2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Round 2 of 34
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nürnberg#1Win: 48.1%Promo: 71.0%Playoff: 12.7% | 48.1% |
| 2 |  Hertha BSC#2Win: 35.7%Promo: 68.2%Playoff: 14.3% | 35.7% |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg#3Win: 6.1%Promo: 18.2%Playoff: 18.3% | 6.1% |
| 4 |  Bielefeld#4Win: 2.8%Promo: 9.8%Playoff: 10.6% | 2.8% |
| 5 |  Magdeburg#5Win: 2.7%Promo: 9.5%Playoff: 9.9% | 2.7% |
| 6 |  Bochum#6Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 7.5% | 1.4% |
| 7 |  Cottbus#7Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 6.9% | 1.4% |
| 8 |  Dynamo Dresden#8Win: 1.2%Promo: 5.3%Playoff: 5.6%Releg: 0.2% | 1.2% |
| 9 |  St. Pauli#9Win: 0.4%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 4.7%Releg: 0.7% | 0.4% |
| 10 |  Kaiserslautern#10Win: 0.3%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 4.5%Releg: 2.0% | 0.3% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nürnberg#1Win: 48.1%Promo: 71.0%Playoff: 12.7% | 71.0% |
| 2 | Hertha BSC#2Win: 35.7%Promo: 68.2%Playoff: 14.3% | 68.2% |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg#3Win: 6.1%Promo: 18.2%Playoff: 18.3% | 18.2% |
| 4 | Bielefeld#4Win: 2.8%Promo: 9.8%Playoff: 10.6% | 9.8% |
| 5 | Magdeburg#5Win: 2.7%Promo: 9.5%Playoff: 9.9% | 9.5% |
| 6 | Bochum#6Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 7.5% | 6.0% |
| 7 | Cottbus#7Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 6.9% | 6.0% |
| 8 | Dynamo Dresden#8Win: 1.2%Promo: 5.3%Playoff: 5.6%Releg: 0.2% | 5.3% |
| 9 | St. Pauli#9Win: 0.4%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 4.7%Releg: 0.7% | 2.8% |
| 10 | Kaiserslautern#10Win: 0.3%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 4.5%Releg: 2.0% | 2.4% |
| 11 |  Holstein Kiel#11Promo: 0.5%Playoff: 2.8%Releg: 5.4% | 0.5% |
| 12 |  Karlsruher SC#12Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.3%Releg: 9.3% | 0.1% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg#3Win: 6.1%Promo: 18.2%Playoff: 18.3% | 18.3% |
| 2 | Hertha BSC#2Win: 35.7%Promo: 68.2%Playoff: 14.3% | 14.3% |
| 3 | Nürnberg#1Win: 48.1%Promo: 71.0%Playoff: 12.7% | 12.7% |
| 4 | Bielefeld#4Win: 2.8%Promo: 9.8%Playoff: 10.6% | 10.6% |
| 5 | Magdeburg#5Win: 2.7%Promo: 9.5%Playoff: 9.9% | 9.9% |
| 6 | Bochum#6Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 7.5% | 7.5% |
| 7 | Cottbus#7Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 6.9% | 6.9% |
| 8 | Dynamo Dresden#8Win: 1.2%Promo: 5.3%Playoff: 5.6%Releg: 0.2% | 5.6% |
| 9 | St. Pauli#9Win: 0.4%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 4.7%Releg: 0.7% | 4.7% |
| 10 | Kaiserslautern#10Win: 0.3%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 4.5%Releg: 2.0% | 4.5% |
| 11 | Holstein Kiel#11Promo: 0.5%Playoff: 2.8%Releg: 5.4% | 2.8% |
| 12 | Karlsruher SC#12Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.3%Releg: 9.3% | 1.3% |
| 13 |  Greuther Fürth#13Playoff: 0.9%Releg: 14.9% | 0.9% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Osnabrück#18Releg: 40.0% | 40.0% |
| 2 |  Hannover 96#17Releg: 36.8% | 36.8% |
| 3 |  FC Heidenheim#16Releg: 35.2% | 35.2% |
| 4 |  Braunschweig#14Releg: 27.7% | 27.7% |
| 5 |  Darmstadt 98#15Releg: 27.6% | 27.6% |
| 6 | Greuther Fürth#13Playoff: 0.9%Releg: 14.9% | 14.9% |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC#12Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.3%Releg: 9.3% | 9.3% |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel#11Promo: 0.5%Playoff: 2.8%Releg: 5.4% | 5.4% |
| 9 | Kaiserslautern#10Win: 0.3%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 4.5%Releg: 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 10 | St. Pauli#9Win: 0.4%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 4.7%Releg: 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden#8Win: 1.2%Promo: 5.3%Playoff: 5.6%Releg: 0.2% | 0.2% |
Round 2 of 34
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nürnberg#1Win: 48.1%Promo: 71.0%Playoff: 12.7% | 2 | 6 | 48% | 71% | 13% | — |
2↑1 | Hertha BSC#2Win: 35.7%Promo: 68.2%Playoff: 14.3% | 2 | 6 | 36% | 68% | 14% | — |
3↑4 | VfL Wolfsburg#3Win: 6.1%Promo: 18.2%Playoff: 18.3% | 2 | 4 | 6% | 18% | 18% | — |
4↑10 | Arminia Bielefeld#4Win: 2.8%Promo: 9.8%Playoff: 10.6% | 1 | 3 | 3% | 10% | 11% | — |
5↑10 | Magdeburg#5Win: 2.7%Promo: 9.5%Playoff: 9.9% | 1 | 3 | 3% | 10% | 10% | — |
6↑10 | Bochum#6Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 7.5% | 2 | 3 | 1% | 6% | 8% | — |
7↓5 | Energie Cottbus#7Win: 1.4%Promo: 6.0%Playoff: 6.9% | 2 | 3 | 1% | 6% | 7% | — |
8↑10 | Dynamo Dresden#8Win: 1.2%Promo: 5.3%Playoff: 5.6%Releg: 0.2% | 2 | 3 | 1% | 5% | 6% | 0% |
9↓4 | St. Pauli#9Win: 0.4%Promo: 2.8%Playoff: 4.7%Releg: 0.7% | 2 | 2 | 0% | 3% | 5% | 1% |
10↓4 | Kaiserslautern#10Win: 0.3%Promo: 2.4%Playoff: 4.5%Releg: 2.0% | 2 | 2 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 2% |
11 | Holstein Kiel#11Promo: 0.5%Playoff: 2.8%Releg: 5.4% | 1 | 1 | — | 1% | 3% | 5% |
12↓2 | Karlsruher SC#12Promo: 0.1%Playoff: 1.3%Releg: 9.3% | 1 | 1 | — | 0% | 1% | 9% |
13↓9 | Greuther Fürth#13Playoff: 0.9%Releg: 14.9% | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1% | 15% |
14↓6 | Eintracht Braunschweig#14Releg: 27.7% | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 28% |
15↓3 | Darmstadt 98#15Releg: 27.6% | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 28% |
16↓7 | FC Heidenheim#16Releg: 35.2% | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 35% |
17 | Hannover 96#17Releg: 36.8% | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 37% |
18↓5 | Osnabrück#18Releg: 40.0% | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 40% |
WinPromoPlayoffReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
32%
37%
FC Heidenheim#16Relegation: 35.2%11:00 AMDynamo Dresden#8Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 5.3%Playoff: 5.6%Relegation: 0.2%
11:00 AMDynamo Dresden#8Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 5.3%Playoff: 5.6%Relegation: 0.2%55%
21%
Cottbus#7Winner: 1.4%Promotion: 6.0%Playoff: 6.9%11:00 AMGreuther Fürth#13Playoff: 0.9%Relegation: 14.9%
11:00 AMGreuther Fürth#13Playoff: 0.9%Relegation: 14.9%49%
25%
Karlsruher SC#12Promotion: 0.1%Playoff: 1.3%Relegation: 9.3%11:00 AMVfL Wolfsburg#3Winner: 6.1%Promotion: 18.2%Playoff: 18.3%
11:00 AMVfL Wolfsburg#3Winner: 6.1%Promotion: 18.2%Playoff: 18.3%37%
34%
51%
25%
Magdeburg#5Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 9.5%Playoff: 9.9%11:30 AMHolstein Kiel#11Promotion: 0.5%Playoff: 2.8%Relegation: 5.4%
11:30 AMHolstein Kiel#11Promotion: 0.5%Playoff: 2.8%Relegation: 5.4%43%
30%
St. Pauli#9Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 2.8%Playoff: 4.7%Relegation: 0.7%11:30 AMKaiserslautern#10Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 2.4%Playoff: 4.5%Relegation: 2.0%
11:30 AMKaiserslautern#10Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 2.4%Playoff: 4.5%Relegation: 2.0%40%
29%
35%
32%
After Round 2: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Dynamo Dresden's Releg probability dropped from 25.8% to 0.2% (-25.6%).
- ↑Hannover 96's Releg probability climbed from 16.8% to 36.8% (+20%).
- ↓Cottbus's Promo probability dropped from 25.1% to 6% (-19.1%).
- ↑Darmstadt 98's Releg probability climbed from 9.4% to 27.6% (+18.2%).
- ↑VfL Wolfsburg's Promo probability climbed from 5.6% to 18.2% (+12.6%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the 2. Bundesliga 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Nürnberg currently have the highest title probability at 48%. With 32 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the 2. Bundesliga 26/27?
- Osnabrück currently faces the highest relegation risk at 40%, followed by Hannover 96 at 37%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate 2. Bundesliga 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.