Derby County
Derby County Releg Chances 2027 — 31.8%
Championship 26/27 · Round 8 of 46 · Rank #22 · 8 MP
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Derby County are 22nd in the Championship 26/27 2027 season after 8 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 31.8% chance of releg — with 38 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Championship 26/27 matches, Derby County have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their releg probability, Derby County's win chance currently stands at 0.5%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Championship 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Derby County's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.5%
- Promo: 1.2%
- Playoff: 5.3%
- Releg: 31.8%
More analysis
← View all Championship 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
11:00
Wrexham#14Win: 2.3%Promo: 5.0%Playoff: 13.9%Releg: 12.5%
15:45Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8%11:00
Stoke City#8Win: 5.2%Promo: 10.7%Playoff: 21.7%Releg: 5.5%
08:30Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8%
12:00Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Burnley#24Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 4.2%Releg: 37.4% | 1 - 1 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% |
| 2026-09-12 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% | 1 - 2 |  Birmingham |
| 2026-09-09 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% | 0 - 1 |  West Brom |
| 2026-09-05 | West Ham#2Win: 9.4%Promo: 17.6%Playoff: 26.4%Releg: 3.0% | 3 - 0 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% |
| 2026-09-01 | Portsmouth#19Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.6%Playoff: 12.9%Releg: 13.8% | 0 - 2 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% |
| 2026-08-29 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% | 0 - 3 |  Swansea City#1Win: 13.9%Promo: 24.3%Playoff: 29.5%Releg: 1.6% |
| 2026-08-22 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% | 2 - 2 |  Cardiff#21Win: 0.9%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 8.1%Releg: 22.0% |
| 2026-08-15 | Charlton | 2 - 1 | Derby County#22Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 5.3%Releg: 31.8% |