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St. Pauli Releg Chances 2027 — 11.9%

2. Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 4 of 34 · Rank #13 · 4 MP

St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga 26/27 — Key Insights
2.5%
Win
11.9%
Releg
#13
Position
DDLD
Last 4 matches
St. Pauli are an outside contender for Releg at 11.9%, currently ranked 13th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

St. Pauli are 13th in the 2. Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 4 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 11.9% chance of releg — with 30 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 4 2. Bundesliga 26/27 matches, St. Pauli have recorded 3 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their releg probability, St. Pauli's win chance currently stands at 2.5%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining 2. Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how St. Pauli's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 2.5%
  • Promo: 5.9%
  • Playoff: 4.0%
  • Releg: 11.9%

More analysis

← View all 2. Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

St. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%6:30 PMVfL Wolfsburg#3Win: 11.6%Promo: 22.3%Playoff: 9.6%Releg: 2.4%
11%
73%
Cottbus#10Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.6%Playoff: 4.8%Releg: 9.2%11:30 AMSt. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%
St. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%5:00 PMKarlsruher SC#16Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.5%Playoff: 2.0%Releg: 21.9%
Hannover 96#12Win: 3.4%Promo: 7.5%Playoff: 4.7%Releg: 9.5%5:00 PMSt. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%
St. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%5:00 PMNürnberg#2Win: 14.7%Promo: 26.6%Playoff: 10.2%Releg: 1.6%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-04Bielefeld2 - 2St. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%
2026-08-30St. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%1 - 2Kaiserslautern#4Win: 7.6%Promo: 15.7%Playoff: 8.1%Releg: 3.5%
2026-08-14Holstein Kiel#15Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.5%Playoff: 2.1%Releg: 21.3%2 - 2St. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%
2026-08-09St. Pauli#13Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.9%Playoff: 4.0%Releg: 11.9%1 - 1Greuther Fürth#11Win: 3.3%Promo: 7.6%Playoff: 4.8%Releg: 9.4%