Skip to main content

Bundesliga 26/27 — Round 2 of 34

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg#1Win: 12.1%UCL: 38.8%UEL: 7.3%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 1.5%
12.1%
2SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg#2Win: 11.6%UCL: 37.9%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 1.5%
11.6%
3Dortmund logoDortmund#3Win: 11.0%UCL: 37.0%UEL: 7.2%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 1.6%
11.0%
4Elversberg logoElversberg#4Win: 10.8%UCL: 36.5%UEL: 7.3%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 1.6%
10.8%
5FSV Mainz logoFSV Mainz#5Win: 7.3%UCL: 28.0%UEL: 6.6%ECL: 6.4%Releg: 2.9%
7.3%
6Bayern München logoBayern München#6Win: 7.0%UCL: 27.6%UEL: 6.6%ECL: 6.4%Releg: 3.0%
7.0%
7Leverkusen logoLeverkusen#7Win: 5.2%UCL: 22.6%UEL: 6.0%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 4.1%
5.2%
8RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig#8Win: 4.9%UCL: 21.8%UEL: 5.8%ECL: 6.0%Releg: 4.2%
4.9%
9VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart#9Win: 4.9%UCL: 21.5%UEL: 5.9%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 4.3%
4.9%
10Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen#10Win: 4.7%UCL: 21.4%UEL: 5.8%ECL: 5.9%Releg: 4.4%
4.7%
11FC Köln logoFC Köln#11Win: 4.6%UCL: 20.7%UEL: 5.7%ECL: 5.8%Releg: 4.6%
4.6%
12Paderborn logoPaderborn#12Win: 2.7%UCL: 14.0%UEL: 4.5%ECL: 4.8%Releg: 7.8%
2.7%
13Frankfurt logoFrankfurt#13Win: 2.6%UCL: 13.6%UEL: 4.4%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 8.2%
2.6%
14Schalke 04 logoSchalke 04#14Win: 2.5%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 4.3%ECL: 4.7%Releg: 8.5%
2.5%
15Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin#15Win: 2.5%UCL: 13.3%UEL: 4.3%ECL: 4.6%Releg: 8.7%
2.5%
16Hoffenheim logoHoffenheim#16Win: 1.9%UCL: 11.0%UEL: 3.8%ECL: 4.1%Releg: 10.3%
1.9%
17Gladbach logoGladbach#17Win: 1.8%UCL: 10.5%UEL: 3.7%ECL: 4.0%Releg: 11.3%
1.8%
18Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV#18Win: 1.8%UCL: 10.4%UEL: 3.6%ECL: 3.9%Releg: 11.6%
1.8%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Union Berlin#15Winner: 2.5%Champions League: 13.3%Europa League: 4.3%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 8.7%6:30 PMSchalke 04#14Winner: 2.5%Champions League: 13.4%Europa League: 4.3%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 8.5%
38%
40%
FSV Mainz#5Winner: 7.3%Champions League: 28.0%Europa League: 6.6%Conference League: 6.4%Relegation: 2.9%1:30 PMFrankfurt#13Winner: 2.6%Champions League: 13.6%Europa League: 4.4%Conference League: 4.7%Relegation: 8.2%
4%
87%
SC Freiburg#2Winner: 11.6%Champions League: 37.9%Europa League: 7.2%Conference League: 6.8%Relegation: 1.5%1:30 PMGladbach#17Winner: 1.8%Champions League: 10.5%Europa League: 3.7%Conference League: 4.0%Relegation: 11.3%
76%
10%
FC Augsburg#1Winner: 12.1%Champions League: 38.8%Europa League: 7.3%Conference League: 6.7%Relegation: 1.5%1:30 PMLeverkusen#7Winner: 5.2%Champions League: 22.6%Europa League: 6.0%Conference League: 5.9%Relegation: 4.1%
84%
6%
Dortmund#3Winner: 11.0%Champions League: 37.0%Europa League: 7.2%Conference League: 6.8%Relegation: 1.6%1:30 PMPaderborn#12Winner: 2.7%Champions League: 14.0%Europa League: 4.5%Conference League: 4.8%Relegation: 7.8%
60%
20%
Hoffenheim#16Winner: 1.9%Champions League: 11.0%Europa League: 3.8%Conference League: 4.1%Relegation: 10.3%1:30 PMVfB Stuttgart#9Winner: 4.9%Champions League: 21.5%Europa League: 5.9%Conference League: 5.9%Relegation: 4.3%
26%
54%
FC Köln#11Winner: 4.6%Champions League: 20.7%Europa League: 5.7%Conference League: 5.8%Relegation: 4.6%4:30 PMWerder Bremen#10Winner: 4.7%Champions League: 21.4%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 5.9%Relegation: 4.4%
26%
53%
RB Leipzig#8Winner: 4.9%Champions League: 21.8%Europa League: 5.8%Conference League: 6.0%Relegation: 4.2%1:30 PMHamburger SV#18Winner: 1.8%Champions League: 10.4%Europa League: 3.6%Conference League: 3.9%Relegation: 11.6%
37%
40%
Elversberg#4Winner: 10.8%Champions League: 36.5%Europa League: 7.3%Conference League: 6.8%Relegation: 1.6%3:30 PMBayern München#6Winner: 7.0%Champions League: 27.6%Europa League: 6.6%Conference League: 6.4%Relegation: 3.0%
76%
10%
Bayern München#6Winner: 7.0%Champions League: 27.6%Europa League: 6.6%Conference League: 6.4%Relegation: 3.0%6:30 PMUnion Berlin#15Winner: 2.5%Champions League: 13.3%Europa League: 4.3%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 8.7%
98%
1%

After Round 2: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Gladbach's Releg probability dropped from 82.8% to 11.3% (-71.5%).
  • SC Freiburg's Win probability dropped from 77.5% to 11.6% (-65.9%).
  • Dortmund's UCL probability dropped from 100% to 37% (-63%).
  • Elversberg's UCL probability dropped from 81% to 36.5% (-44.5%).
  • Bayern München's ECL probability dropped from 43.6% to 6.4% (-37.2%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Bundesliga 26/27 — Season Outlook

Bundesliga 26/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Bundesliga 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, FC Augsburg currently have the highest title probability at 12%. With 32 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Bundesliga 26/27?
Hamburger SV currently faces the highest relegation risk at 12%, followed by Gladbach at 11%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Bundesliga 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Bundesliga 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions