Dortmund
Dortmund UCL Chances 2027 — 54.9%
Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 5 of 34 · Rank #2 · 4 MP
Updated at
Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 4 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 54.9% chance of ucl — with 29 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 4 Bundesliga 26/27 matches, Dortmund have recorded 2 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Dortmund's win chance currently stands at 20.0%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Dortmund's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 20.0%
- UCL: 54.9%
- UEL: 7.8%
- ECL: 6.6%
- Releg: 0.3%
More analysis
← View all Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
1:30 PMDortmund#2Win: 20.0%UCL: 54.9%UEL: 7.8%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 0.3%
5:00 PMDortmund#2Win: 20.0%UCL: 54.9%UEL: 7.8%ECL: 6.6%Releg: 0.3%5:00 PM
Elversberg#8Win: 3.6%UCL: 19.0%UEL: 5.9%ECL: 6.2%Releg: 3.3%
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |  | VfB Stuttgart#11Win: 2.5%UCL: 14.9%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.5%Releg: 4.7% | 0 - 1 | Dortmund |
| 2026-09-12 | | Dortmund | 3 - 0 |  Paderborn#15Win: 1.2%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.6%ECL: 4.0%Releg: 9.2% |
| 2026-09-08 | Dortmund | 3 - 2 | Villarreal | |
| 2026-09-05 | | Hoffenheim#17Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.9%UEL: 2.9%ECL: 3.4%Releg: 11.7% | 2 - 3 | Dortmund |
| 2026-08-29 | | Dortmund | 2 - 0 |  Hamburger SV#12Win: 2.4%UCL: 14.2%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 5.4% |