Who will win the Bundesliga 26/27?

Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, FC Augsburg currently have the highest title probability at 6%. With 34 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Bundesliga 26/27?

FC Augsburg currently faces the highest relegation risk at 17%, followed by Leverkusen at 17%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.

How does CupChances calculate Bundesliga 26/27 probabilities?

Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.

How often are the Bundesliga 26/27 predictions updated?

Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Bundesliga 26/27

Preview edition

Probability of winning the championship

#	Team	%
1	FC Augsburg	5.6%
2	Leverkusen	5.6%
3	Bayern München	5.6%
4	Dortmund	5.6%
5	Gladbach	5.6%
6	Frankfurt	5.6%
7	Elversberg	5.6%
8	FC Köln	5.6%
9	SC Freiburg	5.6%
10	Hamburger SV	5.6%
11	Hoffenheim	5.6%
12	FSV Mainz	5.6%
13	Paderborn	5.6%
14	RB Leipzig	5.6%
15	Schalke 04	5.6%
16	VfB Stuttgart	5.6%
17	Union Berlin	5.6%
18	Werder Bremen	5.6%

Probability of qualifying for the Champions League

#	Team	%
1	FC Augsburg	22.2%
2	Leverkusen	22.2%
3	Bayern München	22.2%
4	Dortmund	22.2%
5	Gladbach	22.2%
6	Frankfurt	22.2%
7	Elversberg	22.2%
8	FC Köln	22.2%
9	SC Freiburg	22.2%
10	Hamburger SV	22.2%
11	Hoffenheim	22.2%
12	FSV Mainz	22.2%
13	Paderborn	22.2%
14	RB Leipzig	22.2%
15	Schalke 04	22.2%
16	VfB Stuttgart	22.2%
17	Union Berlin	22.2%
18	Werder Bremen	22.2%

Probability of qualifying for the Europa League

#	Team	%
1	FC Augsburg	5.6%
2	Leverkusen	5.6%
3	Bayern München	5.6%
4	Dortmund	5.6%
5	Gladbach	5.6%
6	Frankfurt	5.6%
7	Elversberg	5.6%
8	FC Köln	5.6%
9	SC Freiburg	5.6%
10	Hamburger SV	5.6%
11	Hoffenheim	5.6%
12	FSV Mainz	5.6%
13	Paderborn	5.6%
14	RB Leipzig	5.6%
15	Schalke 04	5.6%
16	VfB Stuttgart	5.6%
17	Union Berlin	5.6%
18	Werder Bremen	5.6%

Probability of qualifying for the Conference League

#	Team	%
1	FC Augsburg	5.6%
2	Leverkusen	5.6%
3	Bayern München	5.6%
4	Dortmund	5.6%
5	Gladbach	5.6%
6	Frankfurt	5.6%
7	Elversberg	5.6%
8	FC Köln	5.6%
9	SC Freiburg	5.6%
10	Hamburger SV	5.6%
11	Hoffenheim	5.6%
12	FSV Mainz	5.6%
13	Paderborn	5.6%
14	RB Leipzig	5.6%
15	Schalke 04	5.6%
16	VfB Stuttgart	5.6%
17	Union Berlin	5.6%
18	Werder Bremen	5.6%

Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship

#	Team	%
1	FC Augsburg	16.7%
2	Leverkusen	16.7%
3	Bayern München	16.7%
4	Dortmund	16.7%
5	Gladbach	16.7%
6	Frankfurt	16.7%
7	Elversberg	16.7%
8	FC Köln	16.7%
9	SC Freiburg	16.7%
10	Hamburger SV	16.7%
11	Hoffenheim	16.7%
12	FSV Mainz	16.7%
13	Paderborn	16.7%
14	RB Leipzig	16.7%
15	Schalke 04	16.7%
16	VfB Stuttgart	16.7%
17	Union Berlin	16.7%
18	Werder Bremen	16.7%

Round 0 of 34 — Table

#	Team	Title	UCL	UEL	ECL	Rel
1	FC Augsburg	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
2	Bayer Leverkusen	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
3	Bayern München	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
4	Borussia Dortmund	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
5	Borussia Mönchengladbach	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
7	Elversberg	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
8	FC Köln	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
9	SC Freiburg	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
10	Hamburger SV	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
11	Hoffenheim	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
12	FSV Mainz	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
13	Paderborn	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
14	RasenBallsport Leipzig	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
15	Schalke 04	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
16	VfB Stuttgart	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
17	Union Berlin	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%
18	SV Werder Bremen	6%	22%	6%	6%	17%

WinUCLUELECLReleg

Bundesliga 26/27 — Season Outlook

Win:

FC Augsburg Win Chances (5.6%)Leverkusen Win Chances (5.6%)Bayern München Win Chances (5.6%)Dortmund Win Chances (5.6%)Gladbach Win Chances (5.6%)Frankfurt Win Chances (5.6%)

UCL:

FC Augsburg UCL Chances (22.2%)Leverkusen UCL Chances (22.2%)Bayern München UCL Chances (22.2%)Dortmund UCL Chances (22.2%)Gladbach UCL Chances (22.2%)Frankfurt UCL Chances (22.2%)

UEL:

FC Augsburg UEL Chances (5.6%)Leverkusen UEL Chances (5.6%)Bayern München UEL Chances (5.6%)Dortmund UEL Chances (5.6%)Gladbach UEL Chances (5.6%)Frankfurt UEL Chances (5.6%)

ECL:

FC Augsburg ECL Chances (5.6%)Leverkusen ECL Chances (5.6%)Bayern München ECL Chances (5.6%)Dortmund ECL Chances (5.6%)Gladbach ECL Chances (5.6%)Frankfurt ECL Chances (5.6%)

Releg:

FC Augsburg Releg Chances (16.7%)Leverkusen Releg Chances (16.7%)Bayern München Releg Chances (16.7%)Dortmund Releg Chances (16.7%)Gladbach Releg Chances (16.7%)Frankfurt Releg Chances (16.7%)

Bundesliga 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Bundesliga 26/27?: Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, FC Augsburg currently have the highest title probability at 6%. With 34 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Bundesliga 26/27?: FC Augsburg currently faces the highest relegation risk at 17%, followed by Leverkusen at 17%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Bundesliga 26/27 probabilities?: Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Bundesliga 26/27 predictions updated?: Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions

Bundesliga 25/26