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Union Berlin Releg Chances 2027 — 16.0%

Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 4 of 34 · Rank #17 · 4 MP

Union Berlin Bundesliga 26/27 — Key Insights
0.8%
Win
16.0%
Releg
#17
Position
DLLL
Last 4 matches
Union Berlin are an outside contender for Releg at 16.0%, currently ranked 17th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Union Berlin are 17th in the Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 4 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 16.0% chance of releg — with 30 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 4 Bundesliga 26/27 matches, Union Berlin have recorded 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their releg probability, Union Berlin's win chance currently stands at 0.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Union Berlin's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.8%
  • UCL: 5.9%
  • UEL: 2.5%
  • ECL: 2.9%
  • Releg: 16.0%

More analysis

← View all Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%5:00 PMElversberg#7Win: 5.8%UCL: 25.9%UEL: 6.8%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 2.3%
32%
45%
Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%5:00 PMDortmund#1Win: 21.1%UCL: 56.0%UEL: 7.7%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 0.3%
32%
45%
FC Augsburg#4Win: 6.1%UCL: 27.1%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.9%Releg: 2.2%5:00 PMUnion Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%
68%
14%
Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%5:00 PMFC Köln#13Win: 2.2%UCL: 13.1%UEL: 4.5%ECL: 4.9%Releg: 6.5%
32%
45%
SC Freiburg#3Win: 14.0%UCL: 44.6%UEL: 7.9%ECL: 7.1%Releg: 0.7%5:00 PMUnion Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%
35%
43%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-18Bayern München#2Win: 14.3%UCL: 44.9%UEL: 7.8%ECL: 6.9%Releg: 0.7%7 - 0Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%
2026-09-11Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%1 - 3Schalke 04#11Win: 3.0%UCL: 16.7%UEL: 5.4%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 4.7%
2026-09-05Leverkusen4 - 0Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%
2026-08-29Union Berlin#17Win: 0.8%UCL: 5.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 16.0%3 - 3Frankfurt