3	Bolton	4.2%
4	Bristol City	4.2%
5	Burnley	4.2%
6	Cardiff	4.2%
7	Charlton	4.2%
8	Derby County	4.2%
9	Lincoln	4.2%
10	Middlesbrough	4.2%
11	Millwall	4.2%
12	Norwich City	4.2%
13	Portsmouth	4.2%
14	Preston	4.2%
15	QPR	4.2%
16	Sheffield Utd	4.2%
17	Stoke City	4.2%
18	Swansea City	4.2%
19	Watford	4.2%
20	West Brom	4.2%
21	West Ham	4.2%
22	Wolverhampton	4.2%
23	Wrexham	4.2%
24	Southampton	4.2%

Probability of being promoted to the first division

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham	8.3%
2	Blackburn	8.3%
3	Bolton	8.3%
4	Bristol City	8.3%
5	Burnley	8.3%
6	Cardiff	8.3%
7	Charlton	8.3%
8	Derby County	8.3%
9	Lincoln	8.3%
10	Middlesbrough	8.3%
11	Millwall	8.3%
12	Norwich City	8.3%
13	Portsmouth	8.3%
14	Preston	8.3%
15	QPR	8.3%
16	Sheffield Utd	8.3%
17	Stoke City	8.3%
18	Swansea City	8.3%
19	Watford	8.3%
20	West Brom	8.3%
21	West Ham	8.3%
22	Wolverhampton	8.3%
23	Wrexham	8.3%
24	Southampton	8.3%

Chances of participation in the playoff phase

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham	16.7%
2	Blackburn	16.7%
3	Bolton	16.7%
4	Bristol City	16.7%
5	Burnley	16.7%
6	Cardiff	16.7%
7	Charlton	16.7%
8	Derby County	16.7%
9	Lincoln	16.7%
10	Middlesbrough	16.7%
11	Millwall	16.7%
12	Norwich City	16.7%
13	Portsmouth	16.7%
14	Preston	16.7%
15	QPR	16.7%
16	Sheffield Utd	16.7%
17	Stoke City	16.7%
18	Swansea City	16.7%
19	Watford	16.7%
20	West Brom	16.7%
21	West Ham	16.7%
22	Wolverhampton	16.7%
23	Wrexham	16.7%
24	Southampton	16.7%

Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham	12.5%
2	Blackburn	12.5%
3	Bolton	12.5%
4	Bristol City	12.5%
5	Burnley	12.5%
6	Cardiff	12.5%
7	Charlton	12.5%
8	Derby County	12.5%
9	Lincoln	12.5%
10	Middlesbrough	12.5%
11	Millwall	12.5%
12	Norwich City	12.5%
13	Portsmouth	12.5%
14	Preston	12.5%
15	QPR	12.5%
16	Sheffield Utd	12.5%
17	Stoke City	12.5%
18	Swansea City	12.5%
19	Watford	12.5%
20	West Brom	12.5%
21	West Ham	12.5%
22	Wolverhampton	12.5%
23	Wrexham	12.5%
24	Southampton	12.5%

Round 0 of 46 — Table

#	Team	Title	Promo	PO	Rel
1	Birmingham City	4%	8%	17%	13%
2	Blackburn Rovers	4%	8%	17%	13%
3	Bolton	4%	8%	17%	13%
4	Bristol City	4%	8%	17%	13%
5	Burnley	4%	8%	17%	13%
6	Cardiff	4%	8%	17%	13%
7	Charlton Athletic	4%	8%	17%	13%
8	Derby County	4%	8%	17%	13%
9	Lincoln	4%	8%	17%	13%
10	Middlesbrough	4%	8%	17%	13%
11	Millwall	4%	8%	17%	13%
12	Norwich City	4%	8%	17%	13%
13	Portsmouth	4%	8%	17%	13%
14	Preston North End	4%	8%	17%	13%
15	Queens Park Rangers	4%	8%	17%	13%
16	Sheffield United	4%	8%	17%	13%
17	Stoke City	4%	8%	17%	13%
18	Swansea City	4%	8%	17%	13%
19	Watford	4%	8%	17%	13%
20	West Bromwich Albion	4%	8%	17%	13%
21	West Ham	4%	8%	17%	13%
22	Wolverhampton	4%	8%	17%	13%
23	Wrexham	4%	8%	17%	13%
24	Southampton	4%	8%	17%	13%

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Championship 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Championship 26/27?: Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Birmingham currently have the highest title probability at 4%. With 46 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Championship 26/27?: Birmingham currently faces the highest relegation risk at 13%, followed by Blackburn at 13%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Championship 26/27 probabilities?: Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Championship 26/27 predictions updated?: Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions

Championship 25/26

Championship 26/27

Championship 26/27 — Season Outlook

Championship 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions